The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15BX603
# Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:15 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting 67 observations of 67
# Arc: 9.22y
# First observation: 2015/01/25
# Last observation: 2024/04/14
# Chi-squared of fit: 83.00 DOF: 128 RMS: 0.20
# Min/Max residuals: -0.51 0.81
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.784074E-05 4.694934E-02 -1.302219E-06 -9.750110E-04 4.017511E-02 -5.938332E-03
# Covariance matrix:
1.4603E-13 -6.4119E-14 -1.6338E-15 1.5047E-15 6.0991E-14 -1.3364E-13
-6.4119E-14 4.0879E-14 1.1465E-15 -9.4538E-16 -1.2803E-14 8.8331E-14
-1.6338E-15 1.1465E-15 4.8357E-14 -1.1481E-14 -3.2189E-16 2.8014E-15
1.5047E-15 -9.4538E-16 -1.1481E-14 4.8711E-15 5.8648E-16 -2.3444E-15
6.0991E-14 -1.2803E-14 -3.2189E-16 5.8648E-16 9.0762E-14 -4.0627E-14
-1.3364E-13 8.8331E-14 2.8014E-15 -2.3444E-15 -4.0627E-14 2.1753E-13
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
5.687079 149.133891 0.404972 0.088842 -0.890460 2457047.924843
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2457048.5000 = 2015/01/26
Mean Anomaly: 245.38930 +/- 0.009
Argument of Peri: 231.92096 +/- 0.006
Long of Asc Node: 46.60325 +/- 0.001
Inclination: 5.60290 +/- 0.000
Eccentricity: 0.16614808 +/- 0.0000
Semi-Major Axis: 23.66723020 +/- 0.0006
Time of Perihelion: 2470437.3177 +/- 1.6
Perihelion: 19.73496529 +/- 0.0007
Aphelion: 27.59949511 +/- 0.0009
Period (y) 115.1408 +/- 0.00
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X -21.82405674 +/- 0.0002
Ecliptic Y 13.51414767 +/- 0.0001
Ecliptic Z 2.46652880 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00130527 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT -0.00295497 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00010612 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 25.78776362 +/- 0.0001
Geocenter to KBO 24.89112292 +/- 0.0002
# Hcoef: 8.93
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15BX603. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15BX603) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 01 25.424065 10 13 20.033 +17 05 48.45 22.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2015 01 25.435959 10 13 19.928 +17 05 48.92 22.9G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2015 01 25.447884 10 13 19.847 +17 05 48.97 22.5G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2015 01 25.459800 10 13 19.771 +17 05 49.64 22.9G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2015 03 14.266187 10 07 24.531 +17 37 33.18 23.9G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2015 03 14.279702 10 07 24.477 +17 37 33.01 22.8G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2015 03 14.293943 10 07 24.357 +17 37 34.13 22.8G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2015 03 15.260004 10 07 17.663 +17 38 03.63 23.6G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2015 03 15.272790 10 07 17.592 +17 38 03.54 22.6G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 02 06.561549 10 22 25.690 +16 12 13.01 22.8G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 02 06.574233 10 22 25.602 +16 12 13.56 22.1G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 02 06.586970 10 22 25.501 +16 12 14.20 22.9G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 02 06.599727 10 22 25.417 +16 12 14.86 22.8G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 02 11.378426 10 21 50.060 +16 15 46.28 23.0G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 02 11.390425 10 21 49.969 +16 15 46.87 23.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 02 11.402076 10 21 49.867 +16 15 47.14 22.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 02 11.413689 10 21 49.768 +16 15 47.80 22.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 03 06.326852 10 18 47.224 +16 32 18.81 22.5G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 03 06.338550 10 18 47.157 +16 32 19.33 21.9G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 03 06.350197 10 18 47.076 +16 32 19.66 22.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 03 06.361948 10 18 46.970 +16 32 19.94 23.0G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 04 03.246324 10 15 44.154 +16 45 36.21 22.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 04 03.257955 10 15 44.097 +16 45 36.32 22.9G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 04 03.269659 10 15 44.042 +16 45 36.76 23.2G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 04 03.281403 10 15 43.974 +16 45 36.71 22.5G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 05 05.310049 10 13 59.624 +16 48 18.79 23.2G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 05 05.322192 10 13 59.583 +16 48 19.02 23.2G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 05 06.311923 10 13 58.679 +16 48 09.82 23.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 05 06.323799 10 13 58.623 +16 48 09.65 23.0G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2016 05 06.335638 10 13 58.626 +16 48 09.27 23.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2017 01 27.581018 10 34 00.430 +15 00 29.21 23.2G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2017 01 27.581822 10 34 00.426 +15 00 29.05 22.6G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2017 01 27.593311 10 34 00.353 +15 00 29.42 22.9G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2017 01 27.594086 10 34 00.387 +15 00 29.55 22.9G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2017 01 27.605594 10 34 00.275 +15 00 30.20 22.9G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2017 01 27.606362 10 34 00.286 +15 00 30.30 22.4G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2017 01 27.617967 10 34 00.207 +15 00 30.48 22.5G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2017 01 27.618765 10 34 00.194 +15 00 31.48 22.4G 15BX603 F51 C~436r 2017 03 05.362276 10 29 29.657 +15 27 21.16 22.5G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2017 03 05.372262 10 29 29.618 +15 27 21.85 22.6G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2017 03 19.423358 10 27 47.227 +15 35 51.88 22.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2017 03 19.435688 10 27 47.134 +15 35 51.97 21.8G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2017 03 28.248363 10 26 49.260 +15 40 10.91 22.4G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2017 03 28.258703 10 26 49.186 +15 40 11.04 23.3G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2017 03 28.279326 10 26 49.074 +15 40 11.94 23.0G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 01 15.474425 10 45 41.203 +13 44 24.36 22.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 01 15.486744 10 45 41.141 +13 44 24.79 23.1G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 01 15.499089 10 45 41.081 +13 44 25.27 22.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 01 15.511560 10 45 41.020 +13 44 25.69 23.6G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 03 07.298190 10 39 52.766 +14 21 31.71 23.3G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 03 07.308527 10 39 52.675 +14 21 32.38 22.6G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 03 07.318848 10 39 52.641 +14 21 32.58 22.4G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 03 07.329172 10 39 52.523 +14 21 33.28 22.4G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 03 18.303166 10 38 31.360 +14 28 36.71 21.7G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 03 18.329360 10 38 31.148 +14 28 37.65 21.5G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2018 03 18.342546 10 38 31.059 +14 28 38.01 22.8G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2019 01 11.514766 10 56 29.538 +12 31 51.33 23.4G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2019 01 11.525934 10 56 29.453 +12 31 51.70 23.2G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2019 01 11.537099 10 56 29.450 +12 31 52.21 22.8G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2019 01 11.548267 10 56 29.403 +12 31 52.47 23.1G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2019 02 04.419436 10 54 20.557 +12 48 05.53 22.0G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2019 02 04.431074 10 54 20.496 +12 48 05.68 22.5G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2019 02 04.442743 10 54 20.396 +12 48 06.03 22.8G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2019 02 04.454551 10 54 20.326 +12 48 06.45 22.2G 15BX603 F51 C~436s 2024 04 14.169680 11 40 14.058 +07 10 48.92 22.6G 15BX603 G37 C~7znZ 2024 04 14.211460 11 40 13.776 +07 10 50.38 15BX603 G37 C~7znZ 2024 04 14.251980 11 40 13.514 +07 10 51.87 15BX603 G37 C~7znZ
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.13
2 0.0000 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.09
3 0.0001 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.37
4 0.0001 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.21
5 0.1310 0.00 -0.41 0.00 0.09
6 0.1310 0.00 0.21 0.00 -0.50
7 0.1311 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.18
8 0.1337 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.36
9 0.1337 0.00 0.19 0.00 -0.12
10 1.0325 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.04
11 1.0326 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.03
12 1.0326 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.11
13 1.0327 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.21
14 1.0457 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.00
15 1.0458 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.06
16 1.0458 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.19
17 1.0458 0.00 -0.18 0.00 -0.04
18 1.1113 0.00 -0.16 0.00 -0.00
19 1.1113 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.08
20 1.1114 0.00 0.28 0.00 -0.03
21 1.1114 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.18
22 1.1877 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.06
23 1.1878 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.05
24 1.1878 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.17
25 1.1878 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.10
26 1.2755 0.00 0.34 0.00 -0.10
27 1.2756 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.24
28 1.2783 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.17
29 1.2783 0.00 -0.51 0.00 0.11
30 1.2783 0.00 -0.29 0.00 -0.15
31 2.0073 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.18
32 2.0073 0.00 -0.24 0.00 -0.01
33 2.0073 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.14
34 2.0073 0.00 0.38 0.00 -0.05
35 2.0073 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.10
36 2.0073 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.17
37 2.0074 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.15
38 2.0074 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.81
39 2.1080 0.00 -0.31 0.00 -0.39
40 2.1080 0.00 0.26 0.00 -0.10
41 2.1465 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.12
42 2.1465 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.43
43 2.1706 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.06
44 2.1707 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.09
45 2.1707 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.27
46 2.9734 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.12
47 2.9735 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08
48 2.9735 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.08
49 2.9735 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.02
50 3.1126 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.26
51 3.1126 0.00 -0.23 0.00 -0.01
52 3.1126 0.00 0.45 0.00 -0.24
53 3.1127 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.03
54 3.1427 0.00 0.18 0.00 -0.01
55 3.1428 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.01
56 3.1428 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.12
57 3.9619 0.00 0.21 0.00 -0.01
58 3.9619 0.00 -0.37 0.00 -0.03
59 3.9620 0.00 0.28 0.00 0.10
60 3.9620 0.00 0.26 0.00 -0.03
61 4.0274 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.47
62 4.0274 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.09
63 4.0274 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.09
64 4.0275 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.21
65 9.2176 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.14
66 9.2178 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.05
67 9.2179 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.12
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15BX603 quality flag:3 Type: CENTAURR CENTAURR CENTAURR axisobj 23.600 23.600 23.600 ecceobj 0.166 0.166 0.166 incobj 5.598 5.598 5.598 qmin 19.572 19.490 17.808 qmax 30.811 30.382 33.425 amean 25.461 24.797 25.526 amin 23.600 23.431 23.600 amax 26.697 26.988 26.340 emean 0.170 0.129 0.218 emin 0.134 0.094 0.165 emax 0.203 0.196 0.278 imean 7.748 5.076 5.654 imin 4.959 3.552 3.070 imax 9.224 7.037 6.431 excite_mean 0.217 0.157 0.240 fracstop 0.014 0.054 0.008 cjmean 2.979 3.008 2.967 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 150.5 177.5 201.4 kozaiamp 177.9 179.5 178.2