Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15GV55

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15GV55    
# Created Wed Jul 17 01:10:51 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     31 observations of     31
# Arc:   9.21y
# First observation: 2015/03/18
#  Last observation: 2024/06/03
# Chi-squared of fit:     3.78 DOF:     56 RMS:  0.06
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.20    0.14
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.399331E-05  2.521425E-02  7.395006E-06  1.363602E-02  2.965114E-02  8.978153E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  1.3421E-13 -7.2480E-14  1.8288E-14 -4.4117E-14  8.7726E-14 -3.7046E-13
 -7.2480E-14  1.5361E-13 -3.8489E-14  9.3366E-14  1.2706E-15  7.8135E-13
  1.8288E-14 -3.8489E-14  7.1109E-14 -3.4363E-14  2.9877E-15 -2.0701E-13
 -4.4117E-14  9.3366E-14 -3.4363E-14  6.7383E-14 -6.7785E-15  5.0198E-13
  8.7726E-14  1.2706E-15  2.9877E-15 -6.7785E-15  1.6835E-13 -5.9129E-14
 -3.7046E-13  7.8135E-13 -2.0701E-13  5.0198E-13 -5.9129E-14  4.2019E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    0.163607 -152.238129    0.501916    0.002570   -0.855834  2457099.998148
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457100.5000  =  2015/03/19
Mean Anomaly:           92.39614 +/-     0.022
Argument of Peri:      235.59122 +/-     0.013
Long of Asc Node:      206.63043 +/-     0.000
Inclination:            28.25200 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.30299475 +/-    0.0000
Semi-Major Axis:     31.50712261 +/-    0.0024
Time of Perihelion: 2440521.3260 +/-       4.4
Perihelion:          21.96062977 +/-    0.0020
Aphelion:            41.05361546 +/-    0.0033
Period (y)              176.8566 +/-      0.02
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -30.83731084 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Y          -15.66370043 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Z            0.09657003 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00035065 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00245042 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00126154 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   34.58742304 +/-    0.0004
Geocenter to KBO     33.72538778 +/-    0.0005
# Hcoef:  7.62

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15GV55. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15GV55) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 03  18.49737  13 43 21.116  -10 31 29.71  22.8r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 03  18.53825  13 43 20.926  -10 31 28.25  22.9r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 03  20.54180  13 43 11.536  -10 30 18.30  22.8r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 04  11.47664  13 41 17.274  -10 16 26.43  23.0r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 04  12.38346  13 41 12.288  -10 15 50.34  23.1r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 04  12.42916  13 41 12.013  -10 15 48.64  23.0r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 04  12.47137  13 41 11.781  -10 15 46.87  22.7r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 04  18.30266  13 40 39.46   -10 11 54.2         15GV55    W84  C~2zsP      
2015 04  18.44198  13 40 38.694  -10 11 48.92  22.7r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 04  18.48972  13 40 38.423  -10 11 47.10  22.7r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 04  19.28953  13 40 33.98   -10 11 14.8   23.5V 15GV55    W84  C~2zsP      
2015 04  21.29051  13 40 22.89   -10 09 55.2         15GV55    W84  C~2zsP      
2015 05  17.25091  13 38 07.821  -09 53 32.12  22.8r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 05  25.39277  13 37 31.915  -09 49 01.69  22.8r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 05  25.45091  13 37 31.668  -09 48 59.83  23.2r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 06  21.34235  13 36 10.035  -09 37 43.22  23.0r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 07  12.29292  13 35 54.713  -09 33 39.79  23.4r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2015 07  19.28272  13 35 59.913  -09 33 18.99  23.2r 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2016 02  04.63544  13 51 50.197  -10 35 52.29  23.2w 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2016 02  11.61375  13 51 43.309  -10 34 07.71  23.5w 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2016 03  11.61710  13 50 21.946  -10 22 03.81  23.1w 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2016 03  12.48956  13 50 18.381  -10 21 35.86  23.2w 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2016 04  03.48576  13 48 33.078  -10 08 32.62  23.1w 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2016 04  09.46692  13 48 00.969  -10 04 41.94  23.1w 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2016 06  27.31561  13 42 31.125  -09 24 20.03  23.2w 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2016 07  07.31185  13 42 23.148  -09 22 35.86  23.2w 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2017 03  30.52059  13 55 24.130  -09 58 17.14        15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2017 03  31.45585  13 55 19.394  -09 57 42.51  23.0w 15GV55    568  C~2lVC      
2024 06  03.216010 14 32 21.898  -07 48 19.45  23.5G 15GV55    G37  C~83DF      
2024 06  03.261140 14 32 21.700  -07 48 18.58        15GV55    G37  C~83DF      
2024 06  03.308570 14 32 21.490  -07 48 17.49        15GV55    G37  C~83DF      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.12       0.00     0.02
     2   0.0001      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.06
     3   0.0056      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.04
     4   0.0657      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.01
     5   0.0681      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.09
     6   0.0683      0.00    -0.20       0.00    -0.02
     7   0.0684      0.00    -0.12       0.00     0.07
     8   0.0843      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.10
     9   0.0847      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.05
    10   0.0849      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.04
    11   0.0870      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.14
    12   0.0925      0.00     0.07       0.00    -0.01
    13   0.1636      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.00
    14   0.1859      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.07
    15   0.1860      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.05
    16   0.2597      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.05
    17   0.3170      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.01
    18   0.3362      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.01
    19   0.8847      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.03
    20   0.9038      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.00
    21   0.9832      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.02
    22   0.9856      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.01
    23   1.0458      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.05
    24   1.0622      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.01
    25   1.2781      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.07
    26   1.3054      0.00    -0.09       0.00    -0.09
    27   2.0343      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.07
    28   2.0368      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.01
    29   9.2121      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.06
    30   9.2122      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.04
    31   9.2124      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.03

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15GV55    quality flag:3

Type:       CENTAURR  CENTAURR  CENTAURR

axisobj        31.317    31.317    31.317
ecceobj         0.304     0.304     0.304
incobj         28.359    28.359    28.359
qmin           21.783    21.783    21.783
qmax           41.292    41.293    41.292
amean          31.437    31.356    31.421
amin           30.934    30.873    30.998
amax           32.018    31.925    31.820
emean           0.214     0.209     0.237
emin            0.098     0.065     0.142
emax            0.305     0.305     0.305
imean          30.683    30.740    30.258
imin           28.561    28.561    28.561
imax           32.606    32.934    32.065
excite_mean     0.557     0.556     0.558
fracstop        0.030     0.040     0.035
cjmean          2.681     2.682     2.681

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       245.7     245.5     245.0
kozaiamp          9.7      10.5      11.9