Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 02PR149

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 02PR149   
# Created Wed Dec 25 02:08:18 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     23 observations of     23
# Arc:  17.22y
# First observation: 2002/08/11
#  Last observation: 2019/11/01
# Chi-squared of fit:    13.17 DOF:     40 RMS:  0.13
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.38    0.29
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.479454E-05  2.331692E-02 -1.811247E-06 -8.941886E-04  2.375927E-02 -1.522835E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  4.8757E-13 -6.6877E-14 -2.2141E-15  1.4714E-15 -2.5939E-14 -9.2276E-14
 -6.6877E-14  3.6730E-14  1.7691E-15 -1.2266E-15  7.3253E-14  7.6283E-14
 -2.2141E-15  1.7691E-15  4.3396E-13 -2.9464E-14  2.5601E-15  4.1254E-15
  1.4714E-15 -1.2266E-15 -2.9464E-14  2.3318E-15 -2.0403E-15 -2.8146E-15
 -2.5939E-14  7.3253E-14  2.5601E-15 -2.0403E-15  3.7939E-13  1.2368E-13
 -9.2276E-14  7.6283E-14  4.1254E-15 -2.8146E-15  1.2368E-13  1.7559E-13
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -0.693962  -10.304518    0.530025   -0.010526   -0.868163  2452497.872963
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2452498.5000  =  2002/08/12
Mean Anomaly:          307.29637 +/-     0.029
Argument of Peri:      259.13076 +/-     0.035
Long of Asc Node:      151.87292 +/-     0.002
Inclination:             2.30855 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.09500459 +/-    0.0000
Semi-Major Axis:     45.28411186 +/-    0.0046
Time of Perihelion: 2468793.5315 +/-      17.0
Perihelion:          40.98191338 +/-    0.0047
Aphelion:            49.58631035 +/-    0.0055
Period (y)              304.7383 +/-      0.05
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           42.16618141 +/-    0.0011
Ecliptic Y           -8.19920826 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Z           -0.50986431 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00029901 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00267252 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00010070 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   42.95903068 +/-    0.0011
Geocenter to KBO     42.08891429 +/-    0.0011
# Hcoef:  7.28

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 02PR149. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (02PR149) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2002 08  11.37222  23 23 12.70   -04 43 06.8   21.9R 02PR149   807  Cg3358      
2002 08  12.31262  23 23 09.32   -04 43 29.6         02PR149   807  Cg3358      
2002 08  12.39073  23 23 09.03   -04 43 31.6         02PR149   807  Cg3358      
2013 10  13.11063  00 14 51.318  +00 14 38.43  22.5i 02PR149   W84  C~52Rf      
2013 11  22.08692  00 12 39.379  +00 00 50.18  22.8i 02PR149   W84  C~52Rf      
2014 08  18.31064  00 23 49.638  +01 10 30.61  23.5i 02PR149   W84  C~52Rf      
2014 10  29.14146  00 18 58.567  +00 38 21.47  23.1z 02PR149   W84  C~52Rf      
2014 11  13.10105  00 18 09.554  +00 33 16.19  23.0z 02PR149   W84  C~52Rf      
2015 11  07.07593  00 23 38.090  +01 05 33.01  23.5r 02PR149   W84  C~52Rf      
2016 09  09.32608  00 32 50.706  +02 02 02.69  22.2r 02PR149   W84  C~52Rf      
2016 10  02.18440  00 31 12.103  +01 51 09.70  23.0i 02PR149   W84  C~52Rf      
2016 11  18.11310  00 28 12.870  +01 32 18.27  23.6r 02PR149   W84  C~52Rf      
2016 11  30.10104  00 27 46.507  +01 29 45.27  23.8r 02PR149   W84  C~52Rg      
2016 11  30.10240  00 27 46.511  +01 29 45.18  23.4i 02PR149   W84  C~52Rg      
2017 09  27.19789  00 36 48.814  +02 24 15.38  22.8i 02PR149   W84  C~52Rg      
2017 09  27.19925  00 36 48.807  +02 24 15.26  23.4r 02PR149   W84  C~52Rg      
2017 10  29.13345  00 34 31.523  +02 09 35.33  22.6z 02PR149   W84  C~52Rg      
2018 09  09.24289  00 43 20.443  +03 03 19.76  23.6z 02PR149   W84  C~52Rg      
2018 10  10.25408  00 41 06.531  +02 48 41.53  22.9r 02PR149   W84  C~52Rg      
2018 10  10.25546  00 41 06.521  +02 48 41.38  22.8i 02PR149   W84  C~52Rg      
2019 11  01.31914  00 44 49.75   +03 09 35.2   26.3g 02PR149   T09  C~8GhX      
2019 11  01.40916  00 44 49.39   +03 09 32.9   25.2g 02PR149   T09  C~8GhX      
2019 11  01.50543  00 44 49.02   +03 09 30.7   25.8g 02PR149   T09  C~8GhX      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.29
     2   0.0026      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.08
     3   0.0028      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.03
     4  11.1725      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.05
     5  11.2819      0.00     0.12       0.00    -0.19
     6  12.0190      0.00     0.26       0.00    -0.38
     7  12.2157      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.02
     8  12.2566      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.20
     9  13.2394      0.00     0.08       0.00    -0.17
    10  14.0806      0.00    -0.11       0.00    -0.11
    11  14.1432      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.04
    12  14.2717      0.00     0.16       0.00    -0.13
    13  14.3045      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.01
    14  14.3045      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.09
    15  15.1289      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.08
    16  15.1289      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.00
    17  15.2163      0.00     0.11       0.00     0.02
    18  16.0790      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.15
    19  16.1639      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.08
    20  16.1640      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.03
    21  17.2237      0.00    -0.13       0.00     0.26
    22  17.2239      0.00    -0.13       0.00     0.14
    23  17.2242      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.27

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

02PR149    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        45.672    45.672    45.672
ecceobj         0.099     0.099     0.099
incobj          2.303     2.303     2.303
qmin           40.146    40.147    40.151
qmax           50.946    50.928    50.952
amean          45.406    45.405    45.406
amin           45.037    45.050    45.033
amax           45.797    45.790    45.807
emean           0.099     0.099     0.099
emin            0.085     0.085     0.085
emax            0.113     0.112     0.113
imean           2.139     2.139     2.139
imin            1.599     1.599     1.599
imax            2.623     2.623     2.623
excite_mean     0.106     0.106     0.106
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.105     3.105     3.105

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       183.6     183.5     183.5
kozaiamp        180.0     179.9     179.9