The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 10JE215 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:09:07 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 96 observations of 96 # Arc: 6.15y # First observation: 2010/05/10 # Last observation: 2016/07/05 # Chi-squared of fit: 81.43 DOF: 186 RMS: 0.16 # Min/Max residuals: -0.66 0.53 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 2.433180E-05 5.621182E-02 -2.073344E-06 -3.361314E-03 3.772801E-02 -4.082449E-03 # Covariance matrix: 2.5982E-13 -1.1637E-13 -6.8890E-15 5.3256E-15 -3.0033E-14 -2.1813E-13 -1.1637E-13 8.1474E-14 6.1862E-15 -4.5775E-15 4.1147E-14 1.9152E-13 -6.8890E-15 6.1862E-15 1.6097E-13 -3.3314E-14 3.6849E-15 1.5964E-14 5.3256E-15 -4.5775E-15 -3.3314E-14 7.7131E-15 -2.0318E-15 -1.1913E-14 -3.0033E-14 4.1147E-14 3.6849E-15 -2.0318E-15 7.2608E-14 9.9274E-14 -2.1813E-13 1.9152E-13 1.5964E-14 -1.1913E-14 9.9274E-14 4.9635E-13 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 11.076825 -123.460690 0.127011 0.192604 -0.984117 2455326.990457 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2455326.5000 = 2010/05/10 Mean Anomaly: 357.10548 +/- 0.001 Argument of Peri: 119.83116 +/- 0.002 Long of Asc Node: 128.54296 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 11.19500 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.56210097 +/- 0.0000 Semi-Major Axis: 62.24957332 +/- 0.0044 Time of Perihelion: 2456768.8717 +/- 18.8 Perihelion: 27.25902759 +/- 0.0026 Aphelion: 97.24011904 +/- 0.0071 Period (y) 491.1484 +/- 0.05 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -14.99622356 +/- 0.0001 Ecliptic Y -22.46975327 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Z 5.09236388 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00353932 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00203969 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00029634 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 27.49020499 +/- 0.0001 Geocenter to KBO 26.50558958 +/- 0.0002 # Hcoef: 8.28
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 10JE215. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (10JE215) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2010 05 10.489691 15 47 17.400 -08 35 31.30 21.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2010 05 10.500641 15 47 17.328 -08 35 31.36 22.3G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2010 05 11.507146 15 47 10.721 -08 35 07.70 21.9G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2010 05 11.518565 15 47 10.686 -08 35 07.20 22.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2010 06 04.453771 15 44 33.538 -08 27 54.21 23.4G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2012 06 13.337977 16 08 50.157 -10 12 34.70 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2012 06 13.352729 16 08 50.073 -10 12 34.68 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2012 06 13.367468 16 08 49.986 -10 12 34.65 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2012 06 13.382227 16 08 49.886 -10 12 34.74 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2013 05 02.569323 16 26 15.671 -11 13 53.57 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2013 06 09.371222 16 22 07.325 -11 03 56.15 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2013 06 09.385155 16 22 07.235 -11 03 55.89 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2013 06 09.399080 16 22 07.153 -11 03 56.06 22.3G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2013 07 02.329814 16 19 48.485 -11 02 52.64 22.1G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2013 07 02.343056 16 19 48.406 -11 02 52.57 22.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2013 07 02.356323 16 19 48.329 -11 02 52.45 21.9G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2013 07 02.369565 16 19 48.263 -11 02 52.47 22.1G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 04 04.589126 16 41 11.630 -12 11 49.23 22.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 05 07.498412 16 38 43.626 -12 00 25.23 22.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 05 07.523758 16 38 43.474 -12 00 24.74 22.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 05 07.536416 16 38 43.402 -12 00 24.60 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 05 23.444421 16 37 01.137 -11 55 59.59 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 05 23.457325 16 37 01.056 -11 55 59.41 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 05 28.381950 16 36 27.622 -11 54 53.38 22.3G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 05 28.394671 16 36 27.522 -11 54 52.90 22.3G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 05 28.407372 16 36 27.439 -11 54 52.89 21.9G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 05 28.420079 16 36 27.356 -11 54 52.54 22.3G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 06 24.378110 16 33 28.426 -11 51 43.76 22.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 06 24.390936 16 33 28.338 -11 51 43.63 22.8G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 06 24.403770 16 33 28.265 -11 51 43.71 22.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 06 24.416553 16 33 28.189 -11 51 43.58 22.8G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 02.324354 16 32 41.864 -11 51 51.50 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 02.326337 16 32 41.861 -11 51 51.47 22.4G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 02.336980 16 32 41.793 -11 51 51.32 22.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 02.338956 16 32 41.788 -11 51 51.42 22.1G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 02.349598 16 32 41.725 -11 51 51.21 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 02.362177 16 32 41.632 -11 51 51.33 23.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 02.364159 16 32 41.641 -11 51 51.53 22.8G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 04.372196 16 32 30.648 -11 51 58.31 21.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 26.316816 16 30 56.018 -11 55 23.44 22.1G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 26.328704 16 30 55.985 -11 55 23.69 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 26.340563 16 30 55.940 -11 55 23.88 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2014 07 26.352429 16 30 55.897 -11 55 23.76 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 02 27.612311 16 53 46.190 -13 06 42.84 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 02 27.623622 16 53 46.204 -13 06 42.66 23.1G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 02 27.634928 16 53 46.245 -13 06 42.49 22.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 03 30.590838 16 54 11.460 -12 58 16.60 21.8G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 03 30.603468 16 54 11.463 -12 58 16.36 21.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 03 30.616089 16 54 11.421 -12 58 16.07 21.8G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 03 30.628737 16 54 11.406 -12 58 16.20 22.1G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 03 31.594105 16 54 09.882 -12 57 57.51 22.9G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 03 31.606994 16 54 09.865 -12 57 57.44 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 03 31.619898 16 54 09.848 -12 57 56.96 23.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 03 31.632874 16 54 09.808 -12 57 56.86 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 05 21.486198 16 50 17.921 -12 42 46.36 22.4G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 05 21.498567 16 50 17.829 -12 42 45.98 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 05 21.510921 16 50 17.751 -12 42 45.90 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 05 21.523221 16 50 17.664 -12 42 45.79 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 10.398066 16 48 02.470 -12 39 23.48 21.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 10.410475 16 48 02.349 -12 39 23.38 22.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 15.348413 16 47 28.852 -12 38 56.04 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 15.360968 16 47 28.801 -12 38 56.37 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 15.373450 16 47 28.697 -12 38 56.35 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 15.386005 16 47 28.597 -12 38 56.09 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 23.409016 16 46 35.889 -12 38 33.74 22.8G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 23.410983 16 46 35.869 -12 38 33.59 23.4G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 23.420932 16 46 35.809 -12 38 33.90 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 23.422892 16 46 35.800 -12 38 33.69 22.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 23.432895 16 46 35.725 -12 38 34.06 22.6G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 23.434851 16 46 35.721 -12 38 33.81 23.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 23.444775 16 46 35.660 -12 38 33.81 22.8G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 23.446741 16 46 35.631 -12 38 33.57 23.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 06 24.427215 16 46 29.392 -12 38 33.05 22.9G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 07 13.357218 16 44 41.614 -12 39 41.40 23.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 07 13.369455 16 44 41.600 -12 39 41.79 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 07 13.381690 16 44 41.538 -12 39 41.74 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 07 14.343428 16 44 36.877 -12 39 49.67 22.3G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 07 14.355744 16 44 36.809 -12 39 49.57 22.4G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 08 10.279597 16 43 08.498 -12 46 15.34 21.9G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 08 10.291512 16 43 08.493 -12 46 15.61 22.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 08 10.303427 16 43 08.445 -12 46 16.01 22.1G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2015 08 10.315338 16 43 08.427 -12 46 16.19 22.3G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2016 05 02.505034 17 05 10.412 -13 30 40.82 23.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDT 2016 05 02.517109 17 05 10.312 -13 30 41.22 23.8G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 05 02.540928 17 05 10.206 -13 30 40.21 23.1G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 06 07.404279 17 01 23.148 -13 23 45.53 22.4G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 06 07.416181 17 01 23.056 -13 23 45.55 22.8G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 06 07.428131 17 01 22.985 -13 23 45.52 21.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 06 07.440084 17 01 22.920 -13 23 45.54 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 06 28.406057 16 59 02.851 -13 22 59.20 22.7G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 06 28.418236 16 59 02.775 -13 22 59.19 22.4G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 06 28.430447 16 59 02.708 -13 22 59.07 22.3G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 06 28.442694 16 59 02.599 -13 22 59.09 22.0G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 07 05.352913 16 58 20.800 -13 23 22.27 22.5G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 07 05.373622 16 58 20.667 -13 23 22.72 22.2G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU 2016 07 05.384050 16 58 20.614 -13 23 22.58 22.4G 10JE215 F51 C~4YDU
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.17
2 0.0000 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.15
3 0.0028 0.00 -0.43 0.00 -0.08
4 0.0028 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.16
5 0.0683 0.00 0.44 0.00 -0.03
6 2.0940 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.09
7 2.0941 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.01
8 2.0941 0.00 0.19 0.00 -0.06
9 2.0942 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.25
10 2.9790 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.16
11 3.0825 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.11
12 3.0825 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.03
13 3.0826 0.00 0.17 0.00 -0.25
14 3.1454 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.11
15 3.1454 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.01
16 3.1454 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.17
17 3.1455 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.19
18 3.9017 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.08
19 3.9918 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.02
20 3.9919 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.00
21 3.9919 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.10
22 4.0355 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.05
23 4.0355 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.04
24 4.0490 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.16
25 4.0490 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.16
26 4.0491 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.01
27 4.0491 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.20
28 4.1229 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.09
29 4.1229 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.02
30 4.1230 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.07
31 4.1230 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.05
32 4.1447 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.14
33 4.1447 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.10
34 4.1447 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.08
35 4.1447 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.02
36 4.1447 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.23
37 4.1448 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.14
38 4.1448 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.05
39 4.1503 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.06
40 4.2103 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.04
41 4.2104 0.00 0.14 0.00 -0.11
42 4.2104 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.13
43 4.2104 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.16
44 4.8025 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.03
45 4.8026 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.01
46 4.8026 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.04
47 4.8873 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.13
48 4.8874 0.00 0.43 0.00 0.13
49 4.8874 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.18
50 4.8874 0.00 0.19 0.00 -0.19
51 4.8901 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.12
52 4.8901 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.06
53 4.8902 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.18
54 4.8902 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.03
55 5.0294 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.28
56 5.0295 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.06
57 5.0295 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.15
58 5.0295 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.21
59 5.0839 0.00 0.53 0.00 0.30
60 5.0840 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.32
61 5.0975 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.35
62 5.0975 0.00 0.25 0.00 -0.03
63 5.0976 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.07
64 5.0976 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.13
65 5.1196 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.02
66 5.1196 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.16
67 5.1196 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.16
68 5.1196 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.05
69 5.1196 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.33
70 5.1196 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.08
71 5.1197 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.10
72 5.1197 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.14
73 5.1223 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -0.15
74 5.1742 0.00 -0.66 0.00 0.17
75 5.1742 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.12
76 5.1742 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.02
77 5.1769 0.00 0.22 0.00 -0.06
78 5.1769 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.15
79 5.2506 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.21
80 5.2507 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.18
81 5.2507 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.01
82 5.2507 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.07
83 5.9795 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.01
84 5.9795 0.00 -0.46 0.00 -0.58
85 5.9796 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.05
86 6.0778 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.07
87 6.0778 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.02
88 6.0779 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.07
89 6.0779 0.00 0.34 0.00 -0.16
90 6.1353 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.12
91 6.1353 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.09
92 6.1354 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.05
93 6.1354 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.06
94 6.1543 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.21
95 6.1544 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.14
96 6.1544 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.05
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
10JE215 quality flag:3 Type: CENTAURR CENTAURR CENTAURR axisobj 61.409 61.408 61.410 ecceobj 0.556 0.556 0.556 incobj 11.201 11.201 11.201 qmin 26.781 26.753 26.727 qmax 111.308 100.694 105.474 amean 63.663 62.636 63.101 amin 61.336 61.408 58.229 amax 69.437 64.048 66.440 emean 0.569 0.563 0.566 emin 0.552 0.552 0.523 emax 0.604 0.573 0.588 imean 9.629 9.931 9.864 imin 8.490 9.584 9.044 imax 10.462 10.490 12.449 excite_mean 0.593 0.589 0.592 fracstop 0.231 0.179 0.103 cjmean 2.829 2.829 2.832 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 197.2 170.6 160.0 kozaiamp 93.0 49.7 44.2