Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15OC193

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15OC193   
# Created Sun Apr 27 01:10:31 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     11 observations of     11
# Arc:  35.93d
# First observation: 2015/07/15
#  Last observation: 2015/08/20
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000001   0.044082  -0.000002  -0.006952   0.029781   0.000000
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# Chi-squared of fit:     5.18 DOF:     17 RMS:  0.12
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.16    0.16
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  2.304946E-05  4.081810E-02 -3.540705E-06 -6.607564E-03  2.895024E-02  1.725166E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  4.3269E-13  1.4665E-11 -3.0412E-14 -2.3553E-12  9.4118E-12  2.7827E-09
  1.4665E-11  2.4258E-07 -1.2323E-10 -2.4947E-08  5.5488E-08  4.2208E-06
 -3.0412E-14 -1.2323E-10  3.5296E-13  9.5901E-12 -2.8984E-11 -2.5108E-09
 -2.3553E-12 -2.4947E-08  9.5901E-12  2.6328E-09 -5.7273E-09 -4.4312E-07
  9.4118E-12  5.5488E-08 -2.8984E-11 -5.7273E-09  1.2893E-08  1.0572E-06
  2.7827E-09  4.2208E-06 -2.5108E-09 -4.4312E-07  1.0572E-06  1.1585E-04
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    9.216206  -16.985875    0.782622    0.104262   -0.641946  2457219.066909
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457210.5000  =  2015/07/07
Mean Anomaly:            0.14819 +/-     1.939
Argument of Peri:      131.90218 +/-    33.442
Long of Asc Node:      206.53316 +/-     0.417
Inclination:            12.72827 +/-     0.092
Eccentricity:         0.81556955 +/-    0.0598
Semi-Major Axis:    190.71539491 +/-   58.9768
Time of Perihelion: 2456814.4983 +/-    5179.1
Perihelion:          35.17372552 +/-   15.7591
Aphelion:           346.25706430 +/-  107.6821
Period (y)             2633.8245 +/-   1221.73
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           32.99889022 +/-    0.1279
Ecliptic Y          -10.89871307 +/-    0.0391
Ecliptic Z            5.53219545 +/-    0.0217
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00137516 +/-    0.0010
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00360924 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00059062 +/-    0.0002
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   35.18968441 +/-    0.1206
Geocenter to KBO     34.54203123 +/-    0.1355
# Hcoef:  9.41

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15OC193. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15OC193) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 07  15.56612  22 43 18.09   +01 50 51.0   25.2r 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  15.61088  22 43 17.98   +01 50 50.7   25.4r 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  15.61512  22 43 17.96   +01 50 50.7   24.9r 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  21.49256  22 43 00.25   +01 49 53.6   25.0i 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  21.50888  22 43 00.20   +01 49 53.3   24.8i 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  21.61178  22 42 59.85   +01 49 52.1   25.1i 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 08  20.42155  22 40 58.09   +01 39 40.1   24.4z 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 08  20.42965  22 40 58.06   +01 39 39.6   24.4z 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 08  20.45392  22 40 57.95   +01 39 39.1   24.2z 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 08  20.46203  22 40 57.90   +01 39 38.9   24.3z 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 08  20.49655  22 40 57.75   +01 39 37.8   24.2z 15OC193   T09  C~8nco      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.01
     2   0.0001     -1.64     0.13       0.35    -0.08
     3   0.0001     -1.92     0.03       0.46    -0.00
     4   0.0162   -269.18     0.02      48.73     0.11
     5   0.0163   -269.98     0.03      48.74    -0.02
     6   0.0166   -275.29    -0.06      49.62     0.03
     7   0.0982  -2196.44    -0.09     178.89     0.16
     8   0.0982  -2197.04    -0.07     178.60    -0.14
     9   0.0983  -2198.76     0.09     178.76    -0.01
    10   0.0983  -2199.53    -0.05     178.86     0.09
    11   0.0984  -2202.03     0.12     178.70    -0.12

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15OC193    quality flag:0

Type:      ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE

axisobj         0.000     0.000     0.000
ecceobj        -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
incobj         -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
qmin            0.000     0.000     0.000
qmax            0.000     0.000     0.000
amean           0.000     0.000     0.000
amin            0.000     0.000     0.000
amax            0.000     0.000     0.000
emean           0.000     0.000     0.000
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.000     0.000     0.000
imean           0.000     0.000     0.000
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            0.000     0.000     0.000
excite_mean     0.000     0.000     0.000
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          0.000     0.000     0.000

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean         0.0       0.0       0.0
kozaiamp          0.0       0.0       0.0