The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14TZ115 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:04 2024 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 19 observations of 19 # Arc: 3.95y # First observation: 2014/10/03 # Last observation: 2018/09/14 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: -0.000245 0.019187 -0.000052 0.008420 0.022854 0.000000 # Chi-squared of fit: 10.31 DOF: 32 RMS: 0.13 # Min/Max residuals: -0.23 0.31 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.348783E-05 1.878208E-02 6.661580E-06 8.285046E-03 2.312048E-02 -5.065801E-03 # Covariance matrix: 3.7053E-13 -2.3932E-13 1.8048E-15 -3.3316E-14 3.0586E-13 -1.1458E-12 -2.3932E-13 3.7404E-13 -3.1301E-14 1.1465E-13 -1.4427E-13 3.8921E-12 1.8048E-15 -3.1301E-14 1.8223E-13 -7.9198E-14 -1.9608E-14 -4.9589E-13 -3.3316E-14 1.1465E-13 -7.9198E-14 8.8025E-14 1.1302E-14 1.5799E-12 3.0586E-13 -1.4427E-13 -1.9608E-14 1.1302E-14 5.8395E-13 3.5003E-13 -1.1458E-12 3.8921E-12 -4.9589E-13 1.5799E-12 3.5003E-13 5.3499E-11 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -9.732127 16.114179 0.111666 -0.168306 -0.982324 2456933.812268 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456930.5000 = 2014/09/30 Mean Anomaly: 269.00497 +/- 0.056 Argument of Peri: 95.94358 +/- 0.034 Long of Asc Node: 36.46582 +/- 0.001 Inclination: 25.57889 +/- 0.001 Eccentricity: 0.25058856 +/- 0.0003 Semi-Major Axis: 41.56146590 +/- 0.0072 Time of Perihelion: 2481667.6627 +/- 13.9 Perihelion: 31.14663808 +/- 0.0134 Aphelion: 51.97629371 +/- 0.0152 Period (y) 267.9443 +/- 0.07 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 41.94027682 +/- 0.0014 Ecliptic Y 12.00306800 +/- 0.0004 Ecliptic Z -7.31111430 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00103058 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00201401 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00106848 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 44.23248640 +/- 0.0013 Geocenter to KBO 43.25169912 +/- 0.0014 # Hcoef: 7.10
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14TZ115. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14TZ115) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 10 03.31149 01 14 18.309 -02 39 08.91 23.4r 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2014 10 28.24320 01 12 26.061 -02 47 53.34 23.2r 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2014 10 28.24457 01 12 26.063 -02 47 53.30 22.9i 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2014 11 16.06857 01 11 09.656 -02 51 57.06 23.8g 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2014 11 16.15316 01 11 09.353 -02 51 57.69 23.4r 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2014 11 18.16847 01 11 02.085 -02 52 13.36 23.6r 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2014 11 18.17263 01 11 02.069 -02 52 13.43 23.8i 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2014 11 28.12134 01 10 29.668 -02 52 58.98 22.1z 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2016 08 25.40953 01 23 16.138 -00 40 57.44 23.1i 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2016 08 26.37386 01 23 13.461 -00 41 18.11 22.9r 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2016 08 30.36094 01 23 01.737 -00 42 44.95 24.7g 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2016 10 10.18355 01 20 17.902 -00 59 02.59 23.1i 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2016 10 23.23837 01 19 18.065 -01 03 40.76 24.5g 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2016 11 05.18380 01 18 21.062 -01 07 24.64 23.7i 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2017 08 22.41422 01 26 42.978 +00 12 07.16 23.5i 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2017 08 27.37907 01 26 29.856 +00 10 27.70 23.2r 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2017 08 27.38044 01 26 29.855 +00 10 27.71 23.7g 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2018 09 14.35386 01 28 51.773 +00 56 35.37 24.0r 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP 2018 09 14.35523 01 28 51.765 +00 56 35.53 23.8i 14TZ115 W84 C~55SP
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.21
2 0.0683 -1754.58 0.13 158.52 0.06
3 0.0683 -1754.54 0.26 158.55 0.08
4 0.1198 -2905.68 -0.19 370.67 -0.07
5 0.1200 -2910.12 0.01 371.82 -0.07
6 0.1255 -3016.76 -0.03 398.93 0.08
7 0.1256 -3017.00 -0.06 398.95 0.05
8 0.1528 -3483.13 0.01 542.24 0.10
9 1.8949 10174.69 0.25 3463.43 0.04
10 1.8975 10129.56 0.06 3459.72 -0.13
11 1.9084 9933.36 -0.23 3446.88 0.05
12 2.0202 7284.06 -0.20 3485.35 -0.04
13 2.0559 6347.42 -0.08 3572.18 0.31
14 2.0914 5471.17 0.22 3692.81 -0.22
15 2.8860 14278.08 0.01 5220.57 -0.10
16 2.8996 14057.03 -0.04 5203.99 -0.02
17 2.8996 14057.02 0.02 5204.00 -0.00
18 3.9481 17104.99 -0.02 6953.47 -0.06
19 3.9481 17104.94 0.02 6953.66 0.14
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14TZ115 quality flag:2 Type: CENTAURR CENTAURR CENTAURS axisobj 41.828 41.847 41.808 ecceobj 0.246 0.246 0.246 incobj 25.490 25.490 25.491 qmin 27.682 28.710 29.446 qmax 68.662 55.404 53.922 amean 44.660 41.266 41.147 amin 40.737 39.568 39.401 amax 48.987 42.523 42.478 emean 0.326 0.265 0.236 emin 0.236 0.211 0.183 emax 0.413 0.307 0.285 imean 22.577 23.760 24.709 imin 19.570 22.499 23.052 imax 25.223 25.203 26.002 excite_mean 0.507 0.483 0.480 fracstop 0.394 0.344 1.000 cjmean 2.796 2.799 2.794 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 183.8 188.1 183.0 kozaiamp 179.8 179.7 180.0