The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15DZ316
# Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:17 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting 73 observations of 73
# Arc: 5.34y
# First observation: 2014/01/24
# Last observation: 2019/05/30
# Chi-squared of fit: 51.70 DOF: 140 RMS: 0.15
# Min/Max residuals: -0.38 0.46
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
3.953697E-05 3.309109E-01 -1.140583E-05 -8.999468E-02 1.368061E-01 -1.273602E-01
# Covariance matrix:
5.7208E-14 -1.6457E-14 -5.0696E-15 1.6710E-15 3.5583E-15 1.2479E-15
-1.6457E-14 5.7633E-15 1.3136E-15 -4.9372E-16 -1.5367E-15 -1.5793E-16
-5.0696E-15 1.3136E-15 4.4643E-14 -1.3495E-14 -1.7556E-15 -3.1894E-16
1.6710E-15 -4.9372E-16 -1.3495E-14 5.1025E-15 1.3126E-15 -7.1751E-17
3.5583E-15 -1.5367E-15 -1.7556E-15 1.3126E-15 8.6588E-15 -1.5660E-15
1.2479E-15 -1.5793E-16 -3.1894E-16 -7.1751E-17 -1.5660E-15 5.6004E-16
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
9.437102 111.703425 -0.209761 0.157410 -0.946282 2456681.804938
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2456682.5000 = 2014/01/25
Mean Anomaly: 346.83360 +/- 0.000
Argument of Peri: 204.25962 +/- 0.000
Long of Asc Node: 320.52766 +/- 0.000
Inclination: 17.69645 +/- 0.000
Eccentricity: 0.57083844 +/- 0.0000
Semi-Major Axis: 16.49035008 +/- 0.0000
Time of Perihelion: 2457577.0567 +/- 0.0
Perihelion: 7.07702435 +/- 0.0000
Aphelion: 25.90367580 +/- 0.0000
Period (y) 66.9658 +/- 0.00
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X -3.21756536 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic Y 7.51536403 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic Z 1.19841083 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00533831 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT -0.00451328 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00219443 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 8.26263986 +/- 0.0000
Geocenter to KBO 7.30975837 +/- 0.0000
# Hcoef: 13.72
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15DZ316. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15DZ316) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 01 24.304160 07 40 44.927 +30 59 53.69 22.8G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2014 01 24.315400 07 40 44.681 +30 59 53.41 21.3G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2014 01 24.326652 07 40 44.412 +30 59 53.15 21.4G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2014 01 24.337913 07 40 44.132 +30 59 52.80 22.6G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2014 12 26.450645 09 14 53.234 +19 45 30.68 21.9G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2014 12 26.463601 09 14 53.075 +19 45 30.07 22.2G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2014 12 26.476569 09 14 52.895 +19 45 30.49 22.4G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 01 17.408374 09 08 26.452 +19 52 34.95 22.2G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 01 17.420342 09 08 26.169 +19 52 35.28 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 01 17.432368 09 08 25.922 +19 52 35.57 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 01 17.444406 09 08 25.665 +19 52 35.88 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 01 20.37375 09 07 22.447 +19 53 53.13 22.4w 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 01 20.38578 09 07 22.169 +19 53 53.61 22.2w 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 01 20.39784 09 07 21.907 +19 53 53.83 22.4w 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 01 20.41008 09 07 21.636 +19 53 54.43 22.4w 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 02 16.288467 08 57 06.483 +20 02 56.29 21.7G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 02 16.300779 08 57 06.199 +20 02 56.69 21.6G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 02 16.313160 08 57 05.914 +20 02 56.44 21.6G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 02 16.325535 08 57 05.640 +20 02 56.64 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 02 17.312948 08 56 43.920 +20 03 03.97 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 02 17.325379 08 56 43.642 +20 03 03.68 22.3G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 16.374526 08 48 46.112 +19 56 04.25 22.6G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 16.375201 08 48 46.100 +19 56 04.39 22.4G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 16.386839 08 48 45.955 +19 56 03.90 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 16.387501 08 48 45.941 +19 56 03.72 23.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 16.399052 08 48 45.794 +19 56 03.65 22.4G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 16.399709 08 48 45.801 +19 56 03.40 22.3G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 16.411245 08 48 45.629 +19 56 02.96 22.2G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 16.411903 08 48 45.627 +19 56 02.88 22.8G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 17.351528 08 48 34.469 +19 55 24.82 22.2G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 17.364029 08 48 34.330 +19 55 24.10 23.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 17.376539 08 48 34.184 +19 55 23.94 22.7G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2015 03 17.389144 08 48 34.019 +19 55 23.22 22.7G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 04.609743 10 35 19.828 +04 32 28.91 21.9G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 04.621796 10 35 19.756 +04 32 27.86 22.2G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 04.633872 10 35 19.673 +04 32 27.17 22.5G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 14.61371 10 33 44.731 +04 22 53.67 22.0w 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 14.62493 10 33 44.584 +04 22 53.28 22.3w 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 14.64743 10 33 44.304 +04 22 52.22 22.1w 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 17.575730 10 33 07.416 +04 20 59.51 22.3G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 17.587828 10 33 07.241 +04 20 59.11 22.3G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 17.599863 10 33 07.081 +04 20 58.65 22.2G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 01 17.611861 10 33 06.918 +04 20 58.28 22.3G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 02 06.477367 10 27 27.942 +04 18 14.95 22.6G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 02 06.490614 10 27 27.664 +04 18 15.28 22.4G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 02 06.503904 10 27 27.383 +04 18 15.60 22.6G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 02 06.517136 10 27 27.098 +04 18 15.42 22.5G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 03 07.333308 10 16 39.862 +04 36 26.62 21.9G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 03 07.344942 10 16 39.623 +04 36 26.89 22.0G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 03 07.356603 10 16 39.373 +04 36 27.48 21.8G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 03 07.368277 10 16 39.110 +04 36 27.81 21.7G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 03 31.344552 10 09 32.880 +04 53 03.92 22.9G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 03 31.356778 10 09 32.700 +04 53 04.32 22.0G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 03 31.368994 10 09 32.524 +04 53 04.60 22.3G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 04 29.249773 10 06 27.517 +04 54 02.22 22.5G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 04 29.250422 10 06 27.497 +04 54 02.12 22.5G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 04 29.261746 10 06 27.496 +04 54 01.52 22.6G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 04 29.262406 10 06 27.531 +04 54 01.47 22.2G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 04 29.273775 10 06 27.506 +04 54 01.35 22.5G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2016 04 29.285770 10 06 27.520 +04 54 00.77 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 01 30.541612 11 54 11.912 -12 16 01.45 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 01 30.553243 11 54 11.782 -12 16 02.59 22.4G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 01 30.564862 11 54 11.712 -12 16 04.08 22.3G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 01 30.576478 11 54 11.573 -12 16 05.35 22.3G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 03 21.395688 11 39 26.346 -12 22 08.72 22.4G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 03 21.406892 11 39 26.114 -12 22 07.94 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 03 21.429308 11 39 25.609 -12 22 06.37 22.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 03 31.373172 11 35 58.820 -12 08 43.21 22.0G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 03 31.385057 11 35 58.582 -12 08 42.12 22.0G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 03 31.396924 11 35 58.344 -12 08 41.02 22.0G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2017 04 25.317217 11 29 14.436 -11 29 22.16 22.5G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2019 05 30.307277 14 11 03.600 -34 03 46.08 23.1G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ 2019 05 30.327979 14 11 03.268 -34 03 43.42 22.8G 15DZ316 F51 C~7BAQ
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.25
2 0.0000 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.12
3 0.0001 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.02
4 0.0001 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.17
5 0.9203 0.00 -0.38 0.00 0.43
6 0.9204 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.31
7 0.9204 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.02
8 0.9804 0.00 0.14 0.00 -0.06
9 0.9805 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.06
10 0.9805 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.10
11 0.9805 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.11
12 0.9886 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.08
13 0.9886 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.06
14 0.9886 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.05
15 0.9887 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.21
16 1.0622 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.07
17 1.0623 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.21
18 1.0623 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.15
19 1.0623 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.07
20 1.0650 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.25
21 1.0651 0.00 0.13 0.00 -0.14
22 1.1391 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.27
23 1.1391 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.10
24 1.1392 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.11
25 1.1392 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.27
26 1.1392 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.14
27 1.1392 0.00 0.21 0.00 -0.09
28 1.1392 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -0.05
29 1.1392 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.10
30 1.1418 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.07
31 1.1418 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.12
32 1.1419 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.25
33 1.1419 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.07
34 1.9447 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.07
35 1.9447 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.11
36 1.9448 0.00 0.21 0.00 0.08
37 1.9721 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.11
38 1.9721 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.20
39 1.9722 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.11
40 1.9802 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.02
41 1.9802 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.03
42 1.9803 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.01
43 1.9803 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.03
44 2.0347 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00
45 2.0347 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.13
46 2.0348 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.24
47 2.0348 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.14
48 2.1164 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.27
49 2.1165 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.02
50 2.1165 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.01
51 2.1165 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.22
52 2.1822 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.08
53 2.1822 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.04
54 2.1822 0.00 -0.18 0.00 -0.11
55 2.2613 0.00 0.35 0.00 0.19
56 2.2613 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.11
57 2.2613 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.15
58 2.2614 0.00 0.46 0.00 -0.18
59 2.2614 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.04
60 2.2614 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.18
61 3.0178 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.27
62 3.0178 0.00 -0.35 0.00 0.30
63 3.0178 0.00 0.32 0.00 -0.03
64 3.0179 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.13
65 3.1543 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.05
66 3.1543 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.04
67 3.1543 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.01
68 3.1816 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.10
69 3.1816 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.06
70 3.1816 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.01
71 3.2499 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.01
72 5.3443 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.03
73 5.3444 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.19
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15DZ316 quality flag:3 Type: CENTAURR CENTAURR CENTAURR axisobj 16.408 16.408 16.408 ecceobj 0.565 0.565 0.565 incobj 17.681 17.681 17.681 qmin 7.073 7.007 7.074 qmax 27.055 27.084 27.040 amean 16.387 16.369 16.476 amin 16.133 15.774 16.111 amax 17.064 17.082 17.057 emean 0.562 0.566 0.567 emin 0.544 0.547 0.554 emax 0.586 0.586 0.585 imean 19.096 18.762 18.880 imin 18.788 18.453 18.788 imax 19.443 19.084 19.026 excite_mean 0.651 0.651 0.653 fracstop 0.001 0.001 0.000 cjmean 2.988 2.990 2.979 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 213.2 224.5 210.9 kozaiamp 7.0 19.4 5.4