Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15GK56

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15GK56    
# Created Wed Dec 25 02:10:16 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     41 observations of     41
# Arc:   6.23y
# First observation: 2015/02/17
#  Last observation: 2021/05/12
# Chi-squared of fit:     9.80 DOF:     76 RMS:  0.09
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.26    0.32
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.434378E-05  1.901159E-02  5.952320E-07  6.411976E-04  2.147326E-02 -1.391304E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  1.5010E-13 -2.4833E-14  2.2768E-16 -8.6449E-16  9.5105E-14 -2.0459E-13
 -2.4833E-14  1.5550E-13 -3.0026E-15  6.0330E-15  7.7719E-14  1.4724E-12
  2.2768E-16 -3.0026E-15  5.1437E-14 -1.5145E-14 -1.6313E-15 -3.1298E-14
 -8.6449E-16  6.0330E-15 -1.5145E-14  1.4411E-14  2.8604E-15  6.3310E-14
  9.5105E-14  7.7719E-14 -1.6313E-15  2.8604E-15  1.4575E-13  7.0469E-13
 -2.0459E-13  1.4724E-12 -3.1298E-14  6.3310E-14  7.0469E-13  1.5445E-11
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    0.721769 -157.701783    0.797972    0.007429   -0.577910  2457070.990628
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457070.5000  =  2015/02/17
Mean Anomaly:          242.82509 +/-     0.063
Argument of Peri:      147.20596 +/-     0.059
Long of Asc Node:      181.19146 +/-     0.004
Inclination:             2.06983 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.10319427 +/-    0.0002
Semi-Major Axis:     44.70024890 +/-    0.0027
Time of Perihelion: 2492600.5204 +/-      20.3
Perihelion:          40.08743935 +/-    0.0079
Aphelion:            49.31305845 +/-    0.0081
Period (y)              298.8637 +/-      0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -43.92399843 +/-    0.0008
Ecliptic Y          -17.14936660 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic Z            0.58665287 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00108114 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00218060 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00007960 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   47.15684428 +/-    0.0007
Geocenter to KBO     46.56960372 +/-    0.0008
# Hcoef:  7.54

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15GK56. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15GK56) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 02  17.48985  13 23 33.681  -08 00 38.54  24.2r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 02  17.53111  13 23 33.597  -08 00 37.88  24.2r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 02  20.46189  13 23 27.187  -07 59 56.22  24.2r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 03  18.45830  13 22 08.297  -07 51 39.30  24.7r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 03  18.50960  13 22 08.111  -07 51 38.05  24.2r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 03  20.51135  13 22 00.720  -07 50 52.44  24.3r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 04  11.37862  13 20 33.943  -07 41 59.88  23.6r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 04  11.40216  13 20 33.835  -07 41 59.50  24.4r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 04  12.35479  13 20 29.935  -07 41 35.82  24.3r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 04  12.39573  13 20 29.753  -07 41 34.87  24.1r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 04  12.44139  13 20 29.561  -07 41 33.63  24.5r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 04  14.45255  13 20 21.312  -07 40 43.46  24.2r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 04  16.39045  13 20 13.386  -07 39 55.32  24.0r 15GK56    568  C~2nvR      
2015 04  18.41130  13 20 05.134  -07 39 05.32  23.9r 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2015 04  18.45422  13 20 04.946  -07 39 04.24  24.4r 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2015 05  16.25241  13 18 20.366  -07 28 35.19  24.4r 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2015 05  25.36134  13 17 52.486  -07 25 49.66  24.3r 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2015 05  25.40527  13 17 52.357  -07 25 49.05  24.3r 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2015 06  21.31362  13 16 59.337  -07 20 41.74  24.2r 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2015 06  22.27001  13 16 58.381  -07 20 36.55  24.2r 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2015 07  12.26411  13 16 54.213  -07 20 23.59  24.6r 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2015 07  19.25345  13 17 00.071  -07 21 03.19  24.1r 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 02  04.55519  13 28 03.348  -08 25 10.01  24.5w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 02  10.54313  13 27 55.834  -08 24 17.47  24.8w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 03  11.54434  13 26 40.860  -08 16 19.64  25.0w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 04  03.42913  13 25 14.660  -08 07 31.47  24.3w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 04  09.40893  13 24 50.235  -08 05 03.52  24.2w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 05  01.35644  13 23 21.617  -07 56 11.47  24.8w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 05  02.29905  13 23 17.979  -07 55 49.92  24.0w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 05  06.30882  13 23 02.871  -07 54 19.82  24.4w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 05  28.27599  13 21 51.725  -07 47 20.50  24.3w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 05  28.28005  13 21 51.712  -07 47 20.46  24.2w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 05  28.28814  13 21 51.688  -07 47 20.33  24.4w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 06  04.35749  13 21 34.200  -07 45 38.92  24.3w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 06  04.36154  13 21 34.197  -07 45 38.97  24.3w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 06  27.28890  13 21 00.741  -07 42 32.12  24.7w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2016 07  07.29150  13 20 58.360  -07 42 24.47  24.6w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2017 06  21.28782  13 25 14.860  -08 05 17.95  24.3w 15GK56    568  C~2nvS      
2021 05  12.206490 13 43 54.538  -09 43 44.52  23.9G 15GK56    G37  C~4pVn      
2021 05  12.258300 13 43 54.355  -09 43 43.34        15GK56    G37  C~4pVn      
2021 05  12.306100 13 43 54.176  -09 43 42.46        15GK56    G37  C~4pVn      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.00
     2   0.0001      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.10
     3   0.0081      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.02
     4   0.0793      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.02
     5   0.0795      0.00     0.13       0.00     0.07
     6   0.0849      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.02
     7   0.1448      0.00     0.21       0.00     0.32
     8   0.1449      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.11
     9   0.1475      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.02
    10   0.1476      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.05
    11   0.1477      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.05
    12   0.1532      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.08
    13   0.1585      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.03
    14   0.1641      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.01
    15   0.1642      0.00    -0.14       0.00     0.01
    16   0.2403      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.06
    17   0.2652      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.07
    18   0.2653      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.05
    19   0.3390      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.02
    20   0.3416      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.04
    21   0.3964      0.00    -0.19       0.00     0.00
    22   0.4155      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.04
    23   0.9639      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.05
    24   0.9803      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.01
    25   1.0624      0.00    -0.26       0.00    -0.06
    26   1.1251      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.06
    27   1.1415      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.02
    28   1.2016      0.00     0.11       0.00    -0.04
    29   1.2041      0.00    -0.18       0.00    -0.08
    30   1.2151      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.05
    31   1.2753      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.01
    32   1.2753      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.03
    33   1.2753      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.03
    34   1.2946      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.02
    35   1.2947      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.08
    36   1.3574      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.17
    37   1.3848      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.14
    38   2.3403      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.03
    39   6.2306      0.00    -0.16       0.00     0.03
    40   6.2307      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.12
    41   6.2308      0.00     0.15       0.00    -0.02

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15GK56    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        44.312    44.312    44.312
ecceobj         0.110     0.110     0.110
incobj          2.081     2.081     2.081
qmin           38.801    38.806    38.804
qmax           50.755    50.735    50.755
amean          44.608    44.608    44.608
amin           44.241    44.243    44.240
amax           45.043    45.041    45.026
emean           0.111     0.111     0.111
emin            0.091     0.090     0.090
emax            0.128     0.128     0.128
imean           2.946     2.945     2.946
imin            2.103     2.100     2.103
imax            3.736     3.735     3.738
excite_mean     0.122     0.122     0.122
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.091     3.091     3.091

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       184.1     184.1     184.3
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0