Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15FF495

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15FF495   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:22 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     15 observations of     15
# Arc:  10.86d
# First observation: 2015/03/18
#  Last observation: 2015/03/29
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000001   0.029208  -0.000000   0.010415   0.024088   0.000000
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# Chi-squared of fit:     4.54 DOF:     25 RMS:  0.10
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.30    0.15
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.070125E-05  1.562019E-02  7.214330E-06  1.041611E-02  2.193456E-02  9.224343E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  2.5945E-10  3.6236E-07 -1.6921E-12 -5.1598E-11  5.7384E-08 -3.3828E-07
  3.6236E-07  5.0662E-04 -2.3645E-09 -7.2667E-08  8.0226E-05 -4.7465E-04
 -1.6921E-12 -2.3645E-09  2.5241E-13 -9.5883E-12 -3.7447E-10  2.1432E-09
 -5.1598E-11 -7.2667E-08 -9.5883E-12  7.0450E-10 -1.1489E-08  9.9615E-08
  5.7384E-08  8.0226E-05 -3.7447E-10 -1.1489E-08  1.2704E-05 -7.5104E-05
 -3.3828E-07 -4.7465E-04  2.1432E-09  9.9615E-08 -7.5104E-05  5.4669E-04
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.192617 -178.457737    0.072198    0.020722   -0.989310  2457099.995558
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457090.5000  =  2015/03/09
Mean Anomaly:           54.76154 +/-    54.635
Argument of Peri:      255.04933 +/-   135.471
Long of Asc Node:      179.69720 +/-     2.526
Inclination:            33.62606 +/-    37.878
Eccentricity:         0.44551610 +/-    1.1945
Semi-Major Axis:     50.52223013 +/-   25.7108
Time of Perihelion: 2437138.0900 +/-   12817.2
Perihelion:          28.01376321 +/-   62.0119
Aphelion:            73.03069705 +/-   70.8767
Period (y)              359.1137 +/-    274.13
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -46.55798180 +/-    7.4040
Ecliptic Y           -1.18127590 +/-    0.1987
Ecliptic Z            0.94924148 +/-    0.1543
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00107460 +/-    0.0031
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00198501 +/-    0.0024
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00132390 +/-    0.0003
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   46.58263777 +/-    7.4001
Geocenter to KBO     45.59015333 +/-    7.4083
# Hcoef:  7.56

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15FF495. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15FF495) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 03  18.49478  12 07 33.43   +00 28 51.1   24.2r 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  18.55140  12 07 33.19   +00 28 52.9   24.4r 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  18.57964  12 07 33.07   +00 28 53.8   24.2r 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  20.46072  12 07 25.42   +00 29 55.9   23.7i 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  20.49692  12 07 25.27   +00 29 57.3   23.8i 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  20.49965  12 07 25.25   +00 29 57.3   23.7i 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  20.53554  12 07 25.10   +00 29 58.5   23.6i 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  25.47205  12 07 04.98   +00 32 40.9   24.9g 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  25.48492  12 07 04.92   +00 32 41.6   25.0g 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  25.52811  12 07 04.74   +00 32 42.9   24.9g 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  29.26630  12 06 49.57   +00 34 45.2   23.0y 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  29.29365  12 06 49.45   +00 34 46.2   23.7y 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  29.32352  12 06 49.33   +00 34 46.7   24.3y 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  29.34265  12 06 49.25   +00 34 47.7   24.1y 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      
2015 03  29.35897  12 06 49.19   +00 34 48.2   23.7y 15FF495   T09  C~8iaj      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.06
     2   0.0002     -4.02     0.06       0.22    -0.04
     3   0.0002     -6.03     0.02       0.33    -0.09
     4   0.0054   -136.01     0.04      11.68    -0.06
     5   0.0055   -138.63    -0.04      12.07     0.13
     6   0.0055   -138.90    -0.12      11.95     0.00
     7   0.0056   -141.44    -0.14      12.16     0.01
     8   0.0191   -482.92     0.15      41.17    -0.10
     9   0.0191   -484.03    -0.05      41.45     0.11
    10   0.0193   -487.02    -0.02      41.57    -0.00
    11   0.0295   -744.43     0.04      63.31     0.07
    12   0.0296   -746.48    -0.12      63.51     0.12
    13   0.0296   -748.33     0.11      63.26    -0.30
    14   0.0297   -749.83    -0.06      63.70     0.04
    15   0.0297   -750.85     0.05      63.80     0.06

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15FF495    quality flag:0

Type:      ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE

axisobj         0.000     0.000     0.000
ecceobj        -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
incobj         -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
qmin            0.000     0.000     0.000
qmax            0.000     0.000     0.000
amean           0.000     0.000     0.000
amin            0.000     0.000     0.000
amax            0.000     0.000     0.000
emean           0.000     0.000     0.000
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.000     0.000     0.000
imean           0.000     0.000     0.000
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            0.000     0.000     0.000
excite_mean     0.000     0.000     0.000
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          0.000     0.000     0.000

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean         0.0       0.0       0.0
kozaiamp          0.0       0.0       0.0