Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15NE44

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15NE44    
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:30 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     11 observations of     11
# Arc:   7.07d
# First observation: 2015/07/15
#  Last observation: 2015/07/22
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000000   0.019321  -0.000000  -0.002115   0.022067   0.000000
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# Chi-squared of fit:     8.72 DOF:     17 RMS:  0.16
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.43    0.34
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.272904E-05  1.784538E-02 -1.490332E-06 -1.879203E-03  2.171327E-02  1.061733E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  6.3047E-12  8.5927E-09 -1.0916E-12 -1.3899E-09  1.8850E-09 -4.0874E-09
  8.5927E-09  1.2637E-05 -1.6005E-09 -2.0378E-06  2.7638E-06 -5.5024E-06
 -1.0916E-12 -1.6005E-09  6.3017E-13  2.3326E-10 -3.5009E-10  7.5279E-10
 -1.3899E-09 -2.0378E-06  2.3326E-10  3.3078E-07 -4.4577E-07  8.8297E-07
  1.8850E-09  2.7638E-06 -3.5009E-10 -4.4577E-07  6.0456E-07 -1.2853E-06
 -4.0874E-09 -5.5024E-06  7.5279E-10  8.8297E-07 -1.2853E-06 -2.4971E-04
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   10.153194  -21.592226    0.729335    0.125183   -0.698487  2457218.944659
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457210.5000  =  2015/07/07
Mean Anomaly:          183.13044 +/-   303.079
Argument of Peri:      297.94599 +/-   297.946
Long of Asc Node:      216.86963 +/-     2.746
Inclination:            11.57976 +/-     0.309
Eccentricity:         0.19604458 +/-    0.2269
Semi-Major Axis:     39.09910174 +/-    6.3402
Time of Perihelion: 2501083.6879 +/- 7933520.9
Perihelion:          31.43393469 +/-   10.2320
Aphelion:            46.76426880 +/-   11.6712
Period (y)              244.4885 +/-     59.47
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           42.54052931 +/-    1.5094
Ecliptic Y          -17.62171792 +/-    0.5975
Ecliptic Z            8.11855940 +/-    0.2907
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00087686 +/-    0.0009
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00206574 +/-    0.0021
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00023082 +/-   -0.0002
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   46.75609675 +/-    1.3926
Geocenter to KBO     46.05477737 +/-    1.6492
# Hcoef:  8.27

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15NE44. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15NE44) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 07  15.44387  22 25 03.29   +01 00 39.8   25.7r 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  15.46937  22 25 03.21   +01 00 39.4   25.2r 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  15.48681  22 25 03.16   +01 00 39.6   25.2r 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  20.42844  22 24 48.37   +00 59 54.1   25.3i 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  20.50208  22 24 48.13   +00 59 53.4   24.6i 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  20.56035  22 24 47.94   +00 59 52.9   24.4i 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  22.41783  22 24 42.05   +00 59 32.9   24.2z 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  22.45708  22 24 41.90   +00 59 32.2   25.1z 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  22.47600  22 24 41.89   +00 59 32.1   24.8z 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  22.49762  22 24 41.79   +00 59 32.1   24.1z 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      
2015 07  22.51655  22 24 41.74   +00 59 31.6   24.5z 15NE44    T09  C~8ibh      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.03
     2   0.0001     -1.26    -0.09       0.07    -0.13
     3   0.0001     -1.89     0.05       0.54     0.18
     4   0.0136   -224.80     0.03      40.32    -0.18
     5   0.0138   -228.40    -0.02      41.00    -0.10
     6   0.0140   -231.23    -0.03      41.59     0.02
     7   0.0191   -320.70    -0.04      55.69     0.16
     8   0.0192   -323.05    -0.43      55.87     0.04
     9   0.0193   -323.23     0.34      55.83    -0.15
    10   0.0193   -324.62     0.03      56.39     0.24
    11   0.0194   -325.50     0.10      56.20    -0.10

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15NE44    quality flag:0

Type:      ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE

axisobj         0.000     0.000     0.000
ecceobj        -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
incobj         -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
qmin            0.000     0.000     0.000
qmax            0.000     0.000     0.000
amean           0.000     0.000     0.000
amin            0.000     0.000     0.000
amax            0.000     0.000     0.000
emean           0.000     0.000     0.000
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.000     0.000     0.000
imean           0.000     0.000     0.000
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            0.000     0.000     0.000
excite_mean     0.000     0.000     0.000
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          0.000     0.000     0.000

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean         0.0       0.0       0.0
kozaiamp          0.0       0.0       0.0