The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14XZ47 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:12 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 46 observations of 46 # Arc: 5.86y # First observation: 2014/12/11 # Last observation: 2020/10/20 # Chi-squared of fit: 10.87 DOF: 86 RMS: 0.09 # Min/Max residuals: -0.17 0.26 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.824940E-05 3.270504E-02 1.168239E-06 6.470073E-04 2.828579E-02 -3.076009E-03 # Covariance matrix: 1.1479E-13 -7.8045E-14 -1.9397E-15 1.2502E-15 3.4772E-15 -2.8632E-13 -7.8045E-14 9.3416E-14 5.6664E-15 -3.2531E-15 -2.0845E-14 4.2376E-13 -1.9397E-15 5.6664E-15 8.6212E-14 -2.9113E-14 -3.3114E-14 8.6169E-16 1.2502E-15 -3.2531E-15 -2.9113E-14 1.5487E-14 1.6561E-14 -2.7704E-15 3.4772E-15 -2.0845E-14 -3.3114E-14 1.6561E-14 1.8746E-13 5.7790E-14 -2.8632E-13 4.2376E-13 8.6169E-16 -2.7704E-15 5.7790E-14 2.4181E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -33.859175 21.442825 -0.827578 -0.296767 -0.442672 2457002.685248 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457002.5000 = 2014/12/11 Mean Anomaly: 346.44624 +/- 0.009 Argument of Peri: 295.19029 +/- 0.015 Long of Asc Node: 109.40713 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 33.42852 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.23238828 +/- 0.0001 Semi-Major Axis: 45.99489443 +/- 0.0043 Time of Perihelion: 2461292.1347 +/- 15.7 Perihelion: 35.30622013 +/- 0.0043 Aphelion: 56.68356873 +/- 0.0060 Period (y) 311.9411 +/- 0.04 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 27.51630956 +/- 0.0004 Ecliptic Y 11.69911475 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Z -19.69732353 +/- 0.0003 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00135902 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00286375 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00021799 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 35.80508989 +/- 0.0004 Geocenter to KBO 35.35354356 +/- 0.0005 # Hcoef: 7.21
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14XZ47. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14XZ47) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 12 11.18447 02 11 37.456 -22 58 51.01 22.2z 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVR 2014 12 13.19611 02 11 30.006 -22 57 48.68 22.0z 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVR 2014 12 13.19611 02 11 30.01 -22 57 48.7 22.5z 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2014 12 17.18582 02 11 16.319 -22 55 32.64 23.0r 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVR 2014 12 17.18582 02 11 16.32 -22 55 32.6 23.1r 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2015 01 12.10909 02 10 27.583 -22 34 47.42 23.0r 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVR 2015 01 12.10909 02 10 27.58 -22 34 47.4 23.2r 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2015 01 12.11183 02 10 27.584 -22 34 47.35 22.4i 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVR 2015 01 12.11183 02 10 27.58 -22 34 47.3 22.9i 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2015 01 14.08363 02 10 26.961 -22 32 50.82 24.0g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVR 2015 01 28.06771 02 10 35.769 -22 18 03.66 22.0z 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2015 01 28.06771 02 10 35.77 -22 18 03.7 22.3z 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2015 11 21.10802 02 20 34.249 -22 16 42.64 22.2i 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2015 11 21.10802 02 20 34.25 -22 16 42.6 22.3i 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2015 12 04.07306 02 19 30.282 -22 13 58.26 24.2g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2015 12 14.19663 02 18 48.382 -22 09 37.26 22.7r 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2015 12 14.19802 02 18 48.388 -22 09 37.13 23.6g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2016 02 06.03997 02 18 02.373 -21 21 20.13 22.0i 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2016 02 06.03997 02 18 02.38 -21 21 20.1 22.2i 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2016 10 28.26998 02 30 05.844 -21 23 14.06 22.4r 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2016 10 28.26998 02 30 05.84 -21 23 14.1 22.7r 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2016 10 28.27836 02 30 05.785 -21 23 14.33 23.4g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2016 10 28.27974 02 30 05.774 -21 23 14.46 21.9i 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2016 10 28.27974 02 30 05.78 -21 23 14.4 22.3i 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2016 11 05.28248 02 29 19.680 -21 25 36.00 23.7g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2016 11 18.25075 02 28 06.624 -21 26 55.57 22.4z 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2016 11 18.25075 02 28 06.62 -21 26 55.6 22.6z 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2017 01 22.07491 02 24 52.181 -20 48 40.05 23.1r 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 01 22.07491 02 24 52.18 -20 48 40.0 23.0r 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2017 01 22.07629 02 24 52.194 -20 48 40.02 22.7i 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 01 22.07629 02 24 52.19 -20 48 40.0 22.8i 14XZ47 W84 C~3cpY 2017 01 22.07766 02 24 52.176 -20 48 39.64 23.8g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 09 18.37775 02 40 40.258 -20 05 07.19 22.3i 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 09 18.37913 02 40 40.245 -20 05 07.24 22.6r 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 09 18.38051 02 40 40.256 -20 05 07.23 24.1g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 10 11.31213 02 38 58.795 -20 22 31.80 22.2z 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 11 10.23316 02 36 11.058 -20 34 53.11 22.4i 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 11 23.25744 02 34 58.563 -20 35 22.43 23.0r 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 11 23.25882 02 34 58.560 -20 35 22.39 24.1g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2017 12 24.16675 02 32 43.865 -20 23 46.99 22.5g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2018 10 28.32708 02 44 41.842 -19 38 02.64 22.2z 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2018 11 16.27877 02 42 53.061 -19 42 41.32 22.7r 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2018 11 16.28014 02 42 53.063 -19 42 41.28 22.2i 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2018 11 16.28153 02 42 53.060 -19 42 41.22 23.7g 14XZ47 W84 C~4yVS 2020 10 20.362030 02 59 43.710 -17 44 10.71 22.2G 14XZ47 G37 C~4Ky0 2020 10 20.420770 02 59 43.411 -17 44 12.94 14XZ47 G37 C~4Ky0
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.15
2 0.0055 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.04
3 0.0055 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.02
4 0.0164 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.07
5 0.0164 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.03
6 0.0874 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.01
7 0.0874 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.03
8 0.0874 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.12
9 0.0874 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.07
10 0.0928 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.15
11 0.1311 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.05
12 0.1311 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.09
13 0.9443 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.09
14 0.9443 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.05
15 0.9798 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.09
16 1.0076 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.05
17 1.0076 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.13
18 1.1550 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.06
19 1.1550 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.09
20 1.8811 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.07
21 1.8811 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.11
22 1.8812 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.02
23 1.8812 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.02
24 1.8812 0.00 -0.17 0.00 -0.08
25 1.9031 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.14
26 1.9386 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.03
27 1.9386 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.00
28 2.1161 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.07
29 2.1161 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
30 2.1161 0.00 0.13 0.00 -0.01
31 2.1161 0.00 0.19 0.00 -0.03
32 2.1161 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.26
33 2.7712 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.01
34 2.7712 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.01
35 2.7712 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.09
36 2.8340 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.04
37 2.9159 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.01
38 2.9516 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.01
39 2.9516 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.04
40 3.0362 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.09
41 3.8799 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.13
42 3.9318 0.00 -0.16 0.00 -0.06
43 3.9318 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.01
44 3.9318 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.05
45 5.8595 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.18
46 5.8596 0.00 0.17 0.00 -0.14
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14XZ47 quality flag:3 Type: SCATEXTD SCATEXTD SCATEXTD axisobj 46.493 46.493 46.493 ecceobj 0.239 0.239 0.239 incobj 33.434 33.434 33.434 qmin 34.781 34.790 34.789 qmax 57.818 57.854 57.842 amean 46.085 46.085 46.085 amin 45.697 45.696 45.687 amax 46.561 46.564 46.561 emean 0.224 0.224 0.224 emin 0.206 0.206 0.206 emax 0.243 0.243 0.243 imean 32.038 32.038 32.038 imin 31.750 31.750 31.750 imax 32.360 32.350 32.357 excite_mean 0.576 0.576 0.576 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.698 2.698 2.698 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 175.3 175.3 175.3 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0