The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15KK199
# Created Tue Apr 1 01:10:30 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting 35 observations of 36
# Arc: 2.85y
# First observation: 2014/05/29
# Last observation: 2017/04/04
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
0.000157 0.027820 -0.000002 0.000696 0.024720 0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit: 11.74 DOF: 64 RMS: 0.10
# Min/Max residuals: -0.31 0.21
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.796445E-05 2.840755E-02 1.752309E-07 7.096014E-04 2.550007E-02 6.894809E-03
# Covariance matrix:
1.7800E-13 -2.1853E-13 9.2156E-16 -2.1874E-15 -1.7086E-14 -1.6355E-12
-2.1853E-13 4.5769E-13 -2.7433E-15 5.3871E-15 1.1771E-14 4.1751E-12
9.2156E-16 -2.7433E-15 1.1952E-13 -6.6512E-14 2.0774E-15 -2.0450E-14
-2.1874E-15 5.3871E-15 -6.6512E-14 5.7960E-14 2.6251E-15 6.5622E-14
-1.7086E-14 1.1771E-14 2.0774E-15 2.6251E-15 2.2415E-13 9.7300E-13
-1.6355E-12 4.1751E-12 -2.0450E-14 6.5622E-14 9.7300E-13 4.6827E-11
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
5.179684 -125.918701 -0.241845 0.089010 -0.981313 2456806.882768
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2456800.5000 = 2014/05/23
Mean Anomaly: 20.96402 +/- 0.011
Argument of Peri: 23.60333 +/- 0.026
Long of Asc Node: 160.21664 +/- 0.005
Inclination: 5.25005 +/- 0.000
Eccentricity: 0.40864369 +/- 0.0003
Semi-Major Axis: 60.75388760 +/- 0.0187
Time of Perihelion: 2446728.1323 +/- 2.8
Perihelion: 35.92719503 +/- 0.0194
Aphelion: 85.58058018 +/- 0.0308
Period (y) 473.5538 +/- 0.22
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X -23.29478619 +/- 0.0004
Ecliptic Y -32.56749327 +/- 0.0006
Ecliptic Z 3.54042609 +/- 0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT 0.00203634 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT -0.00238438 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00014283 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 40.19730462 +/- 0.0005
Geocenter to KBO 39.21557164 +/- 0.0007
# Hcoef: 8.90
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15KK199. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15KK199) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 05 29.38199 15 32 04.991 -13 46 05.57 25.0r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2014 05 29.42085 15 32 04.811 -13 46 05.01 24.7r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2014 05 29.45970 15 32 04.622 -13 46 04.37 24.1r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2014 05 30.48958 15 31 59.753 -13 45 48.43 24.2r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2014 05 31.40597 15 31 55.412 -13 45 34.42 23.5r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2014 06 21.38515 15 30 25.204 -13 41 12.38 26.1r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2014 06 21.42426 15 30 25.059 -13 41 12.53 24.6r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2014 07 19.31792 15 29 06.867 -13 39 05.65 24.7r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 02 20.66080 15 43 36.401 -14 31 30.50 26.2r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 03 19.57486 15 43 20.482 -14 27 00.39 23.1r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 03 21.63357 15 43 16.369 -14 26 31.49 25.8r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 04 12.49220 15 42 11.666 -14 20 36.86 25.3r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 04 12.53320 15 42 11.496 -14 20 36.22 25.2r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 05 17.38763 15 39 34.988 -14 10 03.15 23.4r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 05 17.42929 15 39 34.790 -14 10 01.87 26.4r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 05 17.47149 15 39 34.591 -14 10 01.55 24.7r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 05 24.37322 15 39 00.925 -14 08 06.24 24.9r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 05 24.41940 15 39 00.695 -14 08 05.47 24.4r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 05 24.46033 15 39 00.504 -14 08 04.91 24.6r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 05 26.44791 15 38 50.867 -14 07 33.20 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 06 18.34748 15 37 07.567 -14 02 29.46 25.1r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 06 18.38842 15 37 07.406 -14 02 29.02 24.6r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 06 21.36303 15 36 55.584 -14 01 59.64 24.8r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2015 07 18.32156 15 35 35.270 -13 59 47.28 25.5r 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2016 02 06.64126 15 49 30.383 -14 50 51.97 26.8w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2016 02 12.62680 15 49 42.725 -14 50 42.07 24.6w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2016 03 15.64024 15 49 46.943 -14 46 34.09 25.1w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2016 04 03.56687 15 49 03.523 -14 42 03.13 25.4w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2016 04 08.61643 15 48 47.083 -14 40 40.59 24.8w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2016 04 09.56037 15 48 43.806 -14 40 24.79 25.3w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2016 05 04.50238 15 46 59.803 -14 33 08.33 25.1w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2016 05 30.44581 15 44 54.797 -14 26 04.09 25.2w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2017 03 30.58199 15 55 34.515 -15 01 16.86 25.3w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2017 04 03.61140 15 55 23.313 -15 00 16.44 26.6w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2017 04 03.61609 15 55 23.291 -15 00 16.23 15KK199 568 C~4n9s 2017 04 04.49990 15 55 20.686 -15 00 02.78 24.9w 15KK199 568 C~4n9s
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.05
2 0.0001 -2.68 0.05 -0.09 0.04
3 0.0002 -5.51 0.03 -0.13 0.06
4 0.0030 -78.20 0.21 -1.70 0.05
5 0.0055 -142.95 -0.21 -3.30 -0.07
6 0.0630 -1481.87 -0.16 -66.02 0.18
7 0.0631 -1483.88 0.06 -66.67 -0.31
8 0.1395 -2620.40 0.03 -220.06 -0.04
9 0.7318 10423.88 -0.09 -292.66 0.08
10 0.8055 10136.37 0.10 -82.24 0.04
11 0.8111 10071.45 -0.12 -67.75 0.09
12 0.8709 9072.95 0.15 62.05 -0.02
13 0.8711 9070.40 -0.02 62.10 -0.15
14 0.9665 6706.87 -0.07 151.98 -0.05
15 0.9666 6703.77 ( -0.07) 152.55 ( 0.53)
16 0.9667 6700.88 0.18 152.19 0.17
17 0.9856 6197.33 0.02 150.29 0.04
18 0.9857 6193.89 -0.01 150.26 0.06
19 0.9858 6191.06 0.17 150.16 -0.00
20 0.9913 6047.22 -0.09 148.29 -0.13
21 1.0540 4513.95 -0.06 91.52 -0.05
22 1.0541 4511.57 0.06 91.40 -0.00
23 1.0622 4337.37 -0.07 79.48 0.11
24 1.1360 3169.91 0.00 -67.78 0.01
25 1.6927 15711.16 0.05 -268.06 -0.20
26 1.7091 15884.46 -0.06 -218.57 0.02
27 1.7967 15889.15 0.01 37.55 -0.09
28 1.8486 15210.99 -0.08 162.18 0.07
29 1.8624 14958.72 0.02 189.59 0.06
30 1.8650 14908.58 -0.12 194.41 0.05
31 1.9333 13332.25 0.07 282.05 -0.17
32 2.0043 11461.18 -0.07 285.19 0.03
33 2.8370 21039.78 0.10 278.55 -0.19
34 2.8480 20866.51 0.03 302.69 0.03
35 2.8480 20866.15 -0.11 302.82 0.14
36 2.8504 20825.98 0.04 307.84 0.10
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15KK199 quality flag:3 Type: SCATNEAR SCATNEAR SCATNEAR axisobj 60.064 60.120 60.010 ecceobj 0.401 0.402 0.401 incobj 5.258 5.258 5.258 qmin 35.369 35.297 35.280 qmax 89.115 89.184 88.859 amean 61.009 61.069 60.521 amin 59.796 59.859 59.116 amax 62.577 62.606 62.426 emean 0.408 0.409 0.404 emin 0.393 0.395 0.385 emax 0.424 0.425 0.424 imean 4.023 4.157 4.205 imin 3.381 3.674 3.509 imax 4.751 4.733 4.923 excite_mean 0.414 0.416 0.410 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.086 3.084 3.085 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 172.1 187.7 170.8 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0