Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15KO166

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15KO166   
# Created Sun Dec 22 02:10:23 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     26 observations of     26
# Arc:  56.84d
# First observation: 2015/05/17
#  Last observation: 2015/07/13
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000006   0.050454  -0.000016  -0.005368   0.035683   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    12.05 DOF:     46 RMS:  0.12
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.33    0.24
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  2.000693E-05  4.389947E-02 -2.665133E-06 -7.320404E-03  3.468748E-02 -2.131379E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  3.4542E-13  2.5370E-11 -1.7634E-14  5.3864E-12  7.7981E-12  3.7288E-10
  2.5370E-11  3.4748E-08 -7.6730E-11  1.0027E-08  5.7806E-09 -6.1331E-07
 -1.7634E-14 -7.6730E-11  2.9272E-13 -2.3391E-11 -1.2111E-11  1.5147E-09
  5.3864E-12  1.0027E-08 -2.3391E-11  2.9289E-09  1.6331E-09 -1.8569E-07
  7.7981E-12  5.7806E-09 -1.2111E-11  1.6331E-09  1.0182E-09 -8.8392E-08
  3.7288E-10 -6.1331E-07  1.5147E-09 -1.8569E-07 -8.8392E-08  1.4150E-05
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   14.315478 -140.218756   -0.285367    0.239523   -0.938266  2457159.974389
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457150.5000  =  2015/05/08
Mean Anomaly:          354.00058 +/-    13.579
Argument of Peri:      134.37238 +/-    23.316
Long of Asc Node:       95.00731 +/-     0.232
Inclination:            16.81964 +/-     0.046
Eccentricity:         0.24871478 +/-    0.0269
Semi-Major Axis:     39.50297701 +/-    0.8049
Time of Perihelion: 2458661.7974 +/-    3420.3
Perihelion:          29.67800266 +/-    1.2224
Aphelion:            49.32795136 +/-    1.4625
Period (y)              248.2864 +/-      7.59
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -22.03137721 +/-    0.0198
Ecliptic Y          -18.71288461 +/-    0.0164
Ecliptic Z            7.12822775 +/-    0.0066
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00222972 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00265602 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00060137 +/-    0.0001
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   29.77188712 +/-    0.0180
Geocenter to KBO     28.82884526 +/-    0.0265
# Hcoef:  9.67

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15KO166. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15KO166) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 05  17.473611 14 47 26.434  -01 07 56.16  24.8g 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  17.475730 14 47 26.418  -01 07 55.94  24.7g 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  17.496936 14 47 26.293  -01 07 55.58  24.9g 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  21.378768 14 47 02.790  -01 06 56.09  24.0i 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  21.384867 14 47 02.753  -01 06 56.02  24.0i 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  21.395625 14 47 02.685  -01 06 55.87  24.0i 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  21.403709 14 47 02.638  -01 06 55.75  24.1i 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  21.411781 14 47 02.587  -01 06 55.61  24.0i 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  21.414478 14 47 02.571  -01 06 55.61  24.0i 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  21.417166 14 47 02.557  -01 06 55.54  23.9i 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  21.422549 14 47 02.519  -01 06 55.49  23.7i 15KO166   568  C~2TuP      
2015 05  26.29897  14 46 33.81   -01 05 55.6   24.1y 15KO166   T09  C~8SVr      
2015 05  26.34604  14 46 33.57   -01 05 54.9   23.7y 15KO166   T09  C~8SVr      
2015 05  26.36079  14 46 33.46   -01 05 54.6   24.6y 15KO166   T09  C~8SVr      
2015 05  26.44517  14 46 32.97   -01 05 53.7   24.2y 15KO166   T09  C~8SVr      
2015 07  12.25545  14 43 28.02   -01 11 27.7   24.7z 15KO166   T09  C~8SVr      
2015 07  12.27784  14 43 27.98   -01 11 28.4   24.8z 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      
2015 07  12.29403  14 43 27.95   -01 11 28.7   24.3z 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      
2015 07  12.31035  14 43 27.92   -01 11 29.4   24.2z 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      
2015 07  12.31304  14 43 27.91   -01 11 29.6   23.8z 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      
2015 07  12.33461  14 43 27.88   -01 11 29.7   24.5z 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      
2015 07  12.34809  14 43 27.87   -01 11 30.1   24.8z 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      
2015 07  13.28589  14 43 26.43   -01 11 53.9   24.6r 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      
2015 07  13.30229  14 43 26.39   -01 11 53.9   24.5r 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      
2015 07  13.31515  14 43 26.38   -01 11 54.6   24.8r 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      
2015 07  13.31727  14 43 26.38   -01 11 54.6   24.9r 15KO166   T09  C~8SVs      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.14
     2   0.0000     -0.30    -0.10       0.14     0.02
     3   0.0001     -2.19     0.00      -0.09     0.06
     4   0.0107   -355.98     0.04     -51.23     0.01
     5   0.0107   -356.53     0.05     -51.33    -0.00
     6   0.0107   -357.54     0.02     -51.50    -0.01
     7   0.0108   -358.25     0.05     -51.60     0.00
     8   0.0108   -359.02     0.02     -51.70     0.02
     9   0.0108   -359.25     0.03     -51.78    -0.01
    10   0.0108   -359.47     0.06     -51.77     0.03
    11   0.0108   -360.03    -0.01     -51.90    -0.02
    12   0.0242   -788.28    -0.23    -126.54    -0.29
    13   0.0243   -791.92     0.24    -126.98     0.08
    14   0.0243   -793.58    -0.14    -127.20     0.11
    15   0.0246   -800.85    -0.04    -128.59     0.15
    16   0.1527  -3339.69     0.07   -1295.32     0.18
    17   0.1528  -3340.04     0.08   -1296.17     0.03
    18   0.1528  -3340.38     0.02   -1296.59     0.12
    19   0.1529  -3340.59     0.07   -1297.40    -0.18
    20   0.1529  -3340.67     0.04   -1297.63    -0.33
    21   0.1529  -3341.07    -0.01   -1297.87     0.12
    22   0.1530  -3341.09     0.19   -1298.29     0.11
    23   0.1555  -3354.37    -0.00   -1327.57    -0.13
    24   0.1556  -3354.94    -0.33   -1327.75     0.21
    25   0.1556  -3354.87    -0.07   -1328.46    -0.10
    26   0.1556  -3354.87    -0.04   -1328.46    -0.04

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15KO166    quality flag:2

Type:           3:2E  CENTAURR  CENTAURR

axisobj        39.077    42.540    38.648
ecceobj         0.241     0.351     0.233
incobj         16.815    16.922    16.890
qmin           27.838    27.419    29.646
qmax           51.734    59.521    48.588
amean          39.455    42.970    38.884
amin           39.012    41.779    38.648
amax           39.993    44.236    39.161
emean           0.245     0.340     0.237
emin            0.192     0.303     0.233
emax            0.294     0.361     0.241
imean          15.548    16.545    15.352
imin           13.144    15.379    15.324
imax           17.623    18.130    15.378
excite_mean     0.365     0.444     0.355
fracstop        1.000     0.022     0.000
cjmean          2.901     2.853     2.902

libcent 0       180.3    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0        80.6    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean        92.9     112.5     140.6
kozaiamp         45.8      22.4       0.7