Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15KC174

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15KC174   
# Created Sun Dec 22 02:10:24 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     40 observations of     40
# Arc:   3.24y
# First observation: 2014/05/29
#  Last observation: 2017/08/25
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000339   0.024033   0.000013   0.001583   0.024004   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     6.29 DOF:     74 RMS:  0.07
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.27    0.14
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.579033E-05  2.490643E-02  9.335477E-07  1.621553E-03  2.440495E-02  8.712569E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  1.6387E-13 -1.9269E-13  1.6625E-15 -6.6738E-15 -6.0010E-14 -1.9850E-12
 -1.9269E-13  4.0050E-13 -4.7883E-15  1.6814E-14  1.1939E-13  5.2489E-12
  1.6625E-15 -4.7883E-15  1.1119E-13 -5.9440E-14 -6.2285E-16 -7.1431E-14
 -6.6738E-15  1.6814E-14 -5.9440E-14  4.8806E-14  7.7448E-15  2.5005E-13
 -6.0010E-14  1.1939E-13 -6.2285E-16  7.7448E-15  1.3890E-13  1.7638E-12
 -1.9850E-12  5.2489E-12 -7.1431E-14  2.5005E-13  1.7638E-12  7.8152E-11
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    7.710945 -128.323401   -0.282523    0.130802   -0.965630  2456806.855568
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456800.5000  =  2014/05/23
Mean Anomaly:           34.21056 +/-     0.021
Argument of Peri:      348.56756 +/-     0.013
Long of Asc Node:      168.53122 +/-     0.003
Inclination:             8.40235 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.40989046 +/-    0.0004
Semi-Major Axis:     55.68612106 +/-    0.0221
Time of Perihelion: 2442376.8032 +/-       2.9
Perihelion:          32.86091138 +/-    0.0251
Aphelion:            78.51133074 +/-    0.0378
Period (y)              415.5551 +/-      0.25
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -25.56293118 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Y          -32.79363666 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Z            5.49797512 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00160131 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00247698 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00031154 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   41.94179045 +/-    0.0004
Geocenter to KBO     40.97529932 +/-    0.0006
# Hcoef:  7.84

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15KC174. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15KC174) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 05  29.35479  15 25 08.828  -10 43 39.37  23.9r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  29.39367  15 25 08.647  -10 43 38.74  24.0r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  29.43250  15 25 08.465  -10 43 38.26  24.1r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  30.46242  15 25 03.818  -10 43 22.85  23.7r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  31.37870  15 24 59.709  -10 43 09.40  23.9r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 06  21.35796  15 23 34.432  -10 39 16.69  23.9r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 06  21.39681  15 23 34.293  -10 39 16.36  24.0r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 07  19.27427  15 22 21.768  -10 38 21.52  24.1r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 02  25.60844  15 35 51.023  -11 27 46.80  24.6r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 03  19.61229  15 35 27.984  -11 22 08.39  24.5r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 03  22.53071  15 35 21.698  -11 21 15.14  24.1r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 04  13.54363  15 34 14.078  -11 13 56.89  24.2r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 04  13.58475  15 34 13.917  -11 13 56.10  23.7r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 04  18.54818  15 33 54.555  -11 12 12.79  24.0r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  21.31423  15 31 27.401  -11 01 37.36  24.0r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  21.35538  15 31 27.200  -11 01 36.66  24.0r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  21.39649  15 31 27.004  -11 01 36.03  24.1r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  22.47313  15 31 21.986  -11 01 18.06  23.9r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  25.46359  15 31 08.134  -11 00 29.70  24.1r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  20.35311  15 29 18.493  -10 55 17.58  24.1r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  20.39396  15 29 18.335  -10 55 17.30  24.1r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  23.41352  15 29 07.446  -10 54 55.19  24.1r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 07  11.28721  15 28 14.927  -10 53 55.39  24.1r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 07  18.35664  15 28 00.598  -10 54 05.85  24.9r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 08  11.34354  15 27 43.807  -10 57 04.56  23.9r 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 02  05.63489  15 40 57.265  -11 44 58.35  24.0w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 02  11.64674  15 41 07.846  -11 44 21.42  24.5w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 03  15.57785  15 41 04.484  -11 37 33.75  24.4w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 04  03.52224  15 40 19.020  -11 31 46.26  24.2w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 04  08.57191  15 40 02.473  -11 30 06.30  24.5w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 04  29.45352  15 38 39.563  -11 23 07.73  24.2w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 05  04.38860  15 38 17.552  -11 21 32.04  24.2w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 05  30.47009  15 36 17.355  -11 14 12.04  24.3w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 05  30.49033  15 36 17.250  -11 14 11.70  24.0w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 07  03.35835  15 34 07.074  -11 09 18.03  24.2w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 07  05.34215  15 34 01.445  -11 09 13.33  24.4w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 03  28.59816  15 46 03.653  -11 47 42.48  24.5w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 06  26.28306  15 39 59.721  -11 24 24.05  24.4w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 08  19.25564  15 38 41.966  -11 28 15.59  24.5w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 08  25.26415  15 38 48.844  -11 29 42.64  24.4w 15KC174   568  C~2lVI      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.02
     2   0.0001     -2.74     0.03      -0.06     0.06
     3   0.0002     -5.46     0.02      -0.27    -0.05
     4   0.0030    -75.62    -0.02      -2.55     0.00
     5   0.0055   -137.62    -0.15      -4.74     0.03
     6   0.0630  -1412.71    -0.03     -95.93    -0.01
     7   0.0631  -1414.78    -0.00     -96.13     0.04
     8   0.1394  -2463.16     0.07    -313.32    -0.05
     9   0.7454   9821.15    -0.05    -233.32    -0.05
    10   0.8056   9409.55     0.03      13.11     0.04
    11   0.8136   9306.73    -0.12      42.36    -0.04
    12   0.8739   8233.41    -0.01     225.65    -0.04
    13   0.8740   8230.91    -0.03     225.83    -0.11
    14   0.8876   7928.98     0.13     256.57     0.04
    15   0.9773   5670.93     0.12     341.95     0.06
    16   0.9774   5667.89     0.03     341.90     0.05
    17   0.9775   5664.93     0.03     341.80    -0.00
    18   0.9805   5588.84     0.02     341.04     0.02
    19   0.9887   5379.11    -0.04     337.70    -0.02
    20   1.0595   3736.65     0.01     241.27    -0.01
    21   1.0597   3734.32    -0.04     240.96    -0.06
    22   1.0679   3573.42    -0.07     222.63     0.10
    23   1.1169   2809.05     0.09      88.51     0.03
    24   1.1362   2607.19     0.09      25.89    -0.02
    25   1.2019   2412.12    -0.17    -208.76    -0.09
    26   1.6900  14453.06     0.06    -153.90    -0.02
    27   1.7065  14595.91    -0.09     -80.88    -0.03
    28   1.7966  14450.23    -0.03     304.28     0.03
    29   1.8485  13715.18    -0.01     482.91    -0.09
    30   1.8623  13454.02     0.12     521.97    -0.03
    31   1.9195  12165.37     0.00     636.54     0.11
    32   1.9330  11827.03     0.03     651.66     0.11
    33   2.0044   9999.97     0.12     652.01     0.01
    34   2.0045   9998.38    -0.07     651.96     0.02
    35   2.0972   8065.22    -0.27     471.15    -0.04
    36   2.1026   7983.61     0.14     455.49    -0.01
    37   2.8316  18893.02    -0.04     751.10    -0.01
    38   3.0771  13332.48    -0.06     845.31     0.04
    39   3.2249  12273.93     0.03     345.66    -0.07
    40   3.2414  12393.39     0.06     285.31     0.02

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15KC174    quality flag:3

Type:         5:2EEE    5:2EEE    5:2EEE

axisobj        55.099    55.159    55.038
ecceobj         0.404     0.405     0.403
incobj          8.421     8.421     8.421
qmin           32.373    32.366    32.369
qmax           79.890    80.004    79.960
amean          55.462    55.462    55.462
amin           54.720    54.668    54.750
amax           56.438    56.482    56.435
emean           0.404     0.405     0.404
emin            0.391     0.391     0.391
emax            0.417     0.418     0.417
imean           8.212     8.053     8.144
imin            7.667     7.651     7.644
imax            8.687     8.601     8.663
excite_mean     0.428     0.429     0.428
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.001     3.000     3.001

libcent 0       180.2     179.2     179.5
libamp  0        91.1     113.8      75.3
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean        91.0     121.3      93.2
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0