Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15GT58

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15GT58    
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:18 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     31 observations of     31
# Arc:   2.11y
# First observation: 2015/02/17
#  Last observation: 2017/03/30
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000124   0.023919   0.000003   0.000079   0.024018   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     2.33 DOF:     56 RMS:  0.05
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.12    0.16
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.573096E-05  2.377443E-02  7.959357E-08  7.796538E-05  2.406581E-02 -8.531971E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  1.9485E-13 -1.5190E-14 -1.3069E-15  1.0106E-15  1.5103E-13  2.7865E-12
 -1.5190E-14  3.6080E-13 -2.1940E-15  3.9331E-15  2.0263E-13  1.0192E-11
 -1.3069E-15 -2.1940E-15  9.9656E-14 -8.9018E-14 -2.7314E-15 -1.0004E-13
  1.0106E-15  3.9331E-15 -8.9018E-14  1.5015E-13  3.3588E-15  1.9437E-13
  1.5103E-13  2.0263E-13 -2.7314E-15  3.3588E-15  2.8726E-13  8.8974E-12
  2.7865E-12  1.0192E-11 -1.0004E-13  1.9437E-13  8.8974E-12  5.0179E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    2.204278 -154.532451    0.827730    0.020696   -0.534077  2457071.093388
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457070.5000  =  2015/02/17
Mean Anomaly:          312.93912 +/-     0.401
Argument of Peri:      137.28919 +/-     0.505
Long of Asc Node:      120.29775 +/-     0.024
Inclination:             2.18756 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.06951542 +/-    0.0008
Semi-Major Axis:     44.06155402 +/-    0.0052
Time of Perihelion: 2471035.6522 +/-     118.9
Perihelion:          40.99859639 +/-    0.0343
Aphelion:            47.12451164 +/-    0.0344
Period (y)              292.4812 +/-      0.05
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -38.32844946 +/-    0.0008
Ecliptic Y          -17.33696092 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Z            1.59822428 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00124725 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00240560 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00000522 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   42.09744140 +/-    0.0008
Geocenter to KBO     41.55272336 +/-    0.0009
# Hcoef:  7.32

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15GT58. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15GT58) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 02  17.59261  13 37 39.619  -07 47 41.97  23.5r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 02  17.63360  13 37 39.534  -07 47 41.37  23.5r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 02  20.62674  13 37 33.240  -07 46 55.98  23.5r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 03  18.57107  13 36 12.382  -07 38 05.18  23.5r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 03  18.61845  13 36 12.198  -07 38 04.06  23.7r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 03  20.57526  13 36 04.529  -07 37 16.22  23.6r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 04  11.50958  13 34 30.082  -07 27 44.89  23.3r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 04  13.37381  13 34 21.653  -07 26 55.23  23.5r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 04  13.41479  13 34 21.466  -07 26 54.18  23.6r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 04  13.51735  13 34 20.997  -07 26 51.38  23.6r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 04  19.41451  13 33 54.257  -07 24 15.40  23.5r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 04  19.53152  13 33 53.721  -07 24 12.36  23.1r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 04  19.54875  13 33 53.646  -07 24 11.81  23.7r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 05  18.33721  13 31 52.330  -07 12 51.88  23.4r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 06  20.28725  13 30 24.339  -07 05 38.50  23.3r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 06  20.32802  13 30 24.277  -07 05 38.28  23.4r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 06  22.33199  13 30 21.492  -07 05 27.99  23.7r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 07  14.28422  13 30 13.163  -07 05 50.69  23.9r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2015 07  20.27721  13 30 18.135  -07 06 39.74  23.9r 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 02  04.61026  13 43 06.044  -08 19 24.15  23.7w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 02  11.59334  13 42 58.837  -08 18 19.88  23.8w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 03  11.60082  13 41 46.649  -08 10 07.07  23.6w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 04  03.45339  13 40 14.884  -08 00 46.09  23.4w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 04  09.43453  13 39 48.181  -07 58 08.58  23.5w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 05  01.46152  13 38 08.987  -07 48 41.49  23.9w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 05  02.33557  13 38 05.203  -07 48 20.48  23.8w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 05  07.33893  13 37 43.813  -07 46 22.18  23.8w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 05  29.33959  13 36 22.187  -07 39 09.21  23.7w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 06  04.40200  13 36 04.426  -07 37 41.13  23.8w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2016 06  27.33817  13 35 21.620  -07 34 39.79  23.6w 15GT58    568  C~2nvb      
2017 03  30.48771  13 45 46.979  -08 32 11.24        15GT58    568  C~2nvb      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.01
     2   0.0001     -1.39    -0.03       0.10    -0.00
     3   0.0083   -105.03    -0.01       8.50    -0.00
     4   0.0793  -1417.65    -0.03      66.94     0.02
     5   0.0795  -1420.60     0.02      66.99     0.00
     6   0.0848  -1544.22     0.01      70.13    -0.01
     7   0.1449  -3060.47    -0.01      91.45     0.03
     8   0.1500  -3195.35    -0.04      92.04     0.01
     9   0.1501  -3198.32     0.00      92.00    -0.02
    10   0.1504  -3205.84     0.03      92.07     0.07
    11   0.1665  -3633.18     0.01      92.40    -0.03
    12   0.1668  -3641.72     0.06      92.32    -0.05
    13   0.1669  -3642.96     0.08      92.43     0.07
    14   0.2457  -5572.53    -0.04      66.59     0.08
    15   0.3359  -6951.16    -0.00      -9.32    -0.03
    16   0.3360  -6952.10     0.02      -9.46    -0.03
    17   0.3415  -6994.49    -0.02     -15.07     0.06
    18   0.4016  -7101.66     0.06     -81.65    -0.12
    19   0.4180  -7014.72    -0.11    -100.19    -0.02
    20   0.9638   5208.87    -0.01     -24.12     0.04
    21   0.9829   5085.87    -0.01      -2.58    -0.07
    22   1.0623   3908.12    -0.02      71.66     0.00
    23   1.1249   2434.39     0.02     103.50    -0.02
    24   1.1413   2007.57     0.04     107.13     0.02
    25   1.2016    428.35    -0.07     102.66    -0.02
    26   1.2040    368.32     0.16     101.88    -0.12
    27   1.2176     29.17    -0.03      96.96    -0.01
    28   1.2779  -1258.57    -0.06      60.23     0.05
    29   1.2945  -1536.59    -0.05      46.37     0.04
    30   1.3573  -2195.47     0.05     -16.07     0.03
    31   2.1133   7715.56    -0.01     116.14     0.03

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15GT58    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.646    43.657    43.635
ecceobj         0.066     0.068     0.065
incobj          2.188     2.188     2.188
qmin           40.404    40.358    40.432
qmax           47.710    47.768    47.602
amean          43.941    43.952    43.929
amin           43.595    43.606    43.579
amax           44.307    44.318    44.283
emean           0.061     0.062     0.060
emin            0.044     0.046     0.043
emax            0.077     0.078     0.076
imean           1.313     1.316     1.312
imin            0.570     0.569     0.569
imax            1.957     1.963     1.955
excite_mean     0.066     0.067     0.065
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.096     3.096     3.096

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       166.7     166.7     167.1
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     179.9