The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15FC563
# Created Mon Jul 7 01:10:33 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting 12 observations of 12
# Arc: 7.07d
# First observation: 2015/03/18
# Last observation: 2015/03/25
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# WARNING and with gdot fixed = 0
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after 13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# Chi-squared of fit: 4.51 DOF: 20 RMS: 0.11
# Min/Max residuals: -0.23 0.18
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.532881E-05 2.256171E-02 -1.675112E-07 -4.856433E-04 2.356567E-02 0.000000E+00
# Covariance matrix:
2.9851E-11 4.4291E-08 2.1668E-14 3.1658E-12 7.0323E-09 0.0000E+00
4.4291E-08 6.6245E-05 3.2397E-11 4.7334E-09 1.0514E-05 0.0000E+00
2.1668E-14 3.2397E-11 2.1752E-13 -1.4637E-11 5.1422E-12 0.0000E+00
3.1658E-12 4.7334E-09 -1.4637E-11 2.2539E-09 7.5130E-10 0.0000E+00
7.0323E-09 1.0514E-05 5.1422E-12 7.5130E-10 1.6689E-06 0.0000E+00
0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 1.7221E-04
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
0.017228 -178.030530 0.080035 0.000426 -0.988918 2457099.969108
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2457090.5000 = 2015/03/09
Mean Anomaly: 357.97013 +/- 335.469
Argument of Peri: 181.26563 +/- 42.205
Long of Asc Node: 2.64951 +/- 0.288
Inclination: 1.22863 +/- 0.460
Eccentricity: 0.01314671 +/- 0.5639
Semi-Major Axis: 44.00487246 +/- 22.7903
Time of Perihelion: 2457691.6955 +/- 739093.3
Perihelion: 43.42635330 +/- 33.4914
Aphelion: 44.58339163 +/- 33.8967
Period (y) 291.9170 +/- 226.78
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X -43.40373286 +/- 2.3249
Ecliptic Y -1.41256328 +/- 0.0798
Ecliptic Z 0.01276809 +/- 0.0007
Ecliptic XDOT 0.00008665 +/- 0.0015
Ecliptic YDOT -0.00262543 +/- 0.0008
Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00005633 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 43.42671441 +/- 2.3236
Geocenter to KBO 42.43461495 +/- 2.3262
# Hcoef: 9.19
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15FC563. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15FC563) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 03 18.46833 12 07 15.34 -00 46 02.9 25.3r 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 18.50341 12 07 15.20 -00 46 01.9 25.2r 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 18.53399 12 07 15.05 -00 46 01.2 24.7r 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 18.56444 12 07 14.92 -00 46 00.2 24.9r 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 20.41249 12 07 06.88 -00 45 08.5 24.8i 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 20.45248 12 07 06.71 -00 45 07.5 24.9i 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 20.49422 12 07 06.52 -00 45 06.1 25.3i 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 20.53283 12 07 06.37 -00 45 05.1 25.3i 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 20.53554 12 07 06.34 -00 45 04.9 25.6i 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 25.48063 12 06 44.79 -00 42 46.3 26.9g 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 25.51107 12 06 44.66 -00 42 45.6 26.1g 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ 2015 03 25.54115 12 06 44.52 -00 42 45.0 26.5g 15FC563 T09 C~8vFZ
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.03
2 0.0001 -2.32 0.16 0.08 0.08
3 0.0002 -4.67 0.02 -0.17 -0.15
4 0.0003 -6.85 0.02 -0.03 0.01
5 0.0053 -138.06 -0.14 -0.53 -0.05
6 0.0054 -140.79 0.01 -0.63 -0.12
7 0.0055 -143.97 -0.15 -0.48 0.07
8 0.0057 -146.43 0.18 -0.45 0.12
9 0.0057 -146.92 -0.12 -0.45 0.12
10 0.0192 -498.61 -0.07 -1.79 0.15
11 0.0193 -500.67 0.06 -1.92 0.04
12 0.0194 -502.84 0.06 -2.21 -0.23
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15FC563 quality flag:0 Type: ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE axisobj 0.000 0.000 0.000 ecceobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 incobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 qmin 0.000 0.000 0.000 qmax 0.000 0.000 0.000 amean 0.000 0.000 0.000 amin 0.000 0.000 0.000 amax 0.000 0.000 0.000 emean 0.000 0.000 0.000 emin 0.000 0.000 0.000 emax 0.000 0.000 0.000 imean 0.000 0.000 0.000 imin 0.000 0.000 0.000 imax 0.000 0.000 0.000 excite_mean 0.000 0.000 0.000 fracstop 0.000 0.000 0.000 cjmean 0.000 0.000 0.000 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 0.0 0.0 0.0 kozaiamp 0.0 0.0 0.0