Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15OW190

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15OW190   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:30 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting      9 observations of      9
# Arc:   7.07d
# First observation: 2015/07/15
#  Last observation: 2015/07/22
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000000   0.029759  -0.000000   0.004923   0.025590   0.000000
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# Chi-squared of fit:     2.51 DOF:     13 RMS:  0.09
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.22    0.15
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.598115E-05  2.401150E-02  3.624162E-06  5.678852E-03  2.427451E-02 -5.789723E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  1.7023E-11  2.5882E-08 -2.3439E-12 -3.4875E-09  5.7698E-09  1.9562E-08
  2.5882E-08  4.0518E-05 -3.6654E-09 -5.4540E-06  9.0229E-06  3.0060E-05
 -2.3439E-12 -3.6654E-09  7.8758E-13  4.6769E-10 -8.1628E-10 -2.7207E-09
 -3.4875E-09 -5.4540E-06  4.6769E-10  7.3647E-07 -1.2146E-06 -3.9080E-06
  5.7698E-09  9.0229E-06 -8.1628E-10 -1.2146E-06  2.0095E-06  6.9873E-06
  1.9562E-08  3.0060E-05 -2.7207E-09 -3.9080E-06  6.9873E-06  8.9278E-04
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    8.162947  -20.678571    0.740660    0.099170   -0.690705  2457218.936009
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457210.5000  =  2015/07/07
Mean Anomaly:          338.23156 +/-   201.817
Argument of Peri:       57.72711 +/-   340.438
Long of Asc Node:      308.08723 +/-    10.338
Inclination:            15.65646 +/-     4.603
Eccentricity:         0.10058008 +/-    0.5873
Semi-Major Axis:     46.12481846 +/-   14.5330
Time of Perihelion: 2464129.2126 +/-  178533.6
Perihelion:          41.48558040 +/-   30.0780
Aphelion:            50.76405652 +/-   31.4588
Period (y)              313.2638 +/-    148.06
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           38.53905771 +/-    2.2279
Ecliptic Y          -15.33878061 +/-    0.8410
Ecliptic Z            5.84950651 +/-    0.3416
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00080849 +/-    0.0032
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00258237 +/-    0.0012
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00062480 +/-    0.0005
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   41.88978260 +/-    2.0732
Geocenter to KBO     41.19548244 +/-    2.4057
# Hcoef:  8.94

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15OW190. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15OW190) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 07  15.43522  22 31 21.55   -00 30 08.9   25.8r 15OW190   T09  C~8ibn      
2015 07  15.48255  22 31 21.41   -00 30 09.2   25.5r 15OW190   T09  C~8ibn      
2015 07  15.49774  22 31 21.36   -00 30 09.2   25.1r 15OW190   T09  C~8ibn      
2015 07  21.53078  22 31 01.79   -00 30 51.8   24.6i 15OW190   T09  C~8ibn      
2015 07  21.55785  22 31 01.70   -00 30 51.9   25.0i 15OW190   T09  C~8ibn      
2015 07  21.58754  22 31 01.59   -00 30 52.3   24.9i 15OW190   T09  C~8ibn      
2015 07  22.40653  22 30 58.78   -00 30 59.8   24.4z 15OW190   T09  C~8ibn      
2015 07  22.47062  22 30 58.55   -00 31 00.0   24.7z 15OW190   T09  C~8ibn      
2015 07  22.50574  22 30 58.44   -00 31 00.5   25.3z 15OW190   T09  C~8ibn      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.02
     2   0.0001     -2.06     0.02       0.50    -0.07
     3   0.0002     -2.76     0.02       0.78     0.02
     4   0.0167   -291.06    -0.00      70.49     0.03
     5   0.0168   -292.35     0.12      70.89     0.13
     6   0.0168   -294.03    -0.02      71.14     0.03
     7   0.0191   -335.95    -0.15      79.86    -0.22
     8   0.0193   -339.22    -0.05      80.96     0.15
     9   0.0194   -340.94     0.09      81.11    -0.10

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15OW190    quality flag:0

Type:      ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE

axisobj         0.000     0.000     0.000
ecceobj        -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
incobj         -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
qmin            0.000     0.000     0.000
qmax            0.000     0.000     0.000
amean           0.000     0.000     0.000
amin            0.000     0.000     0.000
amax            0.000     0.000     0.000
emean           0.000     0.000     0.000
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.000     0.000     0.000
imean           0.000     0.000     0.000
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            0.000     0.000     0.000
excite_mean     0.000     0.000     0.000
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          0.000     0.000     0.000

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean         0.0       0.0       0.0
kozaiamp          0.0       0.0       0.0