The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14QW510 # Created Sun Dec 22 02:10:00 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 43 observations of 43 # Arc: 10.29y # First observation: 2014/08/19 # Last observation: 2024/12/04 # Chi-squared of fit: 16.12 DOF: 80 RMS: 0.11 # Min/Max residuals: -0.27 0.30 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.982470E-05 3.599067E-02 -5.339630E-06 -9.584073E-03 2.916767E-02 -1.951818E-02 # Covariance matrix: 3.4196E-13 -8.8289E-14 -2.8778E-14 2.5041E-14 1.3941E-13 -1.7319E-13 -8.8289E-14 3.4674E-14 1.4386E-14 -1.0174E-14 -2.4337E-14 7.0737E-14 -2.8778E-14 1.4386E-14 8.4788E-14 -1.4350E-14 -4.7221E-15 3.0756E-14 2.5041E-14 -1.0174E-14 -1.4350E-14 5.0691E-15 8.3145E-15 -2.1999E-14 1.3941E-13 -2.4337E-14 -4.7221E-15 8.3145E-15 1.0425E-13 -5.6836E-14 -1.7319E-13 7.0737E-14 3.0756E-14 -2.1999E-14 -5.6836E-14 1.5291E-13 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -21.658114 22.699033 0.847119 -0.206085 -0.519326 2456888.863398 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456888.5000 = 2014/08/19 Mean Anomaly: 357.53854 +/- 0.001 Argument of Peri: 298.52171 +/- 0.003 Long of Asc Node: 148.58505 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 26.14966 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.87636402 +/- 0.0000 Semi-Major Axis: 209.84955878 +/- 0.0778 Time of Perihelion: 2464480.4204 +/- 613.2 Perihelion: 25.94495680 +/- 0.0131 Aphelion: 393.75416075 +/- 0.1462 Period (y) 3039.9770 +/- 1.69 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 30.23585650 +/- 0.0003 Ecliptic Y 11.73226735 +/- 0.0001 Ecliptic Z -12.65348025 +/- 0.0001 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00318571 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00232714 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00015982 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 34.81364829 +/- 0.0003 Geocenter to KBO 34.28492186 +/- 0.0004 # Hcoef: 7.32
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14QW510. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14QW510) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 08 19.36262 01 56 07.19 -11 18 01.0 23.1r 14QW510 W84 C~3cnQ 2014 10 03.28889 01 53 36.460 -11 54 12.92 22.6i 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2014 11 21.22719 01 49 27.930 -12 16 09.11 23.7g 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2014 12 12.16843 01 48 10.569 -12 14 56.00 22.4i 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2014 12 20.14518 01 47 51.083 -12 12 40.74 23.9g 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2014 12 23.07137 01 47 45.541 -12 11 37.32 22.4i 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2015 09 23.25643 02 03 17.219 -11 30 32.71 22.8z 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2015 10 22.21523 02 00 53.368 -11 50 52.24 22.0z 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2015 11 02.14981 01 59 54.337 -11 56 13.75 22.9r 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2015 11 02.15118 01 59 54.332 -11 56 13.68 22.9g 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2015 11 14.19169 01 58 51.488 -12 00 11.09 22.4i 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2015 11 14.19307 01 58 51.478 -12 00 11.24 22.8r 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2015 11 14.19444 01 58 51.479 -12 00 11.20 22.9g 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2015 11 18.13277 01 58 32.055 -12 01 00.22 22.8z 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2016 09 08.30772 02 13 22.332 -11 00 52.22 22.2i 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2016 09 08.30910 02 13 22.324 -11 00 52.31 22.9g 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2017 01 30.04193 02 05 24.943 -11 16 55.04 22.4i 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2017 09 14.39182 02 22 37.467 -10 46 18.96 22.6z 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2017 10 03.26632 02 21 19.704 -11 02 09.71 22.0z 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2017 10 18.28806 02 20 02.212 -11 12 59.47 22.5r 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2017 10 18.28944 02 20 02.203 -11 12 59.38 23.4g 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2017 12 23.14361 02 14 49.920 -11 23 16.09 22.5r 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2017 12 23.14499 02 14 49.917 -11 23 16.03 22.5i 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2017 12 23.14636 02 14 49.916 -11 23 16.01 23.2g 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2018 10 19.31799 02 29 56.684 -10 52 36.52 22.6r 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2018 10 20.24869 02 29 51.566 -10 53 12.90 21.8z 14QW510 W84 C~4yU1 2020 09 16.54498 02 53 26.434 -09 37 19.34 22.2w 14QW510 F51 C~48E1 2020 09 16.56330 02 53 26.391 -09 37 20.23 22.3w 14QW510 F51 C~48E1 2020 09 16.58194 02 53 26.324 -09 37 21.61 22.4w 14QW510 F51 C~48E1 2020 09 17.53919 02 53 23.444 -09 38 13.78 22.3w 14QW510 F51 C~48E1 2020 09 17.55853 02 53 23.374 -09 38 15.01 22.4w 14QW510 F51 C~48E1 2020 09 17.57799 02 53 23.308 -09 38 16.03 22.2w 14QW510 F51 C~48E1 2020 09 17.59739 02 53 23.255 -09 38 17.20 22.4w 14QW510 F51 C~48E1 2023 10 21.484497 03 25 38.112 -08 35 10.20 22.0w 14QW510 F51 C~7Mkb 2023 10 21.496078 03 25 38.060 -08 35 10.86 22.1w 14QW510 F51 C~7Mkb 2023 10 21.507685 03 25 37.979 -08 35 11.33 22.2w 14QW510 F51 C~7Mkb 2024 12 03.372640 03 33 33.214 -08 19 12.94 22.1w 14QW510 F51 C~8SSI 2024 12 03.383998 03 33 33.154 -08 19 13.05 21.8w 14QW510 F51 C~8SSI 2024 12 03.395275 03 33 33.080 -08 19 12.84 21.8w 14QW510 F51 C~8SSI 2024 12 03.406537 03 33 32.998 -08 19 12.85 22.0w 14QW510 F51 C~8SSI 2024 12 04.345259 03 33 27.315 -08 19 15.95 21.9w 14QW510 F51 C~8SSI 2024 12 04.357035 03 33 27.233 -08 19 15.97 22.2w 14QW510 F51 C~8SSI 2024 12 04.380584 03 33 27.097 -08 19 16.05 21.9w 14QW510 F51 C~8SSI
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.00
2 0.1230 0.00 -0.17 0.00 -0.12
3 0.2570 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.02
4 0.3143 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.10
5 0.3362 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.05
6 0.3442 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.27
7 1.0948 0.00 0.21 0.00 -0.02
8 1.1741 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.18
9 1.2041 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.01
10 1.2041 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.12
11 1.2370 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.16
12 1.2370 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.03
13 1.2370 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.09
14 1.2478 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.15
15 2.0560 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.04
16 2.0560 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.06
17 2.4495 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.10
18 3.0719 0.00 0.30 0.00 0.23
19 3.1236 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00
20 3.1648 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.01
21 3.1648 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.13
22 3.3451 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.02
23 3.3451 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.01
24 3.3451 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.00
25 4.1669 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.04
26 4.1694 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.14
27 6.0785 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.08
28 6.0786 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.20
29 6.0786 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.16
30 6.0813 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.07
31 6.0813 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.10
32 6.0814 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.06
33 6.0814 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.17
34 9.1721 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.02
35 9.1722 0.00 0.21 0.00 -0.17
36 9.1722 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.12
37 10.2916 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.06
38 10.2916 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.12
39 10.2917 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.13
40 10.2917 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.16
41 10.2943 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.02
42 10.2943 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.03
43 10.2944 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.01
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14QW510 quality flag:3 Type: CENTAURR CENTAURR CENTAURR axisobj 217.155 217.143 217.168 ecceobj 0.880 0.880 0.880 incobj 26.092 26.092 26.092 qmin 24.587 24.568 24.557 qmax 414.509 533.470 518.570 amean 200.667 218.855 207.055 amin 178.341 195.212 181.945 amax 220.338 280.106 272.777 emean 0.868 0.879 0.871 emin 0.846 0.862 0.852 emax 0.881 0.905 0.901 imean 25.749 25.617 25.809 imin 24.634 24.623 24.591 imax 27.231 26.658 26.968 excite_mean 0.971 0.979 0.974 fracstop 0.314 0.371 0.326 cjmean 2.455 2.452 2.456 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 308.1 310.0 309.9 kozaiamp 10.4 11.7 11.9