The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 10TS195 # Created Sun Dec 22 02:09:12 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 86 observations of 86 # Arc: 13.23y # First observation: 2010/10/07 # Last observation: 2024/01/01 # Chi-squared of fit: 192.07 DOF: 166 RMS: 0.26 # Min/Max residuals: -1.62 0.76 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.836786E-05 3.279404E-02 -4.401391E-06 -7.677446E-03 2.971856E-02 -1.874626E-04 # Covariance matrix: 1.7376E-13 -4.5667E-14 -2.4002E-14 8.7409E-15 -7.6478E-15 -7.9307E-14 -4.5667E-14 1.5845E-14 9.0582E-15 -3.3642E-15 1.0974E-14 3.0228E-14 -2.4002E-14 9.0582E-15 8.3903E-14 -1.2458E-14 3.4085E-15 2.0021E-14 8.7409E-15 -3.3642E-15 -1.2458E-14 2.5244E-15 -1.7488E-15 -7.3493E-15 -7.6478E-15 1.0974E-14 3.4085E-15 -1.7488E-15 6.3771E-14 1.3575E-14 -7.9307E-14 3.0228E-14 2.0021E-14 -7.3493E-15 1.3575E-14 6.6417E-14 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -8.339402 33.603669 0.334192 -0.136067 -0.928086 2455476.896766 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2455476.5000 = 2010/10/07 Mean Anomaly: 354.34540 +/- 0.003 Argument of Peri: 219.32244 +/- 0.004 Long of Asc Node: 182.05360 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 15.47728 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.12960307 +/- 0.0000 Semi-Major Axis: 39.69314766 +/- 0.0015 Time of Perihelion: 2456911.2324 +/- 5.3 Perihelion: 34.54879371 +/- 0.0017 Aphelion: 44.83750162 +/- 0.0020 Period (y) 250.0815 +/- 0.01 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 28.69949951 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Y 18.66600443 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Z -4.88048025 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00177157 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00245643 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00069732 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 34.58179718 +/- 0.0002 Geocenter to KBO 33.64904108 +/- 0.0003 # Hcoef: 7.25
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 10TS195. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (10TS195) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2010 10 07.39600 02 16 48.632 +04 51 42.23 22.3G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2010 10 07.41146 02 16 48.556 +04 51 41.75 22.2G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2010 10 07.42824 02 16 48.490 +04 51 41.01 22.4G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2010 10 07.44529 02 16 48.406 +04 51 40.44 22.6G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2010 10 15.35796 02 16 08.132 +04 46 58.56 22.3G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2011 10 18.40078 02 23 37.181 +04 57 55.49 22.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2011 10 20.37616 02 23 26.709 +04 56 47.57 21.2G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2012 10 08.44271 02 32 08.066 +05 15 28.29 21.9G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2012 12 07.22995 02 27 00.922 +04 47 59.75 22.1G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2012 12 07.24581 02 27 00.875 +04 47 59.61 23.0G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2012 12 07.27592 02 27 00.733 +04 47 59.18 22.3G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2014 10 02.44589 02 48 05.007 +05 42 17.14 22.2G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2014 10 02.45647 02 48 04.953 +05 42 16.87 22.6G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2014 10 02.45779 02 48 04.948 +05 42 16.69 22.6G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2014 10 02.46836 02 48 04.908 +05 42 16.53 22.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2014 10 02.46967 02 48 04.892 +05 42 16.37 22.4G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2014 10 02.48026 02 48 04.865 +05 42 16.23 22.4G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2014 10 02.48157 02 48 04.863 +05 42 16.13 22.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2014 11 21.35899 02 43 44.632 +05 16 34.55 23.0G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2014 12 11.29075 02 42 08.608 +05 10 39.87 22.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 08 21.56527 02 57 23.132 +06 13 54.02 22.2G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 08 21.57719 02 57 23.130 +06 13 53.73 22.6G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 08 21.58916 02 57 23.123 +06 13 53.65 22.4G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 08 21.60113 02 57 23.148 +06 13 53.45 22.9G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 09 23.48771 02 56 22.835 +05 58 16.30 19.6G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 09 23.49972 02 56 22.776 +05 58 15.96 21.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 09 23.51184 02 56 22.735 +05 58 15.44 23.0G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 09 23.52399 02 56 22.704 +05 58 15.36 23.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 10 12.43568 02 55 04.083 +05 47 38.88 22.6G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 11 06.43355 02 52 51.994 +05 34 18.09 22.2G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 11 06.44534 02 52 51.933 +05 34 17.78 22.2G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 11 06.45712 02 52 51.868 +05 34 17.25 22.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 11 06.46893 02 52 51.787 +05 34 16.72 22.8G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 11 07.43282 02 52 46.445 +05 33 48.94 22.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 12 08.31171 02 50 04.402 +05 22 29.78 23.1G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 12 08.31302 02 50 04.402 +05 22 29.49 23.1G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 12 08.32291 02 50 04.364 +05 22 29.62 22.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 12 08.32420 02 50 04.347 +05 22 29.74 22.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 12 08.33414 02 50 04.289 +05 22 29.33 22.4G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 12 08.33545 02 50 04.287 +05 22 29.33 22.2G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 12 08.34537 02 50 04.240 +05 22 28.93 22.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2015 12 08.34668 02 50 04.228 +05 22 29.69 22.8G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 01 04.24815 02 48 29.369 +05 19 54.91 22.2G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 01 04.25162 02 48 29.343 +05 19 55.16 22.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 01 04.26099 02 48 29.331 +05 19 54.80 22.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 01 04.26448 02 48 29.310 +05 19 53.67 22.9G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 01 04.27379 02 48 29.301 +05 19 54.94 22.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 01 04.27730 02 48 29.211 +05 19 53.25 23.0G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 01 04.28662 02 48 29.277 +05 19 54.91 22.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 01 04.29014 02 48 29.198 +05 19 53.89 22.9G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 01 14.23011 02 48 11.791 +05 20 54.17 22.6G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 11 05.40599 03 00 37.872 +05 45 04.55 22.6G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 11 05.41910 03 00 37.803 +05 45 04.03 22.3G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 11 05.43219 03 00 37.735 +05 45 03.61 22.8G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2016 11 05.44533 03 00 37.667 +05 45 03.32 22.8G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 09 18.58700 03 11 57.202 +06 20 53.56 22.8G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 09 30.57280 03 11 18.174 +06 14 28.47 21.9G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 10 01.55243 03 11 14.432 +06 13 56.40 22.8G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 10 29.48195 03 09 01.509 +05 58 49.83 22.4G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 10 29.49456 03 09 01.440 +05 58 49.49 22.3G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 10 29.50733 03 09 01.367 +05 58 49.03 22.9G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 10 29.51987 03 09 01.291 +05 58 48.60 22.6G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 11 13.37387 03 07 38.769 +05 51 47.10 22.1G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 11 13.38641 03 07 38.697 +05 51 46.69 22.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 11 13.39897 03 07 38.637 +05 51 46.39 22.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 11 13.41163 03 07 38.551 +05 51 46.08 22.2G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 11 22.37625 03 06 48.667 +05 48 10.83 22.1G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 11 22.38889 03 06 48.610 +05 48 10.81 22.1G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 12 11.36297 03 05 11.400 +05 42 45.71 22.5G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 12 11.37367 03 05 11.354 +05 42 45.64 22.9G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2017 12 11.38451 03 05 11.294 +05 42 45.44 22.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2018 01 05.24153 03 03 40.083 +05 40 58.10 23.0G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2018 01 05.25288 03 03 40.047 +05 40 58.43 22.8G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2018 01 05.26422 03 03 40.026 +05 40 58.18 22.8G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2018 01 05.27557 03 03 39.998 +05 40 58.14 22.7G 10TS195 F51 C~345H 2021 11 26.315498 03 37 21.157 +06 24 00.24 22.4w 10TS195 F52 C~5H9h 2021 11 26.327755 03 37 21.065 +06 23 59.91 22.3w 10TS195 F52 C~5H9h 2021 11 26.339970 03 37 21.010 +06 23 59.79 22.3w 10TS195 F52 C~5H9h 2021 12 01.267250 03 36 53.512 +06 22 31.06 22.4G 10TS195 G37 C~5J3c 2021 12 01.316890 03 36 53.246 +06 22 30.01 10TS195 G37 C~5J3c 2021 12 01.392490 03 36 52.831 +06 22 28.76 10TS195 G37 C~5J3c 2023 11 19.83233 03 53 28.51 +06 42 22.9 22.3w 10TS195 O18 C~7X0H 2023 11 19.84501 03 53 28.44 +06 42 22.6 22.3w 10TS195 O18 C~7X0H 2024 01 01.303753 03 49 48.058 +06 34 28.82 22.7w 10TS195 F51 C~7dGl 2024 01 01.315907 03 49 48.031 +06 34 28.99 22.4w 10TS195 F51 C~7dGl 2024 01 01.328105 03 49 48.000 +06 34 29.04 22.4w 10TS195 F51 C~7dGl
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.00
2 0.0000 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.07
3 0.0001 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.07
4 0.0001 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.03
5 0.0218 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.32
6 1.0294 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.16
7 1.0349 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.36
8 2.0042 0.00 -0.40 0.00 0.03
9 2.1679 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.14
10 2.1680 0.00 0.31 0.00 -0.06
11 2.1680 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.07
12 3.9864 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02
13 3.9865 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.11
14 3.9865 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.02
15 3.9865 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.18
16 3.9865 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.06
17 3.9865 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.28
18 3.9865 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.23
19 4.1231 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.07
20 4.1777 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.11
21 4.8711 0.00 -0.17 0.00 -0.02
22 4.8711 0.00 -0.16 0.00 -0.04
23 4.8712 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.15
24 4.8712 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.22
25 4.9612 0.00 0.14 0.00 -0.08
26 4.9613 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.03
27 4.9613 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.15
28 4.9613 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.17
29 5.0131 0.00 -0.24 0.00 0.06
30 5.0816 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.00
31 5.0816 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.03
32 5.0816 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.16
33 5.0817 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.34
34 5.0843 0.00 0.20 0.00 -0.28
35 5.1688 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.36
36 5.1688 0.00 0.21 0.00 0.09
37 5.1689 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.36
38 5.1689 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.50
39 5.1689 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.23
40 5.1689 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.24
41 5.1689 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.02
42 5.1689 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.76
43 5.2426 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.12
44 5.2426 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.36
45 5.2426 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.02
46 5.2426 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -1.16
47 5.2426 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.08
48 5.2427 0.00 -1.17 0.00 -1.62
49 5.2427 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.01
50 5.2427 0.00 -0.91 0.00 -1.02
51 5.2699 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.02
52 6.0808 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.26
53 6.0808 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.11
54 6.0809 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.07
55 6.0809 0.00 0.21 0.00 0.16
56 6.9492 0.00 -0.22 0.00 -0.40
57 6.9820 0.00 0.24 0.00 -0.16
58 6.9847 0.00 0.17 0.00 -0.01
59 7.0612 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.04
60 7.0612 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.09
61 7.0612 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.02
62 7.0613 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.03
63 7.1019 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.09
64 7.1020 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.01
65 7.1020 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.03
66 7.1020 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.05
67 7.1266 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.15
68 7.1266 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.11
69 7.1786 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.02
70 7.1786 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.03
71 7.1786 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.04
72 7.2467 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.04
73 7.2467 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.25
74 7.2467 0.00 0.19 0.00 -0.04
75 7.2468 0.00 0.22 0.00 -0.12
76 11.1374 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.10
77 11.1374 0.00 -0.24 0.00 0.01
78 11.1374 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.12
79 11.1509 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.15
80 11.1510 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.07
81 11.1513 0.00 0.19 0.00 -0.04
82 13.1182 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.07
83 13.1183 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.09
84 13.2345 0.00 -0.37 0.00 -0.11
85 13.2346 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.06
86 13.2346 0.00 0.28 0.00 0.10
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
10TS195 quality flag:3 Type: 3:2E 3:2E 3:2E axisobj 39.816 39.815 39.816 ecceobj 0.132 0.132 0.132 incobj 15.464 15.464 15.464 qmin 33.793 33.792 33.794 qmax 45.502 45.496 45.509 amean 39.458 39.458 39.458 amin 39.063 39.063 39.064 amax 39.892 39.892 39.892 emean 0.116 0.116 0.116 emin 0.092 0.092 0.092 emax 0.143 0.143 0.143 imean 15.523 15.523 15.523 imin 14.894 14.894 14.894 imax 16.145 16.145 16.145 excite_mean 0.292 0.292 0.292 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.954 2.954 2.954 libcent 0 180.0 180.1 179.9 libamp 0 77.1 77.1 77.1 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 180.3 180.4 180.4 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 179.9