The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15FE490 # Created Sun Feb 23 02:10:20 2025 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 24 observations of 24 # Arc: 10.88d # First observation: 2015/03/18 # Last observation: 2015/03/29 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 0.000001 0.013449 -0.000001 0.004374 0.020299 0.000000 # WARNING Fitting with energy constraint # WARNING MRQMIN stopped after 16 iterations -- oscilliatory solution # WARNING MRQMIN stopped after 13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution # Chi-squared of fit: 7.49 DOF: 43 RMS: 0.10 # Min/Max residuals: -0.25 0.21 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.370891E-05 1.642711E-02 2.791329E-06 4.372972E-03 2.076760E-02 -8.698555E-03 # Covariance matrix: 7.3313E-11 9.3730E-08 -7.1755E-14 1.4205E-11 1.4943E-08 8.6466E-08 9.3730E-08 1.2010E-04 -9.1407E-11 1.8026E-08 1.9145E-05 1.0948E-04 -7.1755E-14 -9.1407E-11 1.3973E-13 -6.2162E-12 -1.4589E-11 -1.1688E-10 1.4205E-11 1.8026E-08 -6.2162E-12 4.9385E-10 2.8794E-09 2.7486E-08 1.4943E-08 1.9145E-05 -1.4589E-11 2.8794E-09 3.0518E-06 1.7497E-05 8.6466E-08 1.0948E-04 -1.1688E-10 2.7486E-08 1.7497E-05 1.8276E-04 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 0.248702 -178.716121 0.068094 0.004425 -0.989804 2457099.974968 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457090.5000 = 2015/03/09 Mean Anomaly: 302.93024 +/- 55.751 Argument of Peri: 111.81910 +/- 84.514 Long of Asc Node: 180.28696 +/- 0.616 Inclination: 14.88142 +/- 9.473 Eccentricity: 0.45739143 +/- 0.7367 Semi-Major Axis: 52.02011101 +/- 27.4589 Time of Perihelion: 2478815.4541 +/- 12430.6 Perihelion: 28.22655800 +/- 41.1177 Aphelion: 75.81366403 +/- 55.4089 Period (y) 375.2020 +/- 297.08 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -49.13359426 +/- 4.0494 Ecliptic Y -1.03321020 +/- 0.0904 Ecliptic Z 0.20916146 +/- 0.0176 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00119406 +/- 0.0018 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00214511 +/- 0.0013 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00057161 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 49.14490164 +/- 4.0485 Geocenter to KBO 48.15193632 +/- 4.0505 # Hcoef: 7.26
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15FE490. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15FE490) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 03 18.47419 12 05 06.45 -00 16 56.9 24.5r 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 18.50126 12 05 06.35 -00 16 56.4 24.1r 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 18.53399 12 05 06.23 -00 16 55.4 24.3r 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 18.53616 12 05 06.22 -00 16 55.4 24.1r 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 18.56444 12 05 06.12 -00 16 54.6 24.1r 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.41961 12 04 58.91 -00 16 02.7 23.7i 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.46072 12 04 58.75 -00 16 01.7 23.7i 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.49422 12 04 58.61 -00 16 00.7 23.6i 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.49965 12 04 58.59 -00 16 00.3 23.6i 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.53554 12 04 58.44 -00 15 59.5 23.5i 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 20.53830 12 04 58.44 -00 15 59.5 23.6i 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 22.47399 12 04 50.91 -00 15 05.1 23.9i 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 22.49345 12 04 50.84 -00 15 04.6 23.7i 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 22.51021 12 04 50.78 -00 15 04.2 23.8i 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 25.48492 12 04 39.19 -00 13 40.9 25.2g 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 25.51107 12 04 39.11 -00 13 40.3 25.2g 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 25.51323 12 04 39.08 -00 13 40.3 25.2g 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 25.55400 12 04 38.93 -00 13 38.9 25.0g 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 29.25584 12 04 24.61 -00 11 56.1 23.7y 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 29.27727 12 04 24.52 -00 11 55.4 23.2y 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 29.31534 12 04 24.38 -00 11 54.3 23.1y 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 29.33446 12 04 24.30 -00 11 53.8 23.8y 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 29.35353 12 04 24.23 -00 11 53.1 23.2y 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh 2015 03 29.35897 12 04 24.20 -00 11 53.1 23.9y 15FE490 T09 C~8eRh
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.11 2 0.0001 -1.58 -0.05 -0.14 -0.08 3 0.0002 -3.62 0.04 0.06 0.05 4 0.0002 -3.76 0.04 0.00 -0.01 5 0.0002 -5.46 0.20 0.14 0.06 6 0.0053 -125.33 0.01 4.75 0.00 7 0.0054 -127.92 0.11 4.72 -0.12 8 0.0055 -130.25 -0.01 4.80 -0.10 9 0.0055 -130.68 -0.09 5.05 0.13 10 0.0056 -133.07 -0.12 4.88 -0.10 11 0.0057 -133.07 0.06 4.88 -0.11 12 0.0110 -258.33 -0.06 9.88 0.07 13 0.0110 -259.50 0.05 9.92 0.07 14 0.0111 -260.48 0.17 9.93 0.05 15 0.0192 -453.12 -0.16 17.22 0.01 16 0.0193 -454.46 0.21 17.30 0.03 17 0.0193 -454.87 -0.06 17.12 -0.16 18 0.0194 -457.49 -0.02 17.51 0.15 19 0.0295 -695.46 0.08 26.40 -0.12 20 0.0296 -696.98 -0.05 26.51 -0.06 21 0.0297 -699.34 0.05 26.68 0.04 22 0.0297 -700.64 -0.01 26.66 -0.02 23 0.0298 -701.88 -0.01 26.89 0.16 24 0.0298 -702.29 -0.07 26.71 -0.03
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15FE490 quality flag:0 Type: ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE axisobj 0.000 0.000 0.000 ecceobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 incobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 qmin 0.000 0.000 0.000 qmax 0.000 0.000 0.000 amean 0.000 0.000 0.000 amin 0.000 0.000 0.000 amax 0.000 0.000 0.000 emean 0.000 0.000 0.000 emin 0.000 0.000 0.000 emax 0.000 0.000 0.000 imean 0.000 0.000 0.000 imin 0.000 0.000 0.000 imax 0.000 0.000 0.000 excite_mean 0.000 0.000 0.000 fracstop 0.000 0.000 0.000 cjmean 0.000 0.000 0.000 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 0.0 0.0 0.0 kozaiamp 0.0 0.0 0.0