Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15GH59

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15GH59    
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:18 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     37 observations of     37
# Arc:   2.11y
# First observation: 2015/02/17
#  Last observation: 2017/03/30
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000121   0.022825   0.000006  -0.001785   0.023565   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    18.57 DOF:     68 RMS:  0.13
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.51    0.23
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.407493E-05  2.270498E-02 -1.518979E-06 -1.771353E-03  2.360609E-02 -5.834068E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  1.8738E-13 -5.1855E-15 -2.1426E-16 -7.9537E-15  1.5271E-13  3.2160E-12
 -5.1855E-15  2.6188E-13  1.7147E-15 -1.9396E-14  1.7537E-13  7.8527E-12
 -2.1426E-16  1.7147E-15  9.4171E-14 -8.2466E-14  8.8702E-16  1.2309E-13
 -7.9537E-15 -1.9396E-14 -8.2466E-14  1.2585E-13 -2.1421E-14 -1.1593E-12
  1.5271E-13  1.7537E-13  8.8702E-16 -2.1421E-14  2.8235E-13  8.6680E-12
  3.2160E-12  7.8527E-12  1.2309E-13 -1.1593E-12  8.6680E-12  4.6947E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    2.906393 -153.818847    0.834207    0.026722   -0.523628  2457071.105668
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457070.5000  =  2015/02/17
Mean Anomaly:          291.19349 +/-     0.269
Argument of Peri:      220.60327 +/-     0.370
Long of Asc Node:       58.07385 +/-     0.005
Inclination:             5.25787 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.04516138 +/-    0.0009
Semi-Major Axis:     43.52790417 +/-    0.0044
Time of Perihelion: 2477118.7796 +/-      78.4
Perihelion:          41.56212404 +/-    0.0402
Aphelion:            45.49368431 +/-    0.0403
Period (y)              287.1837 +/-      0.04
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -38.80820823 +/-    0.0009
Ecliptic Y          -18.14915305 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Z            2.14787638 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00120950 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00234352 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00020852 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   42.89617880 +/-    0.0008
Geocenter to KBO     42.36195353 +/-    0.0010
# Hcoef:  8.36

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15GH59. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15GH59) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 02  17.60489  13 41 21.981  -07 23 52.06  24.8r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 02  17.64586  13 41 21.880  -07 23 51.52  24.7r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 02  20.63905  13 41 15.794  -07 23 08.07  24.5r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 03  18.58338  13 39 56.821  -07 14 41.97  24.8r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 03  18.63265  13 39 56.636  -07 14 40.76  24.8r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 03  20.58759  13 39 49.097  -07 13 55.39  24.8r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 04  11.52247  13 38 15.980  -07 04 52.96  24.2r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 04  13.38609  13 38 07.633  -07 04 06.03  24.6r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 04  13.44737  13 38 07.360  -07 04 04.46  24.0r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 04  13.45145  13 38 07.336  -07 04 04.35  24.3r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 04  13.45555  13 38 07.307  -07 04 04.33  24.5r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 04  13.52960  13 38 06.984  -07 04 02.37  24.4r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 04  19.49744  13 37 40.154  -07 01 33.26  24.3r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 04  19.55519  13 37 39.857  -07 01 31.74  24.8r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 05  18.34948  13 35 38.731  -06 50 57.64  24.4r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 06  20.29948  13 34 08.695  -06 44 35.20  24.5r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 06  20.34029  13 34 08.633  -06 44 34.93  25.2r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 06  22.34439  13 34 05.657  -06 44 27.65  24.6r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 07  14.29673  13 33 54.597  -06 45 18.76  25.0r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2015 07  20.28959  13 33 58.713  -06 46 14.95  24.6r 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 02  04.60621  13 46 24.575  -07 59 50.90  24.9w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 02  11.58929  13 46 17.716  -07 58 50.81  24.9w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 03  11.59678  13 45 07.365  -07 51 03.57  24.6w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 04  03.46957  13 43 37.019  -07 42 10.83  25.0w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 04  09.45073  13 43 10.635  -07 39 41.79  24.9w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 05  01.45743  13 41 32.315  -07 30 48.40  24.9w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 05  01.46152  13 41 32.289  -07 30 48.83  25.1w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 05  02.33152  13 41 28.532  -07 30 28.61  25.1w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 05  02.33557  13 41 28.518  -07 30 28.49  25.7w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 05  02.36396  13 41 28.371  -07 30 27.98  24.9w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 05  07.33487  13 41 07.192  -07 28 38.35  24.8w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 05  07.33893  13 41 07.168  -07 28 38.25  24.7w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 05  29.33959  13 39 45.135  -07 21 59.42  24.9w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 06  04.40200  13 39 27.082  -07 20 40.35  24.9w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 06  27.33817  13 38 42.418  -07 18 11.02  24.7w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2016 07  07.32804  13 38 36.067  -07 18 25.46  25.0w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      
2017 03  30.50178  13 48 45.331  -08 17 59.46  24.7w 15GH59    568  C~2nvd      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.23       0.00     0.07
     2   0.0001     -1.60    -0.02      -0.04    -0.06
     3   0.0083   -101.70    -0.01       7.91     0.11
     4   0.0793  -1380.11     0.08      56.60    -0.08
     5   0.0795  -1383.11     0.13      56.74     0.01
     6   0.0848  -1504.12    -0.04      58.58    -0.22
     7   0.1449  -2992.54     0.10      63.88     0.01
     8   0.1500  -3125.38    -0.01      62.71    -0.05
     9   0.1502  -3129.74     0.08      62.70     0.02
    10   0.1502  -3130.11     0.00      62.68    -0.01
    11   0.1502  -3130.52    -0.11      62.54    -0.14
    12   0.1504  -3135.71     0.06      62.63     0.03
    13   0.1667  -3562.12    -0.01      57.16     0.12
    14   0.1669  -3566.80    -0.51      56.98     0.02
    15   0.2457  -5478.52     0.06      -5.57    -0.03
    16   0.3359  -6868.14    -0.02    -136.40    -0.03
    17   0.3360  -6869.10     0.01    -136.49     0.09
    18   0.3415  -6913.09     0.17    -145.83     0.11
    19   0.4016  -7048.13    -0.21    -253.41     0.09
    20   0.4180  -6970.49     0.07    -283.48     0.06
    21   0.9637   4973.96    -0.05    -402.33    -0.03
    22   0.9828   4857.27     0.02    -382.59    -0.07
    23   1.0623   3713.59    -0.37    -319.99     0.01
    24   1.1249   2268.82    -0.04    -303.77    -0.00
    25   1.1413   1849.21    -0.06    -305.41    -0.00
    26   1.2015    293.25     0.12    -333.12     0.13
    27   1.2015    293.04     0.20    -333.66    -0.40
    28   1.2039    233.64     0.13    -334.90     0.09
    29   1.2039    233.40     0.18    -334.87     0.14
    30   1.2040    231.18    -0.08    -335.18    -0.10
    31   1.2176   -102.15     0.06    -346.29     0.02
    32   1.2176   -102.51    -0.03    -346.32    -0.01
    33   1.2778  -1384.46    -0.08    -414.12     0.05
    34   1.2944  -1663.48    -0.03    -437.31     0.14
    35   1.3572  -2337.12    -0.14    -538.06    -0.13
    36   1.3846  -2420.02     0.04    -585.67     0.03
    37   2.1133   7316.86     0.07    -674.40     0.02

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15GH59    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.131    43.141    43.121
ecceobj         0.045     0.047     0.044
incobj          5.269     5.269     5.269
qmin           40.839    40.771    40.897
qmax           46.178    46.246    46.092
amean          43.415    43.425    43.405
amin           43.083    43.090    43.072
amax           43.759    43.773    43.746
emean           0.037     0.039     0.036
emin            0.018     0.020     0.017
emax            0.056     0.057     0.054
imean           3.651     3.646     3.653
imin            2.846     2.840     2.850
imax            4.414     4.415     4.414
excite_mean     0.074     0.075     0.073
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.088     3.088     3.088

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       183.5     183.1     183.2
kozaiamp        179.9     180.0     180.0