Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15FD399

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15FD399   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:21 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     18 observations of     18
# Arc:   1.06y
# First observation: 2015/03/18
#  Last observation: 2016/04/08
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000002   0.022154  -0.000000   0.000215   0.023341   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     6.60 DOF:     30 RMS:  0.11
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.32    0.25
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.517169E-05  2.213646E-02 -1.132481E-07  2.148798E-04  2.331467E-02 -9.653622E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  4.5320E-13  3.3269E-12 -5.6641E-16  3.8829E-14  3.5269E-12  1.6953E-10
  3.3269E-12  1.2029E-10 -2.3267E-14  1.5387E-12  5.4831E-11  6.7012E-09
 -5.6641E-16 -2.3267E-14  1.5144E-13 -1.4721E-13 -9.5991E-15 -1.3126E-12
  3.8829E-14  1.5387E-12 -1.4721E-13  3.2864E-13  6.4803E-13  8.6637E-11
  3.5269E-12  5.4831E-11 -9.5991E-15  6.4803E-13  4.3754E-11  2.8264E-09
  1.6953E-10  6.7012E-09 -1.3126E-12  8.6637E-11  2.8264E-09  3.7727E-07
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -0.121775 -177.255130    0.092800   -0.001974   -0.987808  2457100.004173
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457100.5000  =  2015/03/19
Mean Anomaly:          283.16089 +/-     2.794
Argument of Peri:       69.85310 +/-     5.688
Long of Asc Node:      194.68374 +/-     0.029
Inclination:             0.56957 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.04494050 +/-    0.0275
Semi-Major Axis:     44.24923671 +/-    0.1007
Time of Perihelion: 2480048.0824 +/-     830.7
Perihelion:          42.26065401 +/-    1.2213
Aphelion:            46.23781941 +/-    1.2220
Period (y)              294.3519 +/-      1.01
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -43.83636303 +/-    0.0122
Ecliptic Y           -2.00883845 +/-    0.0006
Ecliptic Z           -0.09114657 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00023425 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00259686 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00002556 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   43.88246191 +/-    0.0121
Geocenter to KBO     42.89145655 +/-    0.0122
# Hcoef:  7.57

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15FD399. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15FD399) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 03  18.503395 12 09 52.865  -01 12 11.67  23.7r 15FD399   568  C~2TuI      
2015 03  18.560149 12 09 52.617  -01 12 10.03  23.6r 15FD399   568  C~2TuI      
2015 03  18.562309 12 09 52.607  -01 12 10.03  23.6r 15FD399   568  C~2TuI      
2015 03  25.445947 12 09 22.991  -01 08 56.82  24.6g 15FD399   568  C~2TuI      
2015 03  25.480615 12 09 22.837  -01 08 55.86  24.5g 15FD399   568  C~2TuI      
2015 03  25.536863 12 09 22.590  -01 08 54.28  24.7g 15FD399   568  C~2TuI      
2015 03  25.539020 12 09 22.579  -01 08 54.25  24.7g 15FD399   568  C~2TuI      
2015 03  29.27183  12 09 06.54   -01 07 09.7   23.2y 15FD399   T09  C~8iaa      
2015 03  29.29096  12 09 06.46   -01 07 08.8   23.2y 15FD399   T09  C~8iaa      
2015 03  29.33172  12 09 06.29   -01 07 07.8   23.7y 15FD399   T09  C~8iaa      
2016 04  02.40651  12 13 27.27   -01 34 32.6   23.5i 15FD399   T09  C~8eRZ      
2016 04  02.45821  12 13 27.04   -01 34 31.3   23.5i 15FD399   T09  C~8eRZ      
2016 04  02.48014  12 13 26.93   -01 34 30.7   23.4i 15FD399   T09  C~8eRZ      
2016 04  04.33458  12 13 19.10   -01 33 39.5   24.7g 15FD399   T09  C~8eRZ      
2016 04  04.38088  12 13 18.90   -01 33 38.3   24.9g 15FD399   T09  C~8eRZ      
2016 04  08.50164  12 13 01.67   -01 31 46.2   24.0r 15FD399   T09  C~8eRZ      
2016 04  08.51580  12 13 01.63   -01 31 45.6   23.9r 15FD399   T09  C~8eRZ      
2016 04  08.52214  12 13 01.60   -01 31 45.4   23.8r 15FD399   T09  C~8eRZ      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.05
     2   0.0002     -4.06    -0.06       0.03     0.10
     3   0.0002     -4.20    -0.05      -0.03     0.04
     4   0.0190   -488.55     0.12       0.75     0.04
     5   0.0191   -491.05     0.10       0.71     0.01
     6   0.0193   -495.08     0.09       0.69     0.01
     7   0.0193   -495.25     0.09       0.65    -0.03
     8   0.0295   -757.52    -0.07       0.98    -0.28
     9   0.0295   -758.98    -0.18       1.33     0.07
    10   0.0296   -761.72    -0.02       1.23    -0.01
    11   1.0429   3483.57     0.10      46.60     0.25
    12   1.0430   3479.89     0.07      46.42     0.09
    13   1.0431   3478.13    -0.14      46.32    -0.01
    14   1.0481   3350.01    -0.04      46.69     0.03
    15   1.0483   3346.78    -0.03      46.60    -0.04
    16   1.0595   3065.09    -0.09      46.89    -0.32
    17   1.0596   3064.30     0.09      47.21    -0.00
    18   1.0596   3063.81     0.03      47.21     0.01

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15FD399    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.844    44.256    43.732
ecceobj         0.044     0.119     0.027
incobj          0.572     0.572     0.572
qmin           41.419    38.522    42.036
qmax           46.885    50.809    45.982
amean          44.061    44.493    43.944
amin           43.720    44.106    43.600
amax           44.420    44.899    44.295
emean           0.041     0.114     0.024
emin            0.024     0.090     0.007
emax            0.056     0.132     0.039
imean           2.106     2.287     2.084
imin            1.437     1.327     1.415
imax            2.679     3.036     2.659
excite_mean     0.055     0.121     0.044
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.099     3.090     3.099

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       172.1     180.4     171.2
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     179.9