Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15GF58

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15GF58    
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:18 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     37 observations of     37
# Arc:   9.29y
# First observation: 2015/02/17
#  Last observation: 2024/06/03
# Chi-squared of fit:     7.14 DOF:     68 RMS:  0.08
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.37    0.20
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.626899E-05  2.552642E-02 -3.411604E-07 -6.911050E-04  2.496399E-02 -3.244592E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  1.5977E-13 -6.3060E-14 -1.6674E-15  1.9987E-15  8.7664E-14 -2.9778E-13
 -6.3060E-14  1.7317E-13  2.2802E-15 -5.1612E-15  4.0387E-14  7.9040E-13
 -1.6674E-15  2.2802E-15  5.0438E-14 -8.4938E-15 -4.6344E-16  1.1194E-14
  1.9987E-15 -5.1612E-15 -8.4938E-15  6.4885E-15 -9.0922E-16 -2.4582E-14
  8.7664E-14  4.0387E-14 -4.6344E-16 -9.0922E-16  1.2105E-13  1.4840E-13
 -2.9778E-13  7.9040E-13  1.1194E-14 -2.4582E-14  1.4840E-13  3.7611E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    2.785356 -156.604513    0.807986    0.027541   -0.563207  2457071.081158
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457070.5000  =  2015/02/17
Mean Anomaly:          340.85228 +/-     0.049
Argument of Peri:      141.32085 +/-     0.058
Long of Asc Node:       83.61228 +/-     0.003
Inclination:             3.12810 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.08550205 +/-    0.0000
Semi-Major Axis:     44.15893916 +/-    0.0028
Time of Perihelion: 2462771.3662 +/-      17.3
Perihelion:          40.38325944 +/-    0.0031
Aphelion:            47.93461888 +/-    0.0035
Period (y)              293.4514 +/-      0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -37.56207628 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Y          -15.36948819 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Z            1.94657159 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00113721 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00256229 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00007734 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   40.63153320 +/-    0.0005
Geocenter to KBO     40.05773496 +/-    0.0006
# Hcoef:  7.44

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15GF58. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15GF58) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 02  17.58038  13 30 44.738  -06 29 54.44  23.5r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 02  17.62132  13 30 44.646  -06 29 53.77  23.8r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 02  20.61441  13 30 37.766  -06 29 03.13  23.5r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 03  18.55881  13 29 11.759  -06 19 29.63  23.5r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 03  18.59998  13 29 11.590  -06 19 28.55  23.3r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 03  20.56294  13 29 03.529  -06 18 37.72        15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 04  11.49722  13 27 25.439  -06 08 42.04  23.3r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 04  13.36151  13 27 16.749  -06 07 51.05  23.4r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 04  13.40245  13 27 16.549  -06 07 49.89  23.3r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 04  13.48799  13 27 16.154  -06 07 47.73  23.7r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 04  13.50003  13 27 16.094  -06 07 47.37  23.5r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 04  13.50498  13 27 16.069  -06 07 47.12  23.6r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 04  19.40228  13 26 48.616  -06 05 07.77  23.5r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 04  19.51922  13 26 48.062  -06 05 04.75  23.3r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 05  18.27664  13 24 45.183  -05 53 50.20  23.5r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 05  18.32493  13 24 45.002  -05 53 49.29  23.5r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 06  20.27498  13 23 19.283  -05 47 24.84  23.6r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 06  20.31583  13 23 19.223  -05 47 24.68  22.4r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 06  22.31959  13 23 16.713  -05 47 18.83  23.5r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 07  14.27191  13 23 12.285  -05 48 36.45  23.5r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2015 07  20.26475  13 23 18.567  -05 49 42.75  23.2r 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 02  04.56329  13 36 30.564  -07 07 02.36  23.6w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 02  10.55122  13 36 23.639  -07 05 59.65  23.7w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 02  10.60087  13 36 23.572  -07 05 58.94  23.7w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 04  03.43317  13 33 28.586  -06 46 57.50  23.7w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 04  09.41297  13 33 00.976  -06 44 14.57  23.7w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 05  01.36453  13 31 19.708  -06 34 40.02  24.3w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 05  02.30717  13 31 15.541  -06 34 17.10  23.7w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 05  06.31695  13 30 58.102  -06 32 42.46  24.0w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 05  28.27195  13 29 35.366  -06 25 37.81  23.9w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 06  04.35340  13 29 14.726  -06 24 02.32  23.7w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 06  27.27271  13 28 34.360  -06 21 42.34  23.8w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2016 07  06.30847  13 28 30.690  -06 22 03.08  24.0w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2017 03  29.47339  13 39 22.723  -07 24 00.05  23.1w 15GF58    568  C~2nvZ      
2024 06  03.174840 14 13 33.763  -10 54 31.85  23.9G 15GF58    G37  C~83DF      
2024 06  03.218340 14 13 33.596  -10 54 31.18        15GF58    G37  C~83DF      
2024 06  03.263500 14 13 33.426  -10 54 31.01        15GF58    G37  C~83DF      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.01
     2   0.0001      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.01
     3   0.0083      0.00     0.00       0.00     0.01
     4   0.0793      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.03
     5   0.0795      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.02
     6   0.0848      0.00     0.07       0.00    -0.01
     7   0.1449      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.10
     8   0.1500      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.07
     9   0.1501      0.00    -0.17       0.00     0.11
    10   0.1503      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.06
    11   0.1504      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.03
    12   0.1504      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.08
    13   0.1665      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.05
    14   0.1668      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.06
    15   0.2456      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.01
    16   0.2457      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.02
    17   0.3359      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.02
    18   0.3360      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.03
    19   0.3415      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.01
    20   0.4016      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.04
    21   0.4180      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.02
    22   0.9637      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.00
    23   0.9801      0.00    -0.11       0.00    -0.12
    24   0.9802      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.01
    25   1.1249      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.04
    26   1.1412      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.04
    27   1.2013      0.00    -0.08       0.00    -0.06
    28   1.2039      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.02
    29   1.2149      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.01
    30   1.2750      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.08
    31   1.2944      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.10
    32   1.3571      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.02
    33   1.3819      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.03
    34   2.1106      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.17
    35   9.2912      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.20
    36   9.2913      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.18
    37   9.2914      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.37

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15GF58    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.725    43.725    43.725
ecceobj         0.078     0.078     0.078
incobj          3.128     3.128     3.128
qmin           39.881    39.895    39.934
qmax           48.341    48.347    48.310
amean          44.009    44.011    44.006
amin           43.653    43.655    43.662
amax           44.397    44.388    44.369
emean           0.073     0.074     0.074
emin            0.057     0.057     0.057
emax            0.090     0.090     0.089
imean           1.319     1.315     1.323
imin            0.496     0.487     0.500
imax            1.949     1.953     1.946
excite_mean     0.077     0.078     0.077
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.094     3.094     3.094

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       206.1     207.4     204.1
kozaiamp        179.9     180.0     180.0