Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15OG193

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15OG193   
# Created Sun Apr 27 01:10:31 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     10 observations of     10
# Arc:  35.95d
# First observation: 2015/07/15
#  Last observation: 2015/08/20
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000000   0.027025  -0.000001  -0.016043   0.028102   0.000000
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# Chi-squared of fit:     2.37 DOF:     15 RMS:  0.09
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.20    0.13
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.376753E-05  2.374972E-02 -8.936932E-06 -1.565737E-02  2.728346E-02  5.798443E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  8.6705E-13  3.7582E-10 -1.9399E-13 -4.8551E-11  1.0153E-10  1.2624E-08
  3.7582E-10  8.8048E-07 -4.3251E-10 -9.8144E-08  2.1079E-07  1.8839E-05
 -1.9399E-13 -4.3251E-10  4.8394E-13  4.4967E-11 -1.0375E-10 -9.3353E-09
 -4.8551E-11 -9.8144E-08  4.4967E-11  1.1122E-08 -2.3654E-08 -2.1656E-06
  1.0153E-10  2.1079E-07 -1.0375E-10 -2.3654E-08  5.0736E-08  4.6226E-06
  1.2624E-08  1.8839E-05 -9.3353E-09 -2.1656E-06  4.6226E-06  4.5016E-04
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    8.036149  -17.732940    0.774291    0.092402   -0.653761  2457219.047709
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457210.5000  =  2015/07/07
Mean Anomaly:           59.67934 +/-    46.774
Argument of Peri:       84.54754 +/-    18.531
Long of Asc Node:      172.93889 +/-     0.612
Inclination:            33.97193 +/-     1.374
Eccentricity:         0.19543127 +/-    0.7692
Semi-Major Axis:     39.94902698 +/-   14.4215
Time of Perihelion: 2441921.4941 +/-    8662.9
Perihelion:          32.14173788 +/-   32.8454
Aphelion:            47.75631608 +/-   35.2336
Period (y)              252.5036 +/-    136.73
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           34.95772980 +/-    0.2854
Ecliptic Y          -11.99236597 +/-    0.0913
Ecliptic Z            5.12363290 +/-    0.0423
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00148160 +/-    0.0020
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00202134 +/-    0.0006
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00147436 +/-    0.0003
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   37.31100814 +/-    0.2690
Geocenter to KBO     36.65223783 +/-    0.3026
# Hcoef:  9.77

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15OG193. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15OG193) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 07  15.54692  22 42 21.64   +00 28 31.3   26.0r 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  15.55977  22 42 21.60   +00 28 31.1   25.7r 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  21.44495  22 42 02.58   +00 26 39.7   25.0i 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  21.47369  22 42 02.49   +00 26 39.2   25.8i 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  21.50349  22 42 02.38   +00 26 38.6   25.1i 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  21.53887  22 42 02.24   +00 26 37.7   25.0i 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 07  21.59831  22 42 02.05   +00 26 36.4   25.6i 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 08  20.41470  22 39 55.73   +00 12 22.9   24.7z 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 08  20.42425  22 39 55.69   +00 12 22.6   25.2z 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      
2015 08  20.49385  22 39 55.34   +00 12 19.9   25.1z 15OG193   T09  C~8nco      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.03
     2   0.0000     -0.63     0.01       0.04    -0.01
     3   0.0161   -306.86    -0.06       5.04     0.03
     4   0.0162   -308.30     0.13       5.09     0.05
     5   0.0163   -310.05     0.07       5.16     0.09
     6   0.0164   -312.34    -0.20       5.13     0.02
     7   0.0166   -315.47     0.06       5.00    -0.15
     8   0.0982  -2392.46     0.00     -66.87     0.05
     9   0.0982  -2393.13     0.11     -66.92     0.05
    10   0.0984  -2399.01    -0.11     -67.43    -0.11

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15OG193    quality flag:0

Type:      ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE

axisobj         0.000     0.000     0.000
ecceobj        -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
incobj         -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
qmin            0.000     0.000     0.000
qmax            0.000     0.000     0.000
amean           0.000     0.000     0.000
amin            0.000     0.000     0.000
amax            0.000     0.000     0.000
emean           0.000     0.000     0.000
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.000     0.000     0.000
imean           0.000     0.000     0.000
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            0.000     0.000     0.000
excite_mean     0.000     0.000     0.000
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          0.000     0.000     0.000

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean         0.0       0.0       0.0
kozaiamp          0.0       0.0       0.0