The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 02GY31 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:08:19 2024 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 5 observations of 5 # Arc: 4.41d # First observation: 2002/04/06 # Last observation: 2002/04/10 # WARNING Fitting with energy constraint # WARNING and with gdot fixed = 0 # Chi-squared of fit: 2.38 DOF: 6 RMS: 0.12 # Min/Max residuals: -0.24 0.18 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.620471E-05 2.388634E-02 1.007907E-06 -2.033189E-04 2.407170E-02 0.000000E+00 # Covariance matrix: 2.9197E-11 4.4139E-08 6.3947E-14 6.7189E-11 7.5595E-09 0.0000E+00 4.4139E-08 6.8115E-05 9.8557E-11 1.0356E-07 1.1651E-05 0.0000E+00 6.3947E-14 9.8557E-11 5.2741E-13 -4.8382E-11 1.6861E-11 0.0000E+00 6.7189E-11 1.0356E-07 -4.8382E-11 1.0239E-08 1.7716E-08 0.0000E+00 7.5595E-09 1.1651E-05 1.6861E-11 1.7716E-08 1.9932E-06 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 1.8354E-04 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -0.138173 -141.096069 0.382426 -0.002286 -0.927211 2452370.711033 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2452370.5000 = 2002/04/06 Mean Anomaly: 353.89599 +/- 183.090 Argument of Peri: 202.42028 +/- 248.617 Long of Asc Node: 22.80638 +/- 9.544 Inclination: 0.50316 +/- 0.300 Eccentricity: 0.05642100 +/- 0.5462 Semi-Major Axis: 44.98969568 +/- 23.4528 Time of Perihelion: 2454239.3765 +/- 166272.6 Perihelion: 42.45133192 +/- 33.0701 Aphelion: 47.52805944 +/- 34.8965 Period (y) 301.7712 +/- 235.97 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -33.28889935 +/- 1.8962 Ecliptic Y -26.36904470 +/- 1.5300 Ecliptic Z -0.10015210 +/- 0.0059 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00169785 +/- 0.0013 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00211551 +/- 0.0011 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00002291 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 42.46748602 +/- 1.7640 Geocenter to KBO 41.54255764 +/- 2.4365 # Hcoef: 6.52
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 02GY31. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (02GY31) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2002 04 06.21029 14 25 53.11 -14 35 50.0 22.1R 02GY31 807 Cf5154 2002 04 06.34935 14 25 52.53 -14 35 46.8 02GY31 807 Cf5154 2002 04 07.32816 14 25 48.37 -14 35 26.7 02GY31 807 Cf5154 2002 04 10.53025 14 25 34.52 -14 34 19.7 22.8R 02GY31 568 Cf5154 2002 04 10.61862 14 25 34.11 -14 34 17.7 02GY31 568 Cf5154
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.24
2 0.0004 -9.00 0.04 0.34 0.18
3 0.0031 -72.64 0.08 0.06 0.09
4 0.0118 -284.57 0.12 -0.82 -0.02
5 0.0121 -290.85 -0.14 -0.83 -0.00
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
02GY31 quality flag:0 Type: ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE axisobj 0.000 0.000 0.000 ecceobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 incobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 qmin 0.000 0.000 0.000 qmax 0.000 0.000 0.000 amean 0.000 0.000 0.000 amin 0.000 0.000 0.000 amax 0.000 0.000 0.000 emean 0.000 0.000 0.000 emin 0.000 0.000 0.000 emax 0.000 0.000 0.000 imean 0.000 0.000 0.000 imin 0.000 0.000 0.000 imax 0.000 0.000 0.000 excite_mean 0.000 0.000 0.000 fracstop 0.000 0.000 0.000 cjmean 0.000 0.000 0.000 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 0.0 0.0 0.0 kozaiamp 0.0 0.0 0.0