Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15KA174

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15KA174   
# Created Wed Jul 17 01:10:56 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     46 observations of     46
# Arc:   9.93y
# First observation: 2014/05/29
#  Last observation: 2024/05/04
# Chi-squared of fit:    10.20 DOF:     86 RMS:  0.08
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.20    0.25
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.431139E-05  2.170744E-02 -2.943561E-06 -4.575795E-03  2.344658E-02  2.579417E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  1.4187E-13 -9.1934E-14 -1.7275E-14  1.6394E-14 -3.9291E-14 -3.5710E-13
 -9.1934E-14  8.2337E-14  1.5930E-14 -1.5515E-14  2.2283E-14  3.3802E-13
 -1.7275E-14  1.5930E-14  5.7793E-14 -1.4868E-14  7.3490E-15  7.0807E-14
  1.6394E-14 -1.5515E-14 -1.4868E-14  9.3286E-15 -4.7331E-15 -6.8859E-14
 -3.9291E-14  2.2283E-14  7.3490E-15 -4.7331E-15  9.5458E-14  1.0268E-13
 -3.5710E-13  3.3802E-13  7.0807E-14 -6.8859E-14  1.0268E-13  1.5002E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    6.836634 -128.497443   -0.285611    0.115945   -0.966622  2456806.863358
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456806.5000  =  2014/05/29
Mean Anomaly:           82.03936 +/-     0.018
Argument of Peri:       54.15213 +/-     0.020
Long of Asc Node:       80.66563 +/-     0.000
Inclination:            13.67752 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.12474551 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     43.69488794 +/-    0.0025
Time of Perihelion: 2432764.8562 +/-       5.7
Perihelion:          38.24414677 +/-    0.0032
Aphelion:            49.14562910 +/-    0.0036
Period (y)              288.8379 +/-      0.02
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -26.74392494 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic Y          -34.08048853 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Z            5.07695696 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00175280 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00186531 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00049454 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   43.61749358 +/-    0.0004
Geocenter to KBO     42.65011466 +/-    0.0006
# Hcoef:  7.62

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15KA174. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15KA174) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 05  29.36258  15 23 34.096  -11 31 48.87  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  29.40143  15 23 33.916  -11 31 48.38  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  29.44026  15 23 33.741  -11 31 47.87  23.5r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  30.47018  15 23 29.125  -11 31 35.87  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 06  21.36572  15 22 00.266  -11 28 32.51  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 06  21.40460  15 22 00.121  -11 28 32.35  24.0r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 02  23.64434  15 33 20.096  -12 27 39.54  24.1r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 03  19.58718  15 32 53.578  -12 23 33.78  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 03  21.64578  15 32 49.007  -12 23 06.39  24.0r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 04  12.50451  15 31 41.575  -12 17 34.91  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 04  12.54547  15 31 41.426  -12 17 34.12  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 04  18.52716  15 31 17.982  -12 15 55.99  24.1r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  17.40013  15 29 08.762  -12 08 20.04  24.2r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  17.44183  15 29 08.570  -12 08 19.61  24.2r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  17.49383  15 29 08.328  -12 08 18.42  23.3r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  17.51894  15 29 08.192  -12 08 18.29  23.5r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  24.38557  15 28 36.300  -12 06 45.14  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  24.43166  15 28 36.082  -12 06 44.51  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  24.47270  15 28 35.891  -12 06 43.96  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  26.46061  15 28 26.754  -12 06 18.87  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  18.35975  15 26 49.509  -12 02 40.70  24.0r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  18.40073  15 26 49.355  -12 02 40.43  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  21.37538  15 26 38.310  -12 02 23.38  24.0r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  21.39181  15 26 38.255  -12 02 23.27  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 07  18.33583  15 25 23.913  -12 02 07.92  24.1r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 08  11.33392  15 25 05.671  -12 05 35.59  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 02  05.63894  15 37 36.339  -13 01 03.42  24.5w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 02  11.65084  15 37 45.488  -13 00 56.79  24.5w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 03  15.58199  15 37 35.702  -12 56 58.54  24.4w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 03  15.59592  15 37 35.681  -12 56 58.39  24.2w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 03  17.60128  15 37 31.923  -12 56 34.65  24.7w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 04  03.52641  15 36 47.801  -12 52 44.51  24.2w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 04  08.57595  15 36 30.748  -12 51 28.17  24.4w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 04  29.46161  15 35 06.410  -12 45 59.37  24.1w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 05  04.39669  15 34 44.205  -12 44 42.78  24.2w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 05  30.48629  15 32 43.497  -12 38 47.46  24.1w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 07  03.36242  15 30 33.316  -12 35 03.62  24.6w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 07  04.27794  15 30 30.660  -12 35 02.49  24.4w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 07  05.34622  15 30 27.639  -12 35 01.60  24.5w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 06  26.27819  15 35 33.543  -13 08 17.46  24.2w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 08  20.27119  15 34 15.951  -13 13 01.18  24.3w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 08  23.25675  15 34 19.121  -13 13 44.87  24.3w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 08  24.24127  15 34 20.347  -13 13 59.93  24.3w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2024 05  04.358420 16 11 44.761  -16 52 38.88  24.8G 15KA174   G37  C~82mo      
2024 05  04.393610 16 11 44.595  -16 52 38.51        15KA174   G37  C~82mo      
2024 05  04.427930 16 11 44.432  -16 52 38.19        15KA174   G37  C~82mo      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.05
     2   0.0001      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.01
     3   0.0002      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.03
     4   0.0030      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.01
     5   0.0630      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.04
     6   0.0631      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.08
     7   0.7400      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.07
     8   0.8055      0.00    -0.17       0.00     0.16
     9   0.8112      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.02
    10   0.8710      0.00    -0.14       0.00    -0.08
    11   0.8711      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.04
    12   0.8875      0.00    -0.11       0.00     0.03
    13   0.9666      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.03
    14   0.9667      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.20
    15   0.9668      0.00     0.11       0.00     0.25
    16   0.9669      0.00    -0.14       0.00     0.02
    17   0.9857      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.00
    18   0.9858      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.04
    19   0.9859      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.05
    20   0.9914      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.03
    21   1.0541      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.00
    22   1.0542      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.01
    23   1.0623      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.01
    24   1.0624      0.00     0.00       0.00     0.03
    25   1.1361      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.01
    26   1.2018      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.07
    27   1.6900      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.03
    28   1.7065      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.03
    29   1.7966      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.11
    30   1.7967      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.10
    31   1.8022      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.02
    32   1.8485      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.02
    33   1.8623      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.02
    34   1.9195      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.09
    35   1.9330      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.01
    36   2.0044      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.19
    37   2.0972      0.00     0.16       0.00    -0.09
    38   2.0997      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.01
    39   2.1026      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.02
    40   3.0771      0.00     0.16       0.00     0.04
    41   3.2277      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.20
    42   3.2358      0.00    -0.13       0.00     0.03
    43   3.2385      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.04
    44   9.9329      0.00     0.16       0.00     0.03
    45   9.9330      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.02
    46   9.9331      0.00    -0.15       0.00    -0.04

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15KA174    quality flag:2

Type:       SCATNEAR CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.408    43.408    43.408
ecceobj         0.121     0.121     0.121
incobj         13.681    13.681    13.681
qmin           34.246    34.254    33.970
qmax           53.653    53.622    53.884
amean          43.727    43.727    43.727
amin           43.314    43.310    43.325
amax           44.213    44.173    44.171
emean           0.143     0.142     0.148
emin            0.068     0.065     0.060
emax            0.214     0.214     0.221
imean          10.849    10.920    11.226
imin            7.033     7.243     8.405
imax           13.284    13.494    13.797
excite_mean     0.241     0.242     0.250
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.028     3.028     3.024

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean        98.0      97.6      87.6
kozaiamp         51.2      51.8      63.7