The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14PZ102 # Created Sun Nov 24 02:09:54 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 21 observations of 21 # Arc: 9.09y # First observation: 2014/08/03 # Last observation: 2023/09/06 # Chi-squared of fit: 9.93 DOF: 36 RMS: 0.12 # Min/Max residuals: -0.20 0.32 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.623927E-05 2.731933E-02 1.586051E-06 1.119853E-03 2.596432E-02 1.527412E-03 # Covariance matrix: 3.6014E-13 -1.5599E-13 1.0487E-14 -6.2695E-15 1.0718E-12 -7.1970E-13 -1.5599E-13 1.0627E-13 -5.9610E-15 4.3699E-15 -4.4233E-13 4.8208E-13 1.0487E-14 -5.9610E-15 1.3088E-13 -2.2245E-14 5.0350E-14 -3.2369E-14 -6.2695E-15 4.3699E-15 -2.2245E-14 8.1170E-15 -2.2783E-14 2.1839E-14 1.0718E-12 -4.4233E-13 5.0350E-14 -2.2783E-14 6.6596E-12 -2.7929E-12 -7.1970E-13 4.8208E-13 -3.2369E-14 2.1839E-14 -2.7929E-12 2.4466E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -4.015394 -8.987579 0.654634 -0.054447 -0.776791 2456873.038058 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456872.5000 = 2014/08/03 Mean Anomaly: 17.86349 +/- 0.037 Argument of Peri: 277.69229 +/- 0.044 Long of Asc Node: 49.98155 +/- 0.002 Inclination: 4.54537 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.11000653 +/- 0.0003 Semi-Major Axis: 43.82374424 +/- 0.0212 Time of Perihelion: 2451614.4300 +/- 11.5 Perihelion: 39.00284632 +/- 0.0241 Aphelion: 48.64464216 +/- 0.0279 Period (y) 290.1165 +/- 0.21 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 38.61294554 +/- 0.0038 Ecliptic Y -6.76802134 +/- 0.0006 Ecliptic Z -2.69685055 +/- 0.0003 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00061191 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00281482 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00010664 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 39.29423339 +/- 0.0037 Geocenter to KBO 38.51438627 +/- 0.0038 # Hcoef: 6.70
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14PZ102. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14PZ102) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 08 03.53728 23 33 20.57 -07 15 07.4 22.9w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2014 08 03.54859 23 33 20.52 -07 15 07.4 22.9w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2014 08 03.55989 23 33 20.49 -07 15 07.8 22.9w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2014 08 20.47989 23 32 16.79 -07 22 45.6 23.0w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2014 08 20.49207 23 32 16.73 -07 22 46.1 22.6w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2014 08 20.51641 23 32 16.62 -07 22 46.8 22.8w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2014 08 22.47712 23 32 08.32 -07 23 44.0 22.6w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2014 08 22.51392 23 32 08.15 -07 23 45.0 22.9w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 01.54579 23 50 19.69 -05 11 57.8 23.2w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 01.55769 23 50 19.65 -05 11 58.1 23.1w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 01.5696 23 50 19.62 -05 11 58.4 22.9w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 03.52361 23 50 14.00 -05 12 42.6 22.8w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 03.53438 23 50 13.97 -05 12 42.4 22.8w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 03.54518 23 50 13.92 -05 12 42.9 23.0w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 03.55592 23 50 13.90 -05 12 43.2 22.9w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 17.47873 23 49 26.52 -05 18 34.6 22.9w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 17.48978 23 49 26.46 -05 18 35.3 22.7w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2017 08 17.51191 23 49 26.38 -05 18 35.7 22.4w 14PZ102 F51 C~77r0 2023 09 06.404610 00 21 30.715 -01 19 47.58 23.0G 14PZ102 G37 C~7B3M 2023 09 06.444290 00 21 30.537 -01 19 48.79 14PZ102 G37 C~7B3M 2023 09 06.481210 00 21 30.381 -01 19 49.71 14PZ102 G37 C~7B3M
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.14
2 0.0000 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.14
3 0.0001 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.02
4 0.0464 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.11
5 0.0464 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.04
6 0.0465 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.04
7 0.0519 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.20
8 0.0520 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.13
9 2.9952 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.01
10 2.9953 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.02
11 2.9953 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.06
12 3.0006 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.16
13 3.0007 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.29
14 3.0007 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.04
15 3.0007 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.01
16 3.0389 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.32
17 3.0389 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.07
18 3.0389 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.13
19 9.0920 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.05
20 9.0921 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.12
21 9.0922 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14PZ102 quality flag:3 Type: CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL axisobj 44.171 44.171 44.171 ecceobj 0.117 0.117 0.117 incobj 4.543 4.543 4.543 qmin 38.228 38.221 38.224 qmax 50.124 50.063 50.114 amean 44.008 44.008 44.003 amin 43.640 43.627 43.635 amax 44.399 44.403 44.403 emean 0.110 0.109 0.110 emin 0.090 0.089 0.090 emax 0.129 0.128 0.129 imean 2.838 2.846 2.844 imin 1.824 1.851 1.841 imax 3.980 3.980 3.981 excite_mean 0.121 0.120 0.121 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.084 3.084 3.084 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 183.2 182.2 183.9 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 180.0