The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15KC174 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:23 2024 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 40 observations of 40 # Arc: 3.24y # First observation: 2014/05/29 # Last observation: 2017/08/25 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 0.000339 0.024033 0.000013 0.001583 0.024004 0.000000 # Chi-squared of fit: 6.29 DOF: 74 RMS: 0.07 # Min/Max residuals: -0.27 0.14 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.579033E-05 2.490643E-02 9.335477E-07 1.621553E-03 2.440495E-02 8.712569E-03 # Covariance matrix: 1.6387E-13 -1.9269E-13 1.6625E-15 -6.6738E-15 -6.0010E-14 -1.9850E-12 -1.9269E-13 4.0050E-13 -4.7883E-15 1.6814E-14 1.1939E-13 5.2489E-12 1.6625E-15 -4.7883E-15 1.1119E-13 -5.9440E-14 -6.2285E-16 -7.1431E-14 -6.6738E-15 1.6814E-14 -5.9440E-14 4.8806E-14 7.7448E-15 2.5005E-13 -6.0010E-14 1.1939E-13 -6.2285E-16 7.7448E-15 1.3890E-13 1.7638E-12 -1.9850E-12 5.2489E-12 -7.1431E-14 2.5005E-13 1.7638E-12 7.8152E-11 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 7.710945 -128.323401 -0.282523 0.130802 -0.965630 2456806.855568 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456800.5000 = 2014/05/23 Mean Anomaly: 34.21056 +/- 0.021 Argument of Peri: 348.56756 +/- 0.013 Long of Asc Node: 168.53122 +/- 0.003 Inclination: 8.40235 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.40989046 +/- 0.0004 Semi-Major Axis: 55.68612106 +/- 0.0221 Time of Perihelion: 2442376.8032 +/- 2.9 Perihelion: 32.86091138 +/- 0.0251 Aphelion: 78.51133074 +/- 0.0378 Period (y) 415.5551 +/- 0.25 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -25.56293118 +/- 0.0004 Ecliptic Y -32.79363666 +/- 0.0005 Ecliptic Z 5.49797512 +/- 0.0001 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00160131 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00247698 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00031154 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 41.94179045 +/- 0.0004 Geocenter to KBO 40.97529932 +/- 0.0006 # Hcoef: 7.84
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15KC174. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15KC174) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 05 29.35479 15 25 08.828 -10 43 39.37 23.9r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2014 05 29.39367 15 25 08.647 -10 43 38.74 24.0r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2014 05 29.43250 15 25 08.465 -10 43 38.26 24.1r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2014 05 30.46242 15 25 03.818 -10 43 22.85 23.7r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2014 05 31.37870 15 24 59.709 -10 43 09.40 23.9r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2014 06 21.35796 15 23 34.432 -10 39 16.69 23.9r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2014 06 21.39681 15 23 34.293 -10 39 16.36 24.0r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2014 07 19.27427 15 22 21.768 -10 38 21.52 24.1r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 02 25.60844 15 35 51.023 -11 27 46.80 24.6r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 03 19.61229 15 35 27.984 -11 22 08.39 24.5r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 03 22.53071 15 35 21.698 -11 21 15.14 24.1r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 04 13.54363 15 34 14.078 -11 13 56.89 24.2r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 04 13.58475 15 34 13.917 -11 13 56.10 23.7r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 04 18.54818 15 33 54.555 -11 12 12.79 24.0r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 05 21.31423 15 31 27.401 -11 01 37.36 24.0r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 05 21.35538 15 31 27.200 -11 01 36.66 24.0r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 05 21.39649 15 31 27.004 -11 01 36.03 24.1r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 05 22.47313 15 31 21.986 -11 01 18.06 23.9r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 05 25.46359 15 31 08.134 -11 00 29.70 24.1r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 06 20.35311 15 29 18.493 -10 55 17.58 24.1r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 06 20.39396 15 29 18.335 -10 55 17.30 24.1r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 06 23.41352 15 29 07.446 -10 54 55.19 24.1r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 07 11.28721 15 28 14.927 -10 53 55.39 24.1r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 07 18.35664 15 28 00.598 -10 54 05.85 24.9r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2015 08 11.34354 15 27 43.807 -10 57 04.56 23.9r 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 02 05.63489 15 40 57.265 -11 44 58.35 24.0w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 02 11.64674 15 41 07.846 -11 44 21.42 24.5w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 03 15.57785 15 41 04.484 -11 37 33.75 24.4w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 04 03.52224 15 40 19.020 -11 31 46.26 24.2w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 04 08.57191 15 40 02.473 -11 30 06.30 24.5w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 04 29.45352 15 38 39.563 -11 23 07.73 24.2w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 05 04.38860 15 38 17.552 -11 21 32.04 24.2w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 05 30.47009 15 36 17.355 -11 14 12.04 24.3w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 05 30.49033 15 36 17.250 -11 14 11.70 24.0w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 07 03.35835 15 34 07.074 -11 09 18.03 24.2w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2016 07 05.34215 15 34 01.445 -11 09 13.33 24.4w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2017 03 28.59816 15 46 03.653 -11 47 42.48 24.5w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2017 06 26.28306 15 39 59.721 -11 24 24.05 24.4w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2017 08 19.25564 15 38 41.966 -11 28 15.59 24.5w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI 2017 08 25.26415 15 38 48.844 -11 29 42.64 24.4w 15KC174 568 C~2lVI
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.02 2 0.0001 -2.74 0.03 -0.06 0.06 3 0.0002 -5.46 0.02 -0.27 -0.05 4 0.0030 -75.62 -0.02 -2.55 0.00 5 0.0055 -137.62 -0.15 -4.74 0.03 6 0.0630 -1412.71 -0.03 -95.93 -0.01 7 0.0631 -1414.78 -0.00 -96.13 0.04 8 0.1394 -2463.16 0.07 -313.32 -0.05 9 0.7454 9821.15 -0.05 -233.32 -0.05 10 0.8056 9409.55 0.03 13.11 0.04 11 0.8136 9306.73 -0.12 42.36 -0.04 12 0.8739 8233.41 -0.01 225.65 -0.04 13 0.8740 8230.91 -0.03 225.83 -0.11 14 0.8876 7928.98 0.13 256.57 0.04 15 0.9773 5670.93 0.12 341.95 0.06 16 0.9774 5667.89 0.03 341.90 0.05 17 0.9775 5664.93 0.03 341.80 -0.00 18 0.9805 5588.84 0.02 341.04 0.02 19 0.9887 5379.11 -0.04 337.70 -0.02 20 1.0595 3736.65 0.01 241.27 -0.01 21 1.0597 3734.32 -0.04 240.96 -0.06 22 1.0679 3573.42 -0.07 222.63 0.10 23 1.1169 2809.05 0.09 88.51 0.03 24 1.1362 2607.19 0.09 25.89 -0.02 25 1.2019 2412.12 -0.17 -208.76 -0.09 26 1.6900 14453.06 0.06 -153.90 -0.02 27 1.7065 14595.91 -0.09 -80.88 -0.03 28 1.7966 14450.23 -0.03 304.28 0.03 29 1.8485 13715.18 -0.01 482.91 -0.09 30 1.8623 13454.02 0.12 521.97 -0.03 31 1.9195 12165.37 0.00 636.54 0.11 32 1.9330 11827.03 0.03 651.66 0.11 33 2.0044 9999.97 0.12 652.01 0.01 34 2.0045 9998.38 -0.07 651.96 0.02 35 2.0972 8065.22 -0.27 471.15 -0.04 36 2.1026 7983.61 0.14 455.49 -0.01 37 2.8316 18893.02 -0.04 751.10 -0.01 38 3.0771 13332.48 -0.06 845.31 0.04 39 3.2249 12273.93 0.03 345.66 -0.07 40 3.2414 12393.39 0.06 285.31 0.02
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15KC174 quality flag:3 Type: 5:2EEE 5:2EEE 5:2EEE axisobj 55.099 55.159 55.038 ecceobj 0.404 0.405 0.403 incobj 8.421 8.421 8.421 qmin 32.373 32.366 32.369 qmax 79.890 80.004 79.960 amean 55.462 55.462 55.462 amin 54.720 54.668 54.750 amax 56.438 56.482 56.435 emean 0.404 0.405 0.404 emin 0.391 0.391 0.391 emax 0.417 0.418 0.417 imean 8.212 8.053 8.144 imin 7.667 7.651 7.644 imax 8.687 8.601 8.663 excite_mean 0.428 0.429 0.428 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.001 3.000 3.001 libcent 0 180.2 179.2 179.5 libamp 0 91.1 113.8 75.3 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 91.0 121.3 93.2 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0