The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14KD102 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:09:54 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 48 observations of 48 # Arc: 6.27y # First observation: 2010/05/10 # Last observation: 2016/08/18 # Chi-squared of fit: 45.44 DOF: 90 RMS: 0.17 # Min/Max residuals: -0.45 0.38 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.980781E-05 4.175768E-02 1.308639E-06 3.676925E-03 3.352708E-02 -1.256124E-03 # Covariance matrix: 3.5959E-13 -1.7026E-13 8.8054E-15 -1.0661E-14 -4.9406E-16 -5.3980E-13 -1.7026E-13 1.6354E-13 -1.1412E-14 1.3956E-14 5.4031E-14 6.8420E-13 8.8054E-15 -1.1412E-14 2.6669E-13 -6.0607E-14 -3.1013E-15 -5.3360E-14 -1.0661E-14 1.3956E-14 -6.0607E-14 1.6350E-14 4.1725E-15 6.4974E-14 -4.9406E-16 5.4031E-14 -3.1013E-15 4.1725E-15 1.6082E-13 1.4379E-13 -5.3980E-13 6.8420E-13 -5.3360E-14 6.4974E-14 1.4379E-13 3.2306E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 5.401365 -116.222778 0.252509 0.092075 -0.974409 2455326.980326 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2455326.5000 = 2010/05/10 Mean Anomaly: 352.18885 +/- 0.009 Argument of Peri: 58.53865 +/- 0.014 Long of Asc Node: 197.60133 +/- 0.001 Inclination: 7.28661 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.22368961 +/- 0.0000 Semi-Major Axis: 39.50339339 +/- 0.0025 Time of Perihelion: 2457294.2166 +/- 8.7 Perihelion: 30.66689488 +/- 0.0025 Aphelion: 48.33989189 +/- 0.0034 Period (y) 248.2903 +/- 0.02 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -13.77516403 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Y -27.40703599 +/- 0.0003 Ecliptic Z 2.80772644 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00311837 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00138380 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00028923 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 30.80236258 +/- 0.0003 Geocenter to KBO 29.82668913 +/- 0.0004 # Hcoef: 7.37
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14KD102. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14KD102) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2010 05 10.47956 16 11 17.824 -15 35 53.64 22.4G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2010 05 11.50132 16 11 11.576 -15 35 32.42 21.4G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2010 06 04.42160 16 08 40.940 -15 27 42.44 22.0G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2010 08 09.25560 16 04 18.126 -15 20 52.29 22.8G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2012 05 21.48409 16 30 02.519 -15 56 26.59 22.1G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2012 09 02.26697 16 23 54.611 -15 51 03.02 22.8G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2013 05 02.56049 16 41 56.845 -16 11 48.05 21.6G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2013 06 28.39274 16 36 09.313 -15 58 05.99 20.6G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2013 07 01.32022 16 35 53.278 -15 57 43.61 22.0w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2013 07 01.34694 16 35 53.119 -15 57 43.19 22.0w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2013 07 01.36027 16 35 53.030 -15 57 43.37 22.2w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 07.50369 16 51 32.594 -16 18 03.11 22.1G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 05 07.51635 16 51 32.523 -16 18 02.87 21.8G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 05 07.54170 16 51 32.389 -16 18 02.41 21.8G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 05 21.44428 16 50 10.240 -16 14 14.38 22.0G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 05 21.45736 16 50 10.154 -16 14 14.23 22.5G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 05 21.47046 16 50 10.074 -16 14 14.04 21.8G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 05 21.48353 16 50 09.984 -16 14 14.02 22.3G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 05 28.39731 16 49 26.246 -16 12 29.67 22.0w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 28.41001 16 49 26.158 -16 12 29.45 22.0w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 28.42272 16 49 26.081 -16 12 29.37 22.0w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 24.37943 16 46 35.192 -16 07 15.52 22.2w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 24.39226 16 46 35.114 -16 07 15.63 22.3w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 24.40509 16 46 35.033 -16 07 15.38 22.2w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 24.41787 16 46 34.967 -16 07 15.20 22.1w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 07 02.32766 16 45 49.359 -16 06 18.71 22.1w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 07 02.34027 16 45 49.306 -16 06 18.54 22.3w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 07 02.35289 16 45 49.243 -16 06 18.65 22.5w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 07 02.36548 16 45 49.164 -16 06 18.32 22.0w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2014 07 28.31553 16 43 53.553 -16 05 29.34 21.9G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 07 28.32771 16 43 53.512 -16 05 29.05 22.1G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 07 28.33989 16 43 53.473 -16 05 29.27 21.8G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2014 08 15.29754 16 43 15.112 -16 07 02.32 22.8G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 05 20.45628 17 00 22.080 -16 20 43.68 22.7G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 06 24.38685 16 56 40.106 -16 14 06.32 22.8G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 06 24.42657 16 56 39.829 -16 14 06.03 22.2G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 07 14.34472 16 54 49.529 -16 12 34.51 22.2w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2015 07 14.35704 16 54 49.479 -16 12 34.65 22.3w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2015 07 14.38166 16 54 49.352 -16 12 34.56 22.4w 14KD102 F51 C~1vXY 2015 08 09.28809 16 53 17.330 -16 13 33.66 22.2G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 08 09.30006 16 53 17.319 -16 13 34.01 22.4G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 08 09.31201 16 53 17.270 -16 13 33.88 21.2G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 08 09.32395 16 53 17.255 -16 13 34.03 22.3G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 08 10.28089 16 53 15.264 -16 13 40.31 22.4G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 08 10.29280 16 53 15.232 -16 13 40.38 23.2G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 08 10.30472 16 53 15.220 -16 13 40.45 22.5G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2015 08 10.31662 16 53 15.198 -16 13 40.42 22.8G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T 2016 08 18.28733 17 02 54.963 -16 20 22.54 23.3G 14KD102 F51 C~2r7T
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.09 2 0.0028 0.00 -0.22 0.00 -0.45 3 0.0683 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.24 4 0.2485 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.04 5 2.0315 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.10 6 2.3156 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.19 7 2.9790 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.18 8 3.1346 0.00 -0.37 0.00 -0.32 9 3.1426 0.00 0.35 0.00 0.15 10 3.1427 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.38 11 3.1427 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.11 12 3.9919 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.03 13 3.9919 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.00 14 3.9920 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.02 15 4.0300 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.15 16 4.0301 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.09 17 4.0301 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.08 18 4.0301 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.11 19 4.0491 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.05 20 4.0491 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.09 21 4.0491 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.01 22 4.1229 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.10 23 4.1230 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.12 24 4.1230 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.02 25 4.1230 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.10 26 4.1447 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 27 4.1447 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.10 28 4.1448 0.00 0.18 0.00 -0.09 29 4.1448 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.17 30 4.2158 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -0.24 31 4.2159 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.08 32 4.2159 0.00 -0.18 0.00 -0.11 33 4.2651 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.23 34 5.0266 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.30 35 5.1223 0.00 0.13 0.00 -0.26 36 5.1224 0.00 -0.32 0.00 -0.26 37 5.1769 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.23 38 5.1769 0.00 0.28 0.00 0.07 39 5.1770 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.12 40 5.2479 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.31 41 5.2480 0.00 0.36 0.00 0.03 42 5.2480 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.23 43 5.2480 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.15 44 5.2507 0.00 -0.22 0.00 -0.07 45 5.2507 0.00 -0.32 0.00 -0.06 46 5.2507 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.06 47 5.2508 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.05 48 6.2746 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.27
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14KD102 quality flag:3 Type: 3:2E 3:2E 3:2E axisobj 39.196 39.196 39.196 ecceobj 0.218 0.218 0.218 incobj 7.299 7.299 7.299 qmin 29.380 29.378 29.381 qmax 49.907 49.900 49.916 amean 39.455 39.455 39.455 amin 39.091 39.093 39.089 amax 39.888 39.886 39.887 emean 0.221 0.221 0.221 emin 0.189 0.189 0.189 emax 0.254 0.254 0.254 imean 7.761 7.761 7.761 imin 5.907 5.903 5.911 imax 9.419 9.418 9.420 excite_mean 0.260 0.260 0.260 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.975 2.975 2.975 libcent 0 180.5 180.4 180.6 libamp 0 38.5 38.8 38.4 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 201.6 201.5 201.5 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 179.9