The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15RB280
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:25 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting 38 observations of 38
# Arc: 6.83y
# First observation: 2013/11/22
# Last observation: 2020/09/21
# Chi-squared of fit: 12.88 DOF: 70 RMS: 0.10
# Min/Max residuals: -0.33 0.33
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.541080E-05 2.417185E-02 -3.273447E-07 -8.828844E-04 2.430720E-02 8.885866E-04
# Covariance matrix:
5.1769E-13 -2.5749E-13 -9.2759E-15 7.0540E-15 -1.5019E-13 -1.1052E-12
-2.5749E-13 1.5959E-13 6.2122E-15 -4.7092E-15 5.6530E-14 7.3706E-13
-9.2759E-15 6.2122E-15 1.4357E-13 -4.0844E-14 2.3176E-15 3.1848E-14
7.0540E-15 -4.7092E-15 -4.0844E-14 1.5924E-14 -1.7877E-15 -2.4140E-14
-1.5019E-13 5.6530E-14 2.3176E-15 -1.7877E-15 1.1117E-13 2.8135E-13
-1.1052E-12 7.3706E-13 3.1848E-14 -2.4140E-14 2.8135E-13 3.7781E-12
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
0.541637 6.349992 -0.790263 0.005710 -0.589691 2456618.577518
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2456618.5000 = 2013/11/22
Mean Anomaly: 45.41608 +/- 0.034
Argument of Peri: 114.12998 +/- 0.042
Long of Asc Node: 201.69432 +/- 0.002
Inclination: 2.16686 +/- 0.000
Eccentricity: 0.07124080 +/- 0.0001
Semi-Major Axis: 43.80585156 +/- 0.0024
Time of Perihelion: 2443258.5838 +/- 10.0
Perihelion: 40.68508786 +/- 0.0041
Aphelion: 46.92661526 +/- 0.0043
Period (y) 289.9388 +/- 0.02
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X 41.38373310 +/- 0.0006
Ecliptic Y 5.40358208 +/- 0.0001
Ecliptic Z 0.38884432 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00020688 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT 0.00271521 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00009835 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 41.73679897 +/- 0.0006
Geocenter to KBO 41.14010021 +/- 0.0006
# Hcoef: 7.49
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RB280. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RB280) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2013 11 22.07674 00 22 27.634 +03 01 08.16 22.9i 15RB280 W84 C~4yYL 2013 11 23.10640 00 22 25.312 +03 00 52.20 23.7i 15RB280 W84 C~4yYL 2014 08 18.31576 00 33 47.519 +04 11 40.76 23.4i 15RB280 W84 C~4yYL 2014 10 21.21921 00 29 26.472 +03 43 21.24 23.9r 15RB280 W84 C~4yYL 2015 06 23.61390 00 39 36.502 +04 45 21.22 23.6r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 07 14.57142 00 39 52.546 +04 47 06.88 23.9r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 07 19.54942 00 39 50.782 +04 46 56.46 23.7r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 08 11.50339 00 39 16.366 +04 43 19.74 23.4r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 08 11.54506 00 39 16.259 +04 43 19.05 23.6r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 09 08.40906 00 37 45.494 +04 33 37.88 23.6r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 09 08.51318 00 37 45.073 +04 33 35.12 24.0r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 09 08.55681 00 37 44.896 +04 33 34.06 24.0r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 09 09.53240 00 37 40.992 +04 33 08.83 23.9w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 09 16.46364 00 37 12.289 +04 30 03.58 23.9w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 10 07.35864 00 35 39.976 +04 20 03.99 23.5r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 10 07.41176 00 35 39.740 +04 20 02.44 23.4r 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 11 07.25497 00 33 33.097 +04 06 07.43 24.4w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 11 07.30781 00 33 32.909 +04 06 06.24 24.1w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 11 10.39374 00 33 22.392 +04 04 55.84 24.0w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2015 12 07.33142 00 32 18.681 +03 57 37.49 24.0w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2016 01 01.26036 00 32 14.034 +03 56 36.92 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2016 09 05.53675 00 43 04.722 +05 04 07.19 24.1w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2016 09 07.47613 00 42 57.213 +05 03 19.07 23.9w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2016 09 07.52244 00 42 57.026 +05 03 17.89 23.8w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2016 09 09.28605 00 42 50.053 +05 02 33.39 23.1i 15RB280 W84 C~4yYL 2016 09 09.28743 00 42 50.040 +05 02 33.14 23.1r 15RB280 W84 C~4yYL 2016 11 08.14735 00 38 37.537 +04 35 10.68 23.0i 15RB280 W84 C~4yYL 2016 11 18.09656 00 38 05.950 +04 31 39.69 23.6r 15RB280 W84 C~4yYL 2016 12 29.26158 00 37 16.422 +04 25 37.54 23.8w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2017 01 03.23211 00 37 20.641 +04 25 58.77 24.0w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2017 01 27.24379 00 38 12.008 +04 30 59.63 23.9w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2017 01 28.23958 00 38 15.187 +04 31 18.83 24.6w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2017 09 22.45810 00 47 06.850 +05 26 11.35 24.1w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2017 11 22.36455 00 43 03.482 +04 59 47.65 23.9w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2017 12 23.29716 00 42 19.219 +04 54 34.65 24.0w 15RB280 568 C~2nvp 2020 09 21.237710 01 02 43.100 +06 53 32.63 23.8G 15RB280 G37 C~4ADG 2020 09 21.298870 01 02 42.811 +06 53 30.35 15RB280 G37 C~4ADG 2020 09 21.375150 01 02 42.488 +06 53 28.68 15RB280 G37 C~4ADG
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.02
2 0.0028 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.21
3 0.7371 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.06
4 0.9121 0.00 0.17 0.00 -0.05
5 1.5839 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.00
6 1.6413 0.00 0.18 0.00 -0.03
7 1.6550 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.09
8 1.7178 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.03
9 1.7179 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.03
10 1.7942 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.10
11 1.7945 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01
12 1.7946 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.07
13 1.7973 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.02
14 1.8163 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.05
15 1.8735 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.06
16 1.8736 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.06
17 1.9581 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04
18 1.9582 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.00
19 1.9666 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.13
20 2.0404 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.02
21 2.1086 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.10
22 2.7884 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.01
23 2.7937 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.05
24 2.7938 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.04
25 2.7987 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.08
26 2.7987 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.13
27 2.9625 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.03
28 2.9898 0.00 0.28 0.00 0.25
29 3.1025 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.09
30 3.1161 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.02
31 3.1818 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.00
32 3.1846 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.03
33 3.8340 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.02
34 4.0008 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.08
35 4.0855 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.02
36 6.8314 0.00 0.23 0.00 0.33
37 6.8315 0.00 -0.17 0.00 -0.33
38 6.8318 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.02
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15RB280 quality flag:3 Type: CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL axisobj 44.089 44.089 44.089 ecceobj 0.077 0.077 0.077 incobj 2.162 2.162 2.162 qmin 39.843 39.833 39.852 qmax 48.081 48.077 48.082 amean 43.846 43.846 43.846 amin 43.493 43.492 43.496 amax 44.210 44.211 44.209 emean 0.071 0.071 0.071 emin 0.054 0.054 0.054 emax 0.088 0.088 0.088 imean 3.554 3.554 3.554 imin 2.768 2.768 2.768 imax 4.308 4.310 4.310 excite_mean 0.094 0.094 0.094 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.089 3.089 3.089 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 181.7 181.7 181.8 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 180.0