The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15FD490
# Created Sun Feb 23 02:10:20 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting 14 observations of 14
# Arc: 10.90d
# First observation: 2015/03/18
# Last observation: 2015/03/29
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
-0.000001 0.102421 -0.000001 -0.009712 0.084133 0.000000
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after 13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after 13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after 13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# Chi-squared of fit: 9.64 DOF: 23 RMS: 0.15
# Min/Max residuals: -0.41 0.13
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
-1.562084E-05 -5.813089E-02 -2.680763E-06 -9.798949E-03 5.873553E-02 5.208902E-02
# Covariance matrix:
2.1455E-11 7.8803E-08 -3.1383E-13 4.0153E-11 1.2482E-08 -2.3343E-08
7.8803E-08 2.9363E-04 -1.1755E-09 1.5234E-07 4.6487E-05 -9.6678E-05
-3.1383E-13 -1.1755E-09 2.2098E-13 -1.0087E-11 -1.8601E-10 4.3855E-10
4.0153E-11 1.5234E-07 -1.0087E-11 8.9081E-10 2.4074E-08 -7.2587E-08
1.2482E-08 4.6487E-05 -1.8601E-10 2.4074E-08 7.3600E-06 -1.5150E-05
-2.3343E-08 -9.6678E-05 4.3855E-10 -7.2587E-08 -1.5150E-05 1.1125E-04
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
1.054886 -179.630784 0.051660 0.018366 -0.990644 2457100.010748
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2457100.5000 = 2015/03/19
Mean Anomaly: 68.04727 +/- 76.526
Argument of Peri: 30.75096 +/- 29.614
Long of Asc Node: 354.30900 +/- 1.737
Inclination: 170.38450 +/- 2.758
Eccentricity: 0.67943408 +/- 0.1370
Semi-Major Axis: 15.24381807 +/- 6.6847
Time of Perihelion: 2452991.3946 +/- 3748.2
Perihelion: 4.88664855 +/- 2.9921
Aphelion: 25.60098759 +/- 11.4191
Period (y) 59.5181 +/- 39.15
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X -18.01648447 +/- 0.7862
Ecliptic Y -0.06371920 +/- 0.0050
Ecliptic Z 0.31341591 +/- 0.0145
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00245686 +/- 0.0006
Ecliptic YDOT 0.00268814 +/- 0.0009
Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00041189 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 18.01932303 +/- 0.7861
Geocenter to KBO 17.02546970 +/- 0.7864
# Hcoef: 11.08
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15FD490. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15FD490) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 03 18.50997 12 03 02.01 +00 49 15.5 23.7r 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 18.52074 12 03 01.84 +00 49 16.5 23.5r 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 18.55140 12 03 01.39 +00 49 19.2 23.4r 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 18.57737 12 03 00.99 +00 49 21.6 23.4r 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.44069 12 02 33.16 +00 52 11.7 23.1i 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.47725 12 02 32.61 +00 52 15.3 23.1i 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.51900 12 02 32.00 +00 52 19.0 23.1i 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.55475 12 02 31.45 +00 52 22.3 23.2i 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 25.48707 12 01 17.85 +00 59 50.8 24.2g 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 25.49781 12 01 17.69 +00 59 51.8 23.8g 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 25.52597 12 01 17.25 +00 59 54.5 23.9g 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 29.29907 12 00 21.32 +01 05 34.3 23.0y 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 29.30183 12 00 21.27 +01 05 34.3 23.4y 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 29.41284 12 00 19.59 +01 05 44.6 23.5y 15FD490 T09 C~8eRh
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.01
2 0.0000 -2.74 -0.11 -0.10 -0.02
3 0.0001 -10.00 0.11 -0.30 -0.03
4 0.0002 -16.46 -0.02 -0.49 -0.06
5 0.0053 -467.09 -0.30 -10.47 -0.21
6 0.0054 -476.09 -0.35 -10.45 0.05
7 0.0055 -485.95 -0.01 -10.69 0.08
8 0.0056 -494.83 -0.16 -10.95 0.06
9 0.0191 -1686.04 0.12 -38.49 -0.04
10 0.0191 -1688.64 0.13 -38.53 0.00
11 0.0192 -1695.77 -0.14 -38.68 0.05
12 0.0295 -2600.63 0.03 -60.47 0.09
13 0.0295 -2601.32 0.01 -60.77 -0.19
14 0.0299 -2628.53 -0.41 -61.34 0.02
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15FD490 quality flag:0 Type: ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE axisobj 0.000 0.000 0.000 ecceobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 incobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 qmin 0.000 0.000 0.000 qmax 0.000 0.000 0.000 amean 0.000 0.000 0.000 amin 0.000 0.000 0.000 amax 0.000 0.000 0.000 emean 0.000 0.000 0.000 emin 0.000 0.000 0.000 emax 0.000 0.000 0.000 imean 0.000 0.000 0.000 imin 0.000 0.000 0.000 imax 0.000 0.000 0.000 excite_mean 0.000 0.000 0.000 fracstop 0.000 0.000 0.000 cjmean 0.000 0.000 0.000 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 0.0 0.0 0.0 kozaiamp 0.0 0.0 0.0