The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15FV403
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:15 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting 11 observations of 11
# Arc: 0.98y
# First observation: 2015/03/17
# Last observation: 2016/03/09
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
-0.000023 0.013514 0.000005 -0.002822 0.017910 0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit: 8.71 DOF: 16 RMS: 0.16
# Min/Max residuals: -0.44 0.33
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.208127E-05 1.345761E-02 -2.721953E-06 -2.820634E-03 1.814274E-02 7.502899E-04
# Covariance matrix:
4.8997E-13 6.6491E-13 2.5505E-14 -2.5445E-13 1.2865E-12 8.6033E-11
6.6491E-13 3.4118E-11 5.4313E-13 -6.9097E-12 1.7359E-11 2.3729E-09
2.5505E-14 5.4313E-13 2.3969E-13 -3.9643E-13 3.1755E-13 3.9521E-11
-2.5445E-13 -6.9097E-12 -3.9643E-13 2.2780E-12 -3.8011E-12 -4.9718E-10
1.2865E-12 1.7359E-11 3.1755E-13 -3.8011E-12 1.1755E-11 1.3008E-09
8.6033E-11 2.3729E-09 3.9521E-11 -4.9718E-10 1.3008E-09 1.7063E-07
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
1.376590 159.817748 -0.278993 0.023011 -0.951474 2457098.782398
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2457090.5000 = 2015/03/09
Mean Anomaly: 158.14196 +/- 7.252
Argument of Peri: 8.74532 +/- 7.296
Long of Asc Node: 346.54843 +/- 0.002
Inclination: 11.88371 +/- 0.004
Eccentricity: 0.18615771 +/- 0.0065
Semi-Major Axis: 47.65813591 +/- 0.1133
Time of Perihelion: 2404300.8689 +/- 2413.4
Perihelion: 38.78620626 +/- 0.3219
Aphelion: 56.53006557 +/- 0.3365
Period (y) 329.0135 +/- 1.17
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X -52.71218193 +/- 0.0098
Ecliptic Y 19.07711157 +/- 0.0036
Ecliptic Z 1.32399793 +/- 0.0002
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00081992 +/- 0.0001
Ecliptic YDOT -0.00186933 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00042272 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 56.07373075 +/- 0.0093
Geocenter to KBO 55.11846764 +/- 0.0104
# Hcoef: 7.65
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15FV403. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15FV403) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 03 17.28162 10 47 33.385 +09 09 45.57 25.0r 15FV403 568 C~2Zrj 2015 03 17.37593 10 47 33.061 +09 09 47.25 15FV403 568 C~2Zrj 2015 03 17.49165 10 47 32.647 +09 09 49.62 15FV403 568 C~2Zrj 2015 04 18.05152 10 45 58.799 +09 17 55.29 15FV403 304 C~2Zrj 2015 04 18.15984 10 45 58.594 +09 17 56.29 25.2r 15FV403 304 C~2Zrj 2015 04 19.06583 10 45 56.527 +09 18 06.27 15FV403 304 C~2Zrj 2015 06 20.26708 10 45 34.710 +09 17 00.63 25.1r 15FV403 568 C~2Zrj 2015 06 21.28231 10 45 36.418 +09 16 47.10 15FV403 568 C~2Zrj 2016 03 08.19476 10 50 41.849 +08 40 30.06 15FV403 304 C~2Zrj 2016 03 09.19988 10 50 38.220 +08 40 49.89 15FV403 304 C~2Zrj 2016 03 09.26598 10 50 37.990 +08 40 51.13 15FV403 304 C~2Zrj
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.05
2 0.0003 -5.08 0.09 -0.26 0.01
3 0.0006 -11.65 -0.05 -0.38 0.16
4 0.0870 -1481.68 -0.44 -75.44 -0.13
5 0.0873 -1484.87 0.33 -75.66 -0.02
6 0.0898 -1516.97 0.18 -77.96 0.09
7 0.2601 -1791.37 -0.08 -260.52 -0.08
8 0.2628 -1762.85 0.04 -263.53 -0.15
9 0.9772 3250.14 0.10 -565.53 0.24
10 0.9799 3192.82 -0.13 -567.64 -0.08
11 0.9801 3189.19 0.04 -567.79 -0.09
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15FV403 quality flag:2 Type: SCATNEAR 2:1E SCATNEAR axisobj 47.365 47.955 47.208 ecceobj 0.195 0.222 0.189 incobj 11.951 11.953 11.951 qmin 36.646 36.768 37.526 qmax 58.867 59.795 57.378 amean 47.420 47.798 47.235 amin 46.962 47.142 46.804 amax 48.063 48.561 47.763 emean 0.203 0.204 0.187 emin 0.177 0.179 0.171 emax 0.226 0.232 0.204 imean 12.265 13.036 12.293 imin 11.278 12.392 11.736 imax 13.147 13.969 12.868 excite_mean 0.294 0.305 0.283 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.036 3.032 3.042 libcent 0 -180.0 180.2 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 160.8 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 173.6 157.1 172.2 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0