The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15836
# Created Fri Nov 22 02:06:42 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting 82 observations of 82
# Arc: 24.92y
# First observation: 1995/02/24
# Last observation: 2020/01/25
# Chi-squared of fit: 717.57 DOF: 158 RMS: 0.52
# Min/Max residuals: -1.67 1.83
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.611110E-05 3.352668E-02 5.045065E-07 3.851615E-03 3.026366E-02 5.845563E-04
# Covariance matrix:
0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00
0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00
0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00
0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00
0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00
0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
0.046809 127.101056 -0.463140 0.000706 -0.879512 2449772.757908
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2449772.5000 = 1995/02/24
Mean Anomaly: 22.41843 +/- 0.000
Argument of Peri: 334.57197 +/- 0.000
Long of Asc Node: 127.49350 +/- 0.000
Inclination: 6.56199 +/- 0.000
Eccentricity: 0.07158873 +/- 0.0000
Semi-Major Axis: 36.29054041 +/- 0.0000
Time of Perihelion: 2444799.8114 +/- 0.0
Perihelion: 33.69254671 +/- 0.0000
Aphelion: 38.88853411 +/- 0.0000
Period (y) 218.6243 +/- 0.00
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X -20.83125723 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic Y 26.76843857 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic Z 0.02700961 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00244384 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT -0.00178901 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00034831 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 33.91887614 +/- 0.0000
Geocenter to KBO 33.04296041 +/- 0.0000
# Hcoef: 8.06
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15836. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15836) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
1995 02 24.2572 08 38 03.08 +18 32 32.5 23.0R 15836 568 A24813 1995 02 24.2972 08 38 02.89 +18 32 33.5 15836 568 A24813 1995 02 24.3359 08 38 02.69 +18 32 34.3 15836 568 A24813 1995 02 24.4604 08 38 02.00 +18 32 37.0 15836 568 A24813 1995 02 25.3718 08 37 57.30 +18 32 56.4 15836 568 A24813 1995 02 25.4050 08 37 57.09 +18 32 56.9 15836 568 A24813 1995 02 26.2409 08 37 52.84 +18 33 15.0 15836 568 A24813 1995 02 26.2967 08 37 52.59 +18 33 15.7 15836 568 A24813 1995 03 24.2445 08 36 07.92 +18 40 38.3 15836 568 C26263 1995 03 24.4144 08 36 07.46 +18 40 40.3 15836 568 C26263 1995 03 30.39924 08 35 52.81 +18 41 47.9 15836 413 C24958 1995 03 30.46524 08 35 52.65 +18 41 48.2 15836 413 C24958 1995 03 31.8820 08 35 49.65 +18 42 01.5 15836 950 C25182 1995 03 31.9770 08 35 49.54 +18 42 02.6 15836 950 C25182 1995 04 01.8741 08 35 47.84 +18 42 10.3 15836 950 C25182 1995 04 01.9792 08 35 47.65 +18 42 11.1 23.5R 15836 950 C25029 1995 04 04.25196 08 35 43.84 +18 42 32.2 15836 568 C26263 1995 04 04.38019 08 35 43.60 +18 42 33.2 15836 568 C26263 1995 04 05.23720 08 35 42.33 +18 42 39.3 15836 568 C26263 1995 04 05.36868 08 35 42.17 +18 42 40.0 15836 568 C26263 1995 12 23.50123 08 51 59.56 +17 49 49.1 15836 568 C26491 1995 12 23.53149 08 51 59.41 +17 49 49.8 15836 568 C26491 1995 12 24.51484 08 51 55.09 +17 50 09.9 15836 568 C26491 1996 01 21.21469 08 49 26.91 +18 01 09.5 15836 675 C26659 1996 01 21.26059 08 49 26.61 +18 01 11.3 15836 675 C26660 1996 01 21.35877 08 49 26.01 +18 01 13.6 15836 675 C26660 1996 01 21.39750 08 49 25.80 +18 01 14.7 15836 675 C26660 1996 01 23.41825 08 49 13.77 +18 02 07.6 15836 675 C26660 1996 01 23.45556 08 49 13.50 +18 02 08.2 15836 675 C26660 1997 03 13.09311 08 52 41.63 +18 03 36.8 15836 711 C29556 1997 03 13.10179 08 52 41.59 +18 03 37.1 15836 711 C29556 1997 03 13.10983 08 52 41.56 +18 03 36.1 15836 711 C29556 1997 03 13.11757 08 52 41.48 +18 03 37.3 15836 711 C29556 1997 03 13.16230 08 52 41.31 +18 03 37.8 15836 711 C29556 1997 03 13.17014 08 52 41.32 +18 03 38.4 15836 711 C29556 1997 03 13.17810 08 52 41.24 +18 03 37.9 15836 711 C29556 1997 03 13.19344 08 52 41.13 +18 03 38.5 15836 711 C29556 1999 01 15.39035 09 13 48.17 +16 59 07.2 15836 696 Ca3582 1999 01 15.45215 09 13 47.80 +16 59 09.3 15836 696 Ca3582 1999 01 15.51403 09 13 47.38 +16 59 12.0 15836 696 Ca3582 2000 02 06.31074 09 19 34.90 +16 47 29.9 22.6R 15836 695 Cb0719 2000 02 06.43987 09 19 34.10 +16 47 34.1 15836 695 Cb0719 2002 02 06.23543 09 35 09.22 +16 00 42.9 22.6R 15836 695 Cf0778 2002 02 06.33136 09 35 08.63 +16 00 46.2 15836 695 Cf0778 2002 02 07.29054 09 35 03.11 +16 01 15.8 15836 695 Cf0778 2006 01 06.443265 10 08 11.88 +13 59 47.7 15836 645 C~1bXW 2006 01 06.444095 10 08 11.88 +13 59 47.7 15836 645 C~1bXW 2006 01 06.446582 10 08 11.87 +13 59 47.7 15836 645 C~1bXX 2008 12 22.42610 10 30 51.47 +12 27 32.5 21.9r 15836 695 C~0hlJ 2008 12 22.51837 10 30 51.31 +12 27 34.0 22.0r 15836 695 C~0hlJ 2012 02 16.519192 10 48 56.303 +11 21 07.50 23.5G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2012 02 16.533856 10 48 56.221 +11 21 08.39 23.6G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2012 02 16.548528 10 48 56.157 +11 21 08.62 23.9G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2012 02 16.563230 10 48 56.100 +11 21 09.63 23.3G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2012 03 13.386196 10 46 35.936 +11 36 00.41 22.8G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2013 02 14.395357 10 56 12.968 +10 48 15.97 23.7G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2013 02 14.409906 10 56 12.887 +10 48 16.35 22.9G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2013 02 14.424523 10 56 12.822 +10 48 16.76 23.4G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2013 02 14.439238 10 56 12.732 +10 48 17.63 23.5G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2014 05 21.289760 10 57 05.215 +10 51 36.37 23.3G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2014 06 19.269985 10 57 39.276 +10 45 33.15 23.9G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2015 01 27.644339 11 11 44.618 +09 32 25.34 23.0G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2015 02 16.436880 11 10 15.472 +09 43 33.10 23.5G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2015 02 18.28093 11 10 06.16 +09 44 39.4 23.1R 15836 695 C~1MFS 2015 02 18.37191 11 10 05.71 +09 44 42.4 15836 695 C~1MFS 2015 02 18.46424 11 10 05.21 +09 44 46.0 15836 695 C~1MFS 2015 04 18.435534 11 05 13.900 +10 14 57.14 23.5G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2016 02 04.447941 11 18 12.614 +09 03 04.00 23.9G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2016 03 29.303522 11 13 38.917 +09 33 58.60 23.0G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2016 03 29.316020 11 13 38.859 +09 33 59.07 23.7G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2016 03 29.328537 11 13 38.784 +09 33 59.37 23.9G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2016 03 29.341141 11 13 38.725 +09 34 00.02 23.2G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2017 03 28.453132 11 20 43.006 +08 59 51.09 23.2G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2017 04 20.273130 11 19 01.725 +09 09 31.87 24.0G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2018 03 10.421920 11 29 14.520 +08 15 38.55 23.1G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2018 03 19.187274 11 28 27.93 +08 20 46.2 15836 W84 C~3dfi 2018 03 19.188588 11 28 27.92 +08 20 46.2 15836 W84 C~3dfi 2019 01 07.650551 11 40 03.123 +07 09 19.37 22.9G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2019 02 04.517032 11 38 49.353 +07 21 15.58 23.8G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2019 04 03.333184 11 34 04.065 +07 54 33.87 23.3G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2019 12 27.602262 11 46 50.005 +06 32 42.20 23.4G 15836 F51 C~41Gb 2020 01 25.571291 11 46 08.746 +06 41 51.88 23.3G 15836 F51 C~41Gb
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.23
2 0.0001 0.00 0.72 0.00 0.35
3 0.0002 0.00 0.82 0.00 0.31
4 0.0006 0.00 0.42 0.00 0.32
5 0.0031 0.00 0.76 0.00 0.10
6 0.0031 0.00 0.23 0.00 -0.10
7 0.0054 0.00 0.59 0.00 0.22
8 0.0056 0.00 1.19 0.00 -0.27
9 0.0766 0.00 0.40 0.00 -0.55
10 0.0771 0.00 0.85 0.00 -0.63
11 0.0935 0.00 0.79 0.00 0.22
12 0.0937 0.00 0.58 0.00 -0.12
13 0.0975 0.00 -1.36 0.00 -0.11
14 0.0978 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.13
15 0.1003 0.00 -0.37 0.00 -0.28
16 0.1005 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -0.39
17 0.1068 0.00 0.15 0.00 1.81
18 0.1071 0.00 -0.27 0.00 1.83
19 0.1095 0.00 -0.33 0.00 1.43
20 0.1098 0.00 0.30 0.00 1.18
21 0.8275 0.00 -0.88 0.00 -0.34
22 0.8276 0.00 -1.09 0.00 -0.26
23 0.8303 0.00 -0.64 0.00 -0.15
24 0.9061 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.28
25 0.9062 0.00 -0.56 0.00 0.31
26 0.9065 0.00 -0.64 0.00 0.04
27 0.9066 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.14
28 0.9121 0.00 0.85 0.00 0.35
29 0.9122 0.00 0.21 0.00 -0.02
30 2.0475 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.66
31 2.0475 0.00 -0.26 0.00 -0.53
32 2.0475 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -1.67
33 2.0475 0.00 -0.90 0.00 -0.62
34 2.0477 0.00 -0.59 0.00 -0.95
35 2.0477 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.49
36 2.0477 0.00 -0.63 0.00 -1.14
37 2.0477 0.00 -1.30 0.00 -0.82
38 3.8909 0.00 0.30 0.00 -0.81
39 3.8910 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.38
40 3.8912 0.00 -1.27 0.00 0.64
41 4.9502 0.00 0.51 0.00 0.23
42 4.9505 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.66
43 6.9513 0.00 0.63 0.00 0.12
44 6.9516 0.00 0.28 0.00 0.45
45 6.9542 0.00 1.14 0.00 0.49
46 10.8670 0.00 0.28 0.00 -0.13
47 10.8670 0.00 0.33 0.00 -0.15
48 10.8670 0.00 0.32 0.00 -0.21
49 13.8266 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.09
50 13.8269 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.03
51 16.9781 0.00 -0.23 0.00 -0.25
52 16.9782 0.00 -0.28 0.00 0.12
53 16.9782 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.17
54 16.9783 0.00 0.28 0.00 0.32
55 17.0490 0.00 -0.18 0.00 -0.50
56 17.9744 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.19
57 17.9744 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.06
58 17.9744 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.05
59 17.9745 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.29
60 19.2362 0.00 0.22 0.00 -0.10
61 19.3156 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.44
62 19.9244 0.00 0.47 0.00 -0.18
63 19.9786 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.01
64 19.9836 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.38
65 19.9839 0.00 0.45 0.00 0.11
66 19.9841 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.40
67 20.1456 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.02
68 20.9451 0.00 0.13 0.00 -0.03
69 21.0925 0.00 -0.27 0.00 -0.23
70 21.0926 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.13
71 21.0926 0.00 -0.39 0.00 -0.20
72 21.0926 0.00 -0.32 0.00 0.08
73 22.0895 0.00 -0.45 0.00 -0.42
74 22.1520 0.00 -0.35 0.00 0.33
75 23.0395 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.25
76 23.0635 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.02
77 23.0635 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.03
78 23.8697 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.09
79 23.9460 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.06
80 24.1042 0.00 0.27 0.00 0.26
81 24.8387 0.00 0.32 0.00 0.02
82 24.9180 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.01
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15836 quality flag:3 Type: 4:3E 4:3E 4:3E axisobj 36.392 36.392 36.392 ecceobj 0.076 0.076 0.076 incobj 6.558 6.558 6.558 qmin 33.095 33.097 33.089 qmax 40.299 40.300 40.299 amean 36.483 36.483 36.483 amin 36.129 36.130 36.129 amax 36.864 36.865 36.864 emean 0.071 0.071 0.071 emin 0.049 0.049 0.049 emax 0.094 0.094 0.094 imean 4.836 4.837 4.836 imin 2.793 2.793 2.793 imax 7.136 7.136 7.136 excite_mean 0.112 0.112 0.112 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.013 3.013 3.013 libcent 0 180.4 180.4 180.4 libamp 0 75.9 75.9 75.9 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 180.6 180.6 180.5 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 179.9