Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15GV57

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15GV57    
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:18 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     28 observations of     28
# Arc:   2.11y
# First observation: 2015/02/17
#  Last observation: 2017/03/29
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000114   0.023758   0.000003  -0.000595   0.024052   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     5.89 DOF:     50 RMS:  0.08
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.22    0.19
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.599131E-05  2.371982E-02 -1.033180E-06 -5.927756E-04  2.418931E-02  1.441268E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  2.0511E-13 -1.6876E-14 -1.4802E-16 -2.0039E-15  1.4914E-13  2.2548E-12
 -1.6876E-14  3.7036E-13  6.7492E-16 -7.9423E-15  2.1906E-13  8.7803E-12
 -1.4802E-16  6.7492E-16  1.1266E-13 -8.9806E-14  2.0916E-16  2.7303E-14
 -2.0039E-15 -7.9423E-15 -8.9806E-14  1.3382E-13 -6.8323E-15 -2.9731E-13
  1.4914E-13  2.1906E-13  2.0916E-16 -6.8323E-15  2.9798E-13  7.5992E-12
  2.2548E-12  8.7803E-12  2.7303E-14 -2.9731E-13  7.5992E-12  3.2842E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.849271 -157.520600    0.798994    0.018746   -0.576247  2457071.068908
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457070.5000  =  2015/02/17
Mean Anomaly:           54.04800 +/-     0.344
Argument of Peri:       68.30203 +/-     0.427
Long of Asc Node:       73.98592 +/-     0.017
Inclination:             2.29473 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.05216958 +/-    0.0007
Semi-Major Axis:     43.16860160 +/-    0.0042
Time of Perihelion: 2441517.0213 +/-      99.0
Perihelion:          40.91651386 +/-    0.0296
Aphelion:            45.42068934 +/-    0.0297
Period (y)              283.6352 +/-      0.04
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -39.02051249 +/-    0.0009
Ecliptic Y          -15.28056226 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic Z            1.33402940 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00087020 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00254946 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00006170 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   41.92702723 +/-    0.0008
Geocenter to KBO     41.34057579 +/-    0.0009
# Hcoef:  8.47

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15GV57. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15GV57) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 02  17.56813  13 25 55.664  -07 01 51.11  24.3r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 02  17.60905  13 25 55.574  -07 01 50.64  25.1r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 02  20.60184  13 25 48.511  -07 01 02.57  24.7r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 03  18.54653  13 24 22.332  -06 51 50.77  24.3r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 03  18.58746  13 24 22.166  -06 51 49.85  24.7r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 03  20.55033  13 24 14.184  -06 51 00.61  23.8r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 04  11.48481  13 22 37.846  -06 41 19.38  24.6r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 04  13.34921  13 22 29.387  -06 40 29.19  24.2r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 04  13.39016  13 22 29.190  -06 40 28.05  24.5r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 04  13.45967  13 22 28.881  -06 40 26.22  24.3r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 04  19.39003  13 22 01.965  -06 37 48.52  24.5r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 06  20.26264  13 18 41.296  -06 19 50.03  24.9r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 06  20.30355  13 18 41.227  -06 19 49.86  24.8r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 06  22.30724  13 18 38.939  -06 19 42.15  25.1r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 07  20.24993  13 18 42.850  -06 21 33.65  25.1r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2015 07  20.26062  13 18 42.877  -06 21 33.73  25.4r 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 02  04.55115  13 31 19.453  -07 36 24.56  24.9w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 02  10.53908  13 31 11.836  -07 35 25.94  25.1w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 03  11.54027  13 29 51.367  -07 26 38.83  25.0w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 05  01.35644  13 26 11.321  -07 04 58.16  24.6w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 05  02.29905  13 26 07.279  -07 04 35.47  25.2w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 05  06.30882  13 25 50.466  -07 03 01.60  25.1w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 05  28.28814  13 24 31.187  -06 55 53.38  24.3w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 06  04.34936  13 24 11.707  -06 54 14.98  24.9w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 06  04.35749  13 24 11.691  -06 54 14.90  25.1w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2016 07  06.30443  13 23 31.594  -06 51 49.42  25.0w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2017 02  24.62769  13 35 43.851  -08 03 38.62        15GV57    568  C~2nvX      
2017 03  29.45461  13 33 45.562  -07 51 31.66  24.9w 15GV57    568  C~2nvX      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.10       0.00     0.13
     2   0.0001     -1.42     0.03      -0.06     0.01
     3   0.0083   -116.89     0.01       5.65     0.01
     4   0.0793  -1513.26    -0.07      42.37     0.10
     5   0.0795  -1515.90    -0.00      42.31     0.01
     6   0.0848  -1644.56    -0.04      43.92    -0.06
     7   0.1449  -3193.01    -0.09      50.36    -0.15
     8   0.1500  -3328.69     0.06      50.08     0.00
     9   0.1501  -3331.84    -0.06      50.04    -0.00
    10   0.1503  -3336.80     0.13      50.03     0.04
    11   0.1665  -3767.83     0.02      47.18    -0.07
    12   0.3359  -6947.27     0.19     -67.73     0.04
    13   0.3360  -6948.29    -0.02     -67.96    -0.05
    14   0.3415  -6982.85    -0.06     -73.56    -0.05
    15   0.4180  -6886.99    -0.10    -155.23    -0.02
    16   0.4180  -6886.59     0.07    -155.16     0.09
    17   0.9637   5243.51     0.10    -149.81    -0.08
    18   0.9801   5116.56     0.01    -136.91    -0.00
    19   1.0622   3809.28     0.13     -87.11     0.14
    20   1.2013    285.77     0.04     -87.45     0.13
    21   1.2039    221.48    -0.22     -88.65     0.04
    22   1.2149    -45.77    -0.05     -94.14    -0.20
    23   1.2751  -1300.78     0.03    -133.99    -0.11
    24   1.2944  -1606.67    -0.03    -150.27    -0.03
    25   1.2944  -1606.92     0.05    -150.28    -0.03
    26   1.3819  -2215.42     0.00    -236.95     0.03
    27   2.0207   9503.54    -0.04    -231.05     0.01
    28   2.1106   7598.88    -0.00    -196.93     0.06

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15GV57    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        42.765    42.779    42.751
ecceobj         0.046     0.048     0.045
incobj          2.296     2.296     2.296
qmin           39.644    39.544    39.642
qmax           46.690    46.730    46.572
amean          43.026    43.040    43.012
amin           42.691    42.703    42.681
amax           43.382    43.390    43.367
emean           0.054     0.056     0.053
emin            0.036     0.036     0.033
emax            0.076     0.077     0.075
imean           0.987     0.988     0.985
imin            0.247     0.235     0.259
imax            1.597     1.607     1.588
excite_mean     0.057     0.059     0.056
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.086     3.086     3.086

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       172.2     172.0     172.1
kozaiamp        180.0     179.8     180.0