Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15KC163

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15KC163   
# Created Wed Dec 25 02:10:18 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     23 observations of     23
# Arc:  13.00y
# First observation: 2006/08/22
#  Last observation: 2019/08/22
# Chi-squared of fit:    43.07 DOF:     40 RMS:  0.24
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.51    0.60
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.517901E-05  2.683894E-02 -1.667047E-06  1.432264E-03  2.520025E-02 -2.847471E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  8.0842E-13 -1.7756E-13  1.1933E-14 -6.2018E-15 -1.3407E-13 -3.5817E-13
 -1.7756E-13  8.0552E-14 -5.9337E-15  3.7769E-15  1.6027E-14  2.1448E-13
  1.1933E-14 -5.9337E-15  5.4773E-13 -6.0109E-14 -4.9027E-15 -1.7819E-14
 -6.2018E-15  3.7769E-15 -6.0109E-14  7.4982E-15  1.0217E-15  1.1083E-14
 -1.3407E-13  1.6027E-14 -4.9027E-15  1.0217E-15  1.6657E-13  6.7036E-14
 -3.5817E-13  2.1448E-13 -1.7819E-14  1.1083E-14  6.7036E-14  6.3048E-13
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    0.837664 -136.528744   -0.975460   -0.003846    0.270671  2453969.533571
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2453970.5000  =  2006/08/23
Mean Anomaly:          337.26105 +/-     0.010
Argument of Peri:       47.87541 +/-     0.014
Long of Asc Node:      209.30686 +/-     0.002
Inclination:             3.13490 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.17334718 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     46.60782406 +/-    0.0039
Time of Perihelion: 2461311.4889 +/-      13.9
Perihelion:          38.52848937 +/-    0.0040
Aphelion:            54.68715876 +/-    0.0051
Period (y)              318.1973 +/-      0.04
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -27.93007093 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Y          -27.82365970 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Z            0.58006570 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00223677 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00190663 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00015102 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   39.42823408 +/-    0.0005
Geocenter to KBO     39.68225566 +/-    0.0006
# Hcoef:  8.07

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15KC163. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15KC163) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2006 08  22.032817 14 45 06.38   -15 05 00.2         15KC163   807  C~5fmp      
2007 04  22.255931 14 56 25.05   -15 49 50.0         15KC163   807  C~5fmp      
2009 06  18.344910 15 04 55.32   -16 14 41.7         15KC163   568  C~5fmp      
2015 05  20.255750 15 47 16.20   -18 19 20.0         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2015 05  20.268785 15 47 16.12   -18 19 19.6         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2015 05  27.192487 15 46 40.00   -18 17 19.7   24.1r 15KC163   W84  C~263c      
2015 05  27.214114 15 46 39.87   -18 17 19.4   23.8r 15KC163   W84  C~263c      
2015 05  27.235762 15 46 39.76   -18 17 18.9   23.9r 15KC163   W84  C~263c      
2015 05  27.292647 15 46 39.45   -18 17 18.3   23.5r 15KC163   W84  C~263c      
2015 05  27.335929 15 46 39.26   -18 17 17.5         15KC163   W84  C~263c      
2015 05  28.313157 15 46 34.17   -18 17 00.7   23.7r 15KC163   W84  C~263c      
2015 05  28.334857 15 46 34.06   -18 17 00.2   23.9r 15KC163   W84  C~263c      
2015 06  21.163526 15 44 39.19   -18 10 52.3         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2015 06  21.197996 15 44 39.03   -18 10 52.1         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2015 06  21.232513 15 44 38.90   -18 10 51.5         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2015 06  24.072049 15 44 26.95   -18 10 14.3         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2015 06  24.141010 15 44 26.68   -18 10 13.5         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2016 03  07.406222 15 58 25.46   -18 51 24.3         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2016 03  07.408278 15 58 25.45   -18 51 24.2         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2016 03  08.332191 15 58 24.97   -18 51 19.4         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2016 03  08.334254 15 58 24.96   -18 51 19.6         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2017 05  02.154844 16 02 31.94   -18 56 02.2         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      
2019 08  22.023992 16 09 43.99   -19 07 43.6         15KC163   W84  C~5fmp      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.50       0.00     0.40
     2   0.6659      0.00    -0.39       0.00    -0.51
     3   2.8236      0.00    -0.29       0.00     0.18
     4   8.7426      0.00    -0.13       0.00    -0.19
     5   8.7426      0.00    -0.29       0.00    -0.02
     6   8.7616      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.16
     7   8.7616      0.00    -0.15       0.00     0.09
     8   8.7617      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.22
     9   8.7618      0.00    -0.25       0.00    -0.17
    10   8.7620      0.00     0.31       0.00    -0.12
    11   8.7646      0.00    -0.12       0.00     0.05
    12   8.7647      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.18
    13   8.8299      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.04
    14   8.8300      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.23
    15   8.8301      0.00     0.15       0.00    -0.10
    16   8.8379      0.00     0.20       0.00     0.05
    17   8.8381      0.00     0.51       0.00    -0.03
    18   9.5424      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.11
    19   9.5424      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.02
    20   9.5450      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.25
    21   9.5450      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.04
    22  10.6944      0.00     0.60       0.00    -0.29
    23  12.9993      0.00    -0.45       0.00     0.19

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15KC163    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        45.911    45.911    45.911
ecceobj         0.163     0.163     0.163
incobj          3.154     3.154     3.154
qmin           37.953    37.952    37.951
qmax           55.039    55.032    55.034
amean          46.296    46.295    46.295
amin           45.885    45.886    45.883
amax           46.751    46.758    46.747
emean           0.164     0.164     0.164
emin            0.150     0.150     0.150
emax            0.178     0.177     0.178
imean           4.362     4.362     4.362
imin            3.720     3.720     3.721
imax            5.028     5.027     5.027
excite_mean     0.181     0.181     0.181
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.089     3.089     3.089

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       175.6     175.8     175.6
kozaiamp        179.9     179.9     180.0