The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15PY330 # Created Wed Nov 27 02:10:22 2024 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 6 observations of 6 # Arc: 21.98d # First observation: 2015/08/15 # Last observation: 2015/09/05 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: -0.000000 0.031730 -0.000001 -0.001160 0.026500 0.000000 # WARNING MRQMIN stopped after 13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution # WARNING Fitting with energy constraint # Chi-squared of fit: 5.41 DOF: 7 RMS: 0.17 # Min/Max residuals: -0.37 0.23 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.638893E-05 2.714472E-02 -1.549706E-06 -6.863710E-04 2.567638E-02 -1.940908E-03 # Covariance matrix: 4.8816E-12 6.1999E-09 -2.4929E-13 -6.2591E-10 1.2616E-09 -9.3157E-09 6.1999E-09 8.5761E-06 -3.4248E-10 -8.6542E-07 1.7377E-06 -1.7609E-05 -2.4929E-13 -3.4248E-10 3.8438E-13 2.8110E-11 -6.9696E-11 4.5029E-10 -6.2591E-10 -8.6542E-07 2.8110E-11 8.7672E-08 -1.7527E-07 1.8473E-06 1.2616E-09 1.7377E-06 -6.9696E-11 -1.7527E-07 3.5295E-07 -2.8469E-06 -9.3157E-09 -1.7609E-05 4.5029E-10 1.8473E-06 -2.8469E-06 6.4165E-04 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -7.508946 -64.712698 -0.453424 -0.118596 -0.900817 2457249.503399 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457240.5000 = 2015/08/06 Mean Anomaly: 339.37407 +/- 259.968 Argument of Peri: 287.20259 +/- 3.561 Long of Asc Node: 36.32350 +/- 3.492 Inclination: 7.45880 +/- 0.078 Eccentricity: 0.14312866 +/- 0.5640 Semi-Major Axis: 45.84706695 +/- 12.3230 Time of Perihelion: 2463736.9620 +/- 81839.0 Perihelion: 39.28503785 +/- 27.9306 Aphelion: 52.40909604 +/- 29.4459 Period (y) 310.4385 +/- 125.16 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 17.28867234 +/- 0.3816 Ecliptic Y -35.54042458 +/- 0.8078 Ecliptic Z -5.08958683 +/- 0.1178 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00252330 +/- 0.0011 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00142418 +/- 0.0024 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00004546 +/- 0.0003 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 39.84876240 +/- 0.7394 Geocenter to KBO 38.94630277 +/- 0.9011 # Hcoef: 6.59
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15PY330. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15PY330) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 08 15.00261 19 55 10.967 -28 27 19.37 22.5r 15PY330 807 C~3wqH 2015 08 15.12555 19 55 10.333 -28 27 20.50 15PY330 807 C~3wqH 2015 08 15.18279 19 55 10.085 -28 27 20.98 15PY330 807 C~3wqH 2015 08 16.003213 19 55 06.09 -28 27 27.5 22.7V 15PY330 W84 C~83Dd 2015 09 04.98177 19 53 41.831 -28 28 46.67 15PY330 807 C~3wqH 2015 09 05.98267 19 53 38.375 -28 28 47.09 15PY330 807 C~3wqH
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.23
2 0.0003 -8.42 -0.25 0.51 0.13
3 0.0005 -11.72 0.23 0.67 -0.01
4 0.0027 -64.68 -0.05 4.45 -0.37
5 0.0574 -1170.32 0.07 139.69 0.03
6 0.0602 -1215.13 -0.06 147.95 -0.01
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15PY330 quality flag:0 Type: ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE axisobj 0.000 0.000 0.000 ecceobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 incobj -1.000 -1.000 -1.000 qmin 0.000 0.000 0.000 qmax 0.000 0.000 0.000 amean 0.000 0.000 0.000 amin 0.000 0.000 0.000 amax 0.000 0.000 0.000 emean 0.000 0.000 0.000 emin 0.000 0.000 0.000 emax 0.000 0.000 0.000 imean 0.000 0.000 0.000 imin 0.000 0.000 0.000 imax 0.000 0.000 0.000 excite_mean 0.000 0.000 0.000 fracstop 0.000 0.000 0.000 cjmean 0.000 0.000 0.000 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 0.0 0.0 0.0 kozaiamp 0.0 0.0 0.0