The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15JC13 # Created Sun Feb 23 02:10:24 2025 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 15 observations of 15 # Arc: 55.88d # First observation: 2015/03/22 # Last observation: 2015/05/17 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: -0.000000 0.044955 0.000000 -0.011333 0.032364 0.000000 # WARNING Fitting with energy constraint # Chi-squared of fit: 2.29 DOF: 25 RMS: 0.07 # Min/Max residuals: -0.14 0.16 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 2.104996E-05 4.220533E-02 -5.207255E-06 -1.121924E-02 3.180744E-02 -2.752047E-03 # Covariance matrix: 7.9368E-13 1.0349E-09 -3.3290E-14 -2.6979E-11 1.7007E-10 -7.4045E-10 1.0349E-09 2.1467E-06 -6.8652E-11 -5.5323E-08 3.5079E-07 -1.8868E-06 -3.3290E-14 -6.8652E-11 2.9436E-13 -1.4507E-13 -1.1336E-11 2.8393E-11 -2.6979E-11 -5.5323E-08 -1.4507E-13 1.5407E-09 -9.2746E-09 -1.4845E-08 1.7007E-10 3.5079E-07 -1.1336E-11 -9.2746E-09 5.7898E-08 -1.5210E-07 -7.4045E-10 -1.8868E-06 2.8393E-11 -1.4845E-08 -1.5210E-07 4.3989E-05 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 12.482374 -145.552672 0.541533 0.180091 -0.812986 2457104.047688 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457100.5000 = 2015/03/19 Mean Anomaly: 357.02835 +/- 5.612 Argument of Peri: 151.97970 +/- 23.600 Long of Asc Node: 72.18001 +/- 0.857 Inclination: 19.00772 +/- 0.335 Eccentricity: 0.55245788 +/- 0.0862 Semi-Major Axis: 71.49517456 +/- 11.9357 Time of Perihelion: 2458923.1746 +/- 3411.9 Perihelion: 31.99710212 +/- 8.1565 Aphelion: 110.99324699 +/- 19.5280 Period (y) 604.5376 +/- 151.39 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -26.30917029 +/- 0.1915 Ecliptic Y -17.38775808 +/- 0.1313 Ecliptic Z 6.79511053 +/- 0.0514 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00207014 +/- 0.0005 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00298886 +/- 0.0003 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00099399 +/- 0.0001 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 32.25957376 +/- 0.1718 Geocenter to KBO 31.43918155 +/- 0.2378 # Hcoef: 9.34
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15JC13. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15JC13) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 03 22.54691 14 25 25.70 -01 13 30.2 24.6i 15JC13 T09 C~8eSC 2015 03 22.57067 14 25 25.60 -01 13 29.3 25.0i 15JC13 T09 C~8eSC 2015 03 22.59572 14 25 25.49 -01 13 28.7 25.0i 15JC13 T09 C~8eSC 2015 03 22.60967 14 25 25.42 -01 13 28.2 24.7i 15JC13 T09 C~8eSC 2015 03 22.62076 14 25 25.39 -01 13 28.0 24.8i 15JC13 T09 C~8eSC 2015 05 15.409703 14 20 36.878 -00 51 31.29 24.0r 15JC13 568 C~2TuN 2015 05 15.428928 14 20 36.771 -00 51 31.06 23.8r 15JC13 568 C~2TuN 2015 05 15.431048 14 20 36.761 -00 51 31.00 23.8r 15JC13 568 C~2TuN 2015 05 15.444453 14 20 36.687 -00 51 30.85 24.0r 15JC13 568 C~2TuN 2015 05 15.446581 14 20 36.675 -00 51 30.77 24.0r 15JC13 568 C~2TuN 2015 05 15.448689 14 20 36.661 -00 51 30.76 24.1r 15JC13 568 C~2TuN 2015 05 15.461886 14 20 36.588 -00 51 30.57 24.0r 15JC13 568 C~2TuN 2015 05 17.348323 14 20 26.417 -00 51 06.55 24.4g 15JC13 568 C~2TuN 2015 05 17.364965 14 20 26.323 -00 51 06.34 24.5g 15JC13 568 C~2TuN 2015 05 17.431078 14 20 25.964 -00 51 05.61 25.3g 15JC13 568 C~2TuN
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.08
2 0.0001 -1.71 -0.02 0.36 0.12
3 0.0001 -3.47 0.02 0.38 -0.03
4 0.0002 -4.62 -0.14 0.51 0.01
5 0.0002 -5.11 0.16 0.55 -0.03
6 0.1475 -4525.25 -0.00 -176.25 0.00
7 0.1475 -4526.84 0.00 -176.56 -0.02
8 0.1475 -4527.00 0.02 -176.55 0.02
9 0.1476 -4528.10 0.03 -176.77 -0.01
10 0.1476 -4528.30 0.01 -176.76 0.04
11 0.1476 -4528.50 -0.02 -176.82 0.01
12 0.1476 -4529.59 -0.02 -177.00 0.02
13 0.1528 -4681.64 0.00 -204.42 0.01
14 0.1528 -4683.05 -0.04 -204.69 -0.00
15 0.1530 -4688.37 0.02 -205.77 -0.06
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15JC13 quality flag:0 Type: ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE axisobj 0.000 0.000 0.000 ecceobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 incobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 qmin 0.000 0.000 0.000 qmax 0.000 0.000 0.000 amean 0.000 0.000 0.000 amin 0.000 0.000 0.000 amax 0.000 0.000 0.000 emean 0.000 0.000 0.000 emin 0.000 0.000 0.000 emax 0.000 0.000 0.000 imean 0.000 0.000 0.000 imin 0.000 0.000 0.000 imax 0.000 0.000 0.000 excite_mean 0.000 0.000 0.000 fracstop 0.000 0.000 0.000 cjmean 0.000 0.000 0.000 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 0.0 0.0 0.0 kozaiamp 0.0 0.0 0.0