The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14TS115 # Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:01 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 12 observations of 12 # Arc: 9.18y # First observation: 2014/10/02 # Last observation: 2023/12/07 # Chi-squared of fit: 14.66 DOF: 18 RMS: 0.20 # Min/Max residuals: -0.52 0.32 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 2.015590E-05 3.219501E-02 -4.969651E-06 -9.406537E-03 2.626221E-02 -1.084474E-02 # Covariance matrix: 3.6236E-13 -1.5542E-13 -3.9470E-14 4.1133E-14 1.2686E-13 -4.3176E-13 -1.5542E-13 1.4717E-13 3.9248E-14 -4.2751E-14 2.2651E-14 4.2638E-13 -3.9470E-14 3.9248E-14 2.4066E-13 -4.3658E-14 -2.2225E-14 1.3018E-13 4.1133E-14 -4.2751E-14 -4.3658E-14 2.1770E-14 1.1899E-14 -1.3762E-13 1.2686E-13 2.2651E-14 -2.2225E-14 1.1899E-14 9.7720E-13 -2.6108E-13 -4.3176E-13 4.2638E-13 1.3018E-13 -1.3762E-13 -2.6108E-13 1.4209E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -8.667636 11.347362 0.045804 -0.150860 -0.990729 2456932.803108 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456932.5000 = 2014/10/02 Mean Anomaly: 357.17123 +/- 0.004 Argument of Peri: 248.81491 +/- 0.007 Long of Asc Node: 164.55313 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 18.27144 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.80525647 +/- 0.0002 Semi-Major Axis: 178.78240000 +/- 0.1617 Time of Perihelion: 2463793.4012 +/- 1175.6 Perihelion: 34.81671576 +/- 0.0432 Aphelion: 322.74808425 +/- 0.2935 Period (y) 2390.5363 +/- 3.24 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 37.89576977 +/- 0.0014 Ecliptic Y 7.56076575 +/- 0.0003 Ecliptic Z -5.73860512 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00190569 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00303711 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00079895 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 39.06668289 +/- 0.0014 Geocenter to KBO 38.07781147 +/- 0.0014 # Hcoef: 8.16
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14TS115. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14TS115) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 10 02.30233 00 55 16.458 -03 29 28.34 23.8i 14TS115 W84 C~55SO 2014 10 02.30648 00 55 16.450 -03 29 28.28 24.1r 14TS115 W84 C~55SO 2014 10 03.30462 00 55 11.996 -03 30 02.96 23.4i 14TS115 W84 C~55SO 2014 11 17.16405 00 52 09.190 -03 49 34.13 23.7r 14TS115 W84 C~55SO 2016 09 01.36019 01 12 52.305 -02 43 14.55 24.3g 14TS115 W84 C~55SO 2016 11 05.13687 01 08 19.592 -03 18 50.49 23.9r 14TS115 W84 C~55SO 2016 11 05.13826 01 08 19.568 -03 18 50.66 23.7i 14TS115 W84 C~55SO 2017 09 18.27315 01 19 53.394 -02 38 33.77 24.2r 14TS115 W84 C~55SO 2018 11 06.19384 01 24 26.291 -02 49 44.07 24.3r 14TS115 W84 C~55SO 2023 12 07.079730 02 05 22.268 -01 35 44.30 23.5G 14TS115 G37 C~7dJ4 2023 12 07.130340 02 05 22.124 -01 35 43.84 14TS115 G37 C~7dJ4 2023 12 07.182270 02 05 21.948 -01 35 44.26 14TS115 G37 C~7dJ4
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.19
2 0.0000 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.01
3 0.0027 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.33
4 0.1256 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.04
5 1.9167 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.13
6 2.0940 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.17
7 2.0940 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.03
8 2.9623 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.32
9 4.0955 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.01
10 9.1794 0.00 -0.30 0.00 -0.52
11 9.1795 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.23
12 9.1797 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.11
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14TS115 quality flag:3 Type: SCATNEAR SCATNEAR SCATNEAR axisobj 186.268 186.261 186.275 ecceobj 0.813 0.813 0.813 incobj 18.210 18.210 18.210 qmin 33.168 33.134 33.134 qmax 346.361 351.995 349.171 amean 180.174 178.106 177.441 amin 172.005 167.417 169.678 amax 190.568 193.451 192.012 emean 0.807 0.803 0.803 emin 0.794 0.782 0.790 emax 0.818 0.820 0.818 imean 17.210 17.817 17.647 imin 16.956 16.895 16.915 imax 17.746 19.824 19.016 excite_mean 0.859 0.859 0.858 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.928 2.929 2.928 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 277.9 296.8 293.6 kozaiamp 29.9 49.0 42.5