The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14LR14 # Created Sun Dec 22 02:09:56 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 99 observations of 99 # Arc: 8.33y # First observation: 2012/04/13 # Last observation: 2020/08/13 # Chi-squared of fit: 109.28 DOF: 192 RMS: 0.19 # Min/Max residuals: -1.18 0.78 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 3.460100E-05 2.292244E-01 2.653251E-06 2.315652E-02 1.040840E-01 -7.776905E-02 # Covariance matrix: 4.6622E-13 -2.9726E-12 2.9656E-14 -1.1345E-12 1.0080E-12 -7.6945E-12 -2.9726E-12 1.9470E-10 -1.8931E-12 7.2620E-11 -1.2012E-11 4.7987E-10 2.9656E-14 -1.8931E-12 3.8783E-13 -8.7843E-13 1.5038E-13 -4.7180E-12 -1.1345E-12 7.2620E-11 -8.7843E-13 2.8292E-11 -5.7226E-12 1.8094E-10 1.0080E-12 -1.2012E-11 1.5038E-13 -5.7226E-12 1.3095E-11 -4.0743E-11 -7.6945E-12 4.7987E-10 -4.7180E-12 1.8094E-10 -4.0743E-11 1.1983E-09 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 2.987572 -149.632881 0.116353 0.052067 -0.997996 2456030.908906 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456031.0000 = 2012/04/13 Mean Anomaly: 344.47077 +/- 0.051 Argument of Peri: 81.73614 +/- 0.000 Long of Asc Node: 184.53481 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 6.33596 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.54799855 +/- 0.0000 Semi-Major Axis: 19.74978925 +/- 0.0000 Time of Perihelion: 2457413.8961 +/- 4.5 Perihelion: 8.92693333 +/- 0.0008 Aphelion: 30.57264516 +/- 0.0008 Period (y) 87.7712 +/- 0.00 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -9.19636999 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic Y -5.25377040 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic Z 0.50079761 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00483324 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00414983 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00050177 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 10.60323412 +/- 0.0000 Geocenter to KBO 9.60777433 +/- 0.0000 # Hcoef: 11.81
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14LR14. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14LR14) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2012 04 13.40814 13 57 16.845 -08 48 02.93 21.7G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2012 04 13.43206 13 57 16.488 -08 48 00.82 22.2G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2012 04 13.44306 13 57 16.328 -08 47 59.75 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2012 04 28.36057 13 53 36.540 -08 24 18.05 22.0G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2012 05 01.46100 13 52 51.505 -08 19 34.87 22.9G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2013 04 13.46960 14 53 32.789 -12 04 47.46 21.1G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2013 04 13.47159 14 53 32.768 -12 04 47.23 21.9G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2013 04 13.48546 14 53 32.567 -12 04 45.91 21.7G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2013 04 13.49936 14 53 32.365 -12 04 44.90 21.8G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2013 04 13.51324 14 53 32.181 -12 04 43.57 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2013 05 18.35712 14 44 39.004 -11 15 17.58 22.0G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2013 05 18.38056 14 44 38.669 -11 15 16.05 21.5G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2013 05 31.36670 14 41 35.375 -11 00 28.85 21.9G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2013 07 13.28171 14 36 48.816 -10 44 18.53 22.3G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 04 04.55599 16 00 02.124 -15 04 36.36 20.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 04 04.56792 16 00 02.028 -15 04 35.16 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 04 04.57989 16 00 01.921 -15 04 34.27 21.7G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 05 08.42779 15 53 03.656 -14 26 02.93 21.1i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 08.45221 15 53 03.250 -14 26 01.38 20.9i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 08.46457 15 53 03.051 -14 26 00.48 21.0i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 10.42548 15 52 31.286 -14 23 42.72 21.1i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 10.43746 15 52 31.089 -14 23 41.89 21.1i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 10.44943 15 52 30.881 -14 23 41.01 21.1i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 10.46141 15 52 30.675 -14 23 40.03 21.1i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 22.41811 15 49 10.939 -14 10 13.50 21.2w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 22.43190 15 49 10.707 -14 10 12.73 21.2w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 22.44533 15 49 10.471 -14 10 11.80 21.4w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 22.45875 15 49 10.243 -14 10 10.90 21.2w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 05 24.43775 15 48 36.881 -14 08 05.68 21.5G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 05 24.45038 15 48 36.671 -14 08 04.91 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 06 02.26973 15 46 10.64 -13 59 25.4 21.4V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 02.27489 15 46 10.54 -13 59 25.4 21.2V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 02.28011 15 46 10.46 -13 59 25.1 21.0V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 02.28527 15 46 10.37 -13 59 25.1 21.2V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 02.31408 15 46 09.88 -13 59 23.2 21.0V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 02.31621 15 46 09.84 -13 59 22.8 21.2V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 02.31834 15 46 09.82 -13 59 22.9 20.9V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 02.32047 15 46 09.78 -13 59 22.8 20.8V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 02.32259 15 46 09.78 -13 59 22.7 21.1V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 03.41510 15 45 52.179 -13 58 23.43 21.4w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 03.44051 15 45 51.767 -13 58 22.04 21.6w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 03.45317 15 45 51.562 -13 58 21.39 21.2w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 05.29073 15 45 22.37 -13 56 45.2 21.5V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 05.30075 15 45 22.20 -13 56 44.7 21.2V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 05.31071 15 45 22.05 -13 56 44.2 21.4V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 05.32338 15 45 21.91 -13 56 43.5 21.2V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 06.24949 15 45 07.38 -13 55 56.2 21.3V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 06.26345 15 45 07.06 -13 55 55.6 20.4V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 06.28034 15 45 06.91 -13 55 55.6 20.4V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 06.29938 15 45 06.57 -13 55 53.8 21.4V 14LR14 G96 C~158G 2014 06 21.34995 15 41 33.974 -13 45 38.43 21.7w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 21.36258 15 41 33.809 -13 45 38.08 21.6w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 21.37522 15 41 33.649 -13 45 37.62 21.5w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 21.38786 15 41 33.485 -13 45 37.22 21.6w 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 06 28.21095 15 40 15.91 -13 42 43.9 21.5R 14LR14 G37 C~16Wu 2014 06 28.27150 15 40 15.28 -13 42 42.6 14LR14 G37 C~16Wu 2014 07 03.32761 15 39 27.337 -13 41 21.40 21.1i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 07 03.34026 15 39 27.211 -13 41 21.40 21.1i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 07 03.35944 15 39 27.029 -13 41 20.94 20.9i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 07 03.37209 15 39 26.904 -13 41 20.84 20.9i 14LR14 F51 C~1vXY 2014 07 26.27053 15 37 47.234 -13 43 58.85 21.4G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 07 26.28251 15 37 47.238 -13 43 59.27 21.4G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 07 26.29446 15 37 47.238 -13 43 59.40 21.4G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 07 26.30641 15 37 47.231 -13 43 59.70 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 07 28.27126 15 37 48.397 -13 44 53.65 22.4G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 07 28.28214 15 37 48.401 -13 44 53.97 22.3G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 07 28.29305 15 37 48.416 -13 44 54.25 22.0G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2014 07 28.30394 15 37 48.421 -13 44 54.36 21.3G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 05 20.44418 17 04 05.772 -16 09 48.71 20.8G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 05 20.45628 17 04 05.585 -16 09 48.48 21.3G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 05 20.46841 17 04 05.378 -16 09 48.03 21.4G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 05 20.48047 17 04 05.181 -16 09 47.63 21.3G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 05 21.43900 17 03 49.745 -16 09 05.20 21.1G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 06 23.41030 16 54 23.775 -15 51 04.24 21.3G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 06 23.42222 16 54 23.571 -15 51 03.90 21.3G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 06 24.38685 16 54 07.955 -15 50 46.36 21.2G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 06 24.41555 16 54 07.480 -15 50 46.03 21.1G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 06 24.42657 16 54 07.294 -15 50 45.73 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 07 13.34628 16 49 43.044 -15 48 24.67 21.5G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 07 13.35851 16 49 42.879 -15 48 24.56 21.3G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 07 13.37074 16 49 42.762 -15 48 24.64 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 07 14.34472 16 49 31.865 -15 48 28.32 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 07 14.35704 16 49 31.735 -15 48 28.41 21.7G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 07 14.36934 16 49 31.596 -15 48 28.57 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 07 14.38166 16 49 31.449 -15 48 28.61 22.2G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 08 10.28089 16 46 52.023 -15 57 15.92 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 08 10.29280 16 46 52.022 -15 57 16.45 21.6G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 08 10.30472 16 46 52.007 -15 57 16.87 21.7G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2015 08 10.31662 16 46 51.996 -15 57 17.21 21.7G 14LR14 F51 C~36ok 2020 06 29.57453 22 23 27.547 -06 11 44.58 22.5w 14LR14 F51 C~3yMl 2020 06 29.59277 22 23 27.456 -06 11 44.69 22.7w 14LR14 F51 C~3yMl 2020 06 29.60187 22 23 27.400 -06 11 45.17 22.4w 14LR14 F51 C~3yMl 2020 08 13.40537 22 15 55.576 -06 54 41.94 22.3w 14LR14 F51 C~4ZBF 2020 08 13.40616 22 15 55.560 -06 54 41.94 22.3w 14LR14 F51 C~4ZBF 2020 08 13.41789 22 15 55.401 -06 54 43.06 22.3w 14LR14 F51 C~4ZBF 2020 08 13.42888 22 15 55.250 -06 54 43.70 22.2w 14LR14 F51 C~4ZBF 2020 08 13.42964 22 15 55.240 -06 54 43.64 22.1w 14LR14 F51 C~4ZBF 2020 08 13.44061 22 15 55.072 -06 54 44.66 22.4w 14LR14 F51 C~4ZBF 2020 08 13.44137 22 15 55.044 -06 54 44.59 22.6w 14LR14 F51 C~4ZBF
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.15 2 0.0001 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.04 3 0.0001 0.00 0.16 0.00 -0.03 4 0.0409 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.08 5 0.0494 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.04 6 0.9995 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.09 7 0.9995 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.03 8 0.9995 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.10 9 0.9996 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.08 10 0.9996 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.06 11 1.0950 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.06 12 1.0951 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.18 13 1.1306 0.00 0.16 0.00 -0.21 14 1.2481 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.18 15 1.9744 0.00 0.19 0.00 -0.57 16 1.9744 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.09 17 1.9745 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.08 18 2.0671 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.16 19 2.0672 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 20 2.0672 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 21 2.0726 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.07 22 2.0726 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.07 23 2.0727 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.03 24 2.0727 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.11 25 2.1054 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.19 26 2.1055 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.08 27 2.1055 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.14 28 2.1055 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.18 29 2.1110 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.03 30 2.1110 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.05 31 2.1351 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.24 32 2.1352 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.04 33 2.1352 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.03 34 2.1352 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.31 35 2.1353 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 36 2.1353 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.29 37 2.1353 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.07 38 2.1353 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.05 39 2.1353 0.00 0.42 0.00 0.04 40 2.1383 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.04 41 2.1384 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.06 42 2.1384 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.03 43 2.1434 0.00 -0.22 0.00 -0.06 44 2.1434 0.00 -0.34 0.00 -0.08 45 2.1435 0.00 -0.18 0.00 -0.10 46 2.1435 0.00 0.78 0.00 -0.06 47 2.1460 0.00 0.27 0.00 0.10 48 2.1461 0.00 -1.18 0.00 -0.01 49 2.1461 0.00 0.62 0.00 -0.86 50 2.1462 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.02 51 2.1874 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.01 52 2.1874 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.05 53 2.1875 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.02 54 2.1875 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.03 55 2.2062 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.16 56 2.2063 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.22 57 2.2202 0.00 0.36 0.00 0.13 58 2.2202 0.00 0.18 0.00 -0.02 59 2.2203 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.20 60 2.2203 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.14 61 2.2830 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.07 62 2.2830 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.04 63 2.2831 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.13 64 2.2831 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.13 65 2.2885 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.14 66 2.2885 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.15 67 2.2885 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.12 68 2.2886 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.08 69 3.0993 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.42 70 3.0994 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.12 71 3.0994 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.03 72 3.0994 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.10 73 3.1021 0.00 -0.27 0.00 -0.00 74 3.1923 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.05 75 3.1924 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.06 76 3.1950 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.06 77 3.1951 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.12 78 3.1951 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.02 79 3.2469 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.06 80 3.2470 0.00 -0.28 0.00 0.09 81 3.2470 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.04 82 3.2497 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.00 83 3.2497 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.04 84 3.2497 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.15 85 3.2498 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.15 86 3.3234 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.05 87 3.3234 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.08 88 3.3235 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.09 89 3.3235 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.03 90 8.2113 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.04 91 8.2113 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.20 92 8.2113 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.10 93 8.3340 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.24 94 8.3340 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.17 95 8.3340 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.27 96 8.3341 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.05 97 8.3341 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.17 98 8.3341 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.10 99 8.3341 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.24
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14LR14 quality flag:3 Type: CENTAURR CENTAURR CENTAURR axisobj 19.799 19.799 19.800 ecceobj 0.547 0.547 0.547 incobj 6.318 6.318 6.318 qmin 8.472 8.612 8.491 qmax 30.622 30.622 30.623 amean 17.659 18.698 18.067 amin 15.905 17.905 16.496 amax 19.799 19.799 19.800 emean 0.509 0.531 0.514 emin 0.465 0.509 0.485 emax 0.547 0.554 0.547 imean 6.841 5.658 5.894 imin 5.540 5.054 5.532 imax 8.704 6.150 6.150 excite_mean 0.524 0.541 0.524 fracstop 0.002 0.001 0.000 cjmean 3.018 2.941 2.996 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 141.9 113.6 89.7 kozaiamp 62.6 32.3 9.2