The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14TO115 # Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:01 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 18 observations of 18 # Arc: 14.16y # First observation: 2004/08/13 # Last observation: 2018/10/10 # Chi-squared of fit: 6.42 DOF: 30 RMS: 0.11 # Min/Max residuals: -0.21 0.24 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.752819E-05 2.948792E-02 -5.813629E-06 -9.496602E-03 2.623553E-02 8.311672E-04 # Covariance matrix: 7.2338E-13 -1.1245E-13 -2.8711E-14 1.9550E-14 -2.6084E-14 -1.4511E-13 -1.1245E-13 7.6117E-14 2.8886E-14 -2.0723E-14 1.5597E-13 1.5588E-13 -2.8711E-14 2.8886E-14 6.4917E-13 -6.2376E-14 5.0446E-14 6.5451E-14 1.9550E-14 -2.0723E-14 -6.2376E-14 1.1333E-14 -3.9044E-14 -4.6513E-14 -2.6084E-14 1.5597E-13 5.0446E-14 -3.9044E-14 6.2363E-13 2.9898E-13 -1.4511E-13 1.5588E-13 6.5451E-14 -4.6513E-14 2.9898E-13 3.4905E-13 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -4.635363 0.476816 0.647602 -0.063277 -0.781773 2453230.827543 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2453230.5000 = 2004/08/13 Mean Anomaly: 0.90566 +/- 0.002 Argument of Peri: 192.32777 +/- 0.004 Long of Asc Node: 165.79588 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 18.50974 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.36936104 +/- 0.0001 Semi-Major Axis: 61.67105441 +/- 0.0121 Time of Perihelion: 2452785.4757 +/- 0.9 Perihelion: 38.89216963 +/- 0.0100 Aphelion: 84.44993919 +/- 0.0179 Period (y) 484.3176 +/- 0.14 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 38.77581740 +/- 0.0011 Ecliptic Y -0.32291812 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic Z -3.08056974 +/- 0.0001 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00002118 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00307020 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00099469 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 38.89932715 +/- 0.0011 Geocenter to KBO 38.11625850 +/- 0.0011 # Hcoef: 7.38
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14TO115. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14TO115) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2004 08 13.32680 00 09 08.21 -04 03 45.3 21.8R 14TO115 807 C~55SO 2004 08 13.39786 00 09 07.98 -04 03 47.5 14TO115 807 C~55SO 2014 10 01.32688 01 16 05.805 -02 37 54.54 24.0g 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2014 10 03.31149 01 15 56.934 -02 39 03.37 23.6r 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2014 10 03.31284 01 15 56.933 -02 39 03.24 23.2i 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2014 11 16.06857 01 12 48.035 -02 58 48.74 23.8g 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2014 11 16.15316 01 12 47.730 -02 58 50.15 23.5r 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2014 11 17.15963 01 12 44.139 -02 59 06.83 23.1r 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2014 11 18.16847 01 12 40.600 -02 59 22.61 23.0r 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2014 11 18.17263 01 12 40.604 -02 59 22.51 21.6i 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2016 08 26.37523 01 31 49.226 -01 53 25.39 23.8r 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2016 08 30.36232 01 31 38.927 -01 55 36.09 24.3g 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2016 10 28.15089 01 27 40.424 -02 28 10.23 23.6r 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2016 10 28.15227 01 27 40.414 -02 28 10.28 23.4i 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2017 10 29.25385 01 34 21.456 -02 16 29.76 23.4r 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2018 10 10.29946 01 42 31.081 -01 54 48.38 23.4i 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2018 10 10.30084 01 42 31.063 -01 54 48.32 23.6r 14TO115 W84 C~55SO 2018 10 10.30221 01 42 31.055 -01 54 48.58 23.8g 14TO115 W84 C~55SO
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.04
2 0.0002 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.04
3 10.1328 0.00 0.24 0.00 -0.04
4 10.1382 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.19
5 10.1382 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01
6 10.2580 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.02
7 10.2583 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
8 10.2610 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.19
9 10.2638 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.07
10 10.2638 0.00 0.21 0.00 0.09
11 12.0357 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.05
12 12.0466 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.23
13 12.2076 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.02
14 12.2076 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.01
15 13.2099 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.09
16 14.1574 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.04
17 14.1574 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.15
18 14.1574 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.07
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14TO115 quality flag:3 Type: SCATNEAR SCATNEAR SCATNEAR axisobj 62.840 62.840 62.840 ecceobj 0.381 0.381 0.381 incobj 18.437 18.437 18.437 qmin 37.446 37.407 37.440 qmax 88.281 88.250 88.247 amean 62.184 62.184 62.184 amin 61.446 61.463 61.475 amax 63.174 63.206 63.211 emean 0.382 0.382 0.382 emin 0.366 0.366 0.366 emax 0.397 0.398 0.397 imean 17.194 17.195 17.194 imin 16.684 16.690 16.679 imax 17.960 17.972 17.966 excite_mean 0.483 0.483 0.483 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.022 3.022 3.022 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 180.9 180.9 180.8 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0