Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15RB280

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15RB280   
# Created Wed Dec 25 02:10:25 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     38 observations of     38
# Arc:   6.83y
# First observation: 2013/11/22
#  Last observation: 2020/09/21
# Chi-squared of fit:    12.88 DOF:     70 RMS:  0.10
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.33    0.33
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.541080E-05  2.417185E-02 -3.273447E-07 -8.828844E-04  2.430720E-02  8.885866E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  5.1769E-13 -2.5749E-13 -9.2759E-15  7.0540E-15 -1.5019E-13 -1.1052E-12
 -2.5749E-13  1.5959E-13  6.2122E-15 -4.7092E-15  5.6530E-14  7.3706E-13
 -9.2759E-15  6.2122E-15  1.4357E-13 -4.0844E-14  2.3176E-15  3.1848E-14
  7.0540E-15 -4.7092E-15 -4.0844E-14  1.5924E-14 -1.7877E-15 -2.4140E-14
 -1.5019E-13  5.6530E-14  2.3176E-15 -1.7877E-15  1.1117E-13  2.8135E-13
 -1.1052E-12  7.3706E-13  3.1848E-14 -2.4140E-14  2.8135E-13  3.7781E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    0.541637    6.349992   -0.790263    0.005710   -0.589691  2456618.577518
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456618.5000  =  2013/11/22
Mean Anomaly:           45.41608 +/-     0.034
Argument of Peri:      114.12998 +/-     0.042
Long of Asc Node:      201.69432 +/-     0.002
Inclination:             2.16686 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.07124080 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     43.80585156 +/-    0.0024
Time of Perihelion: 2443258.5838 +/-      10.0
Perihelion:          40.68508786 +/-    0.0041
Aphelion:            46.92661526 +/-    0.0043
Period (y)              289.9388 +/-      0.02
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           41.38373310 +/-    0.0006
Ecliptic Y            5.40358208 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic Z            0.38884432 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00020688 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00271521 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00009835 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   41.73679897 +/-    0.0006
Geocenter to KBO     41.14010021 +/-    0.0006
# Hcoef:  7.49

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RB280. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RB280) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2013 11  22.07674  00 22 27.634  +03 01 08.16  22.9i 15RB280   W84  C~4yYL      
2013 11  23.10640  00 22 25.312  +03 00 52.20  23.7i 15RB280   W84  C~4yYL      
2014 08  18.31576  00 33 47.519  +04 11 40.76  23.4i 15RB280   W84  C~4yYL      
2014 10  21.21921  00 29 26.472  +03 43 21.24  23.9r 15RB280   W84  C~4yYL      
2015 06  23.61390  00 39 36.502  +04 45 21.22  23.6r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 07  14.57142  00 39 52.546  +04 47 06.88  23.9r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 07  19.54942  00 39 50.782  +04 46 56.46  23.7r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 08  11.50339  00 39 16.366  +04 43 19.74  23.4r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 08  11.54506  00 39 16.259  +04 43 19.05  23.6r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 09  08.40906  00 37 45.494  +04 33 37.88  23.6r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 09  08.51318  00 37 45.073  +04 33 35.12  24.0r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 09  08.55681  00 37 44.896  +04 33 34.06  24.0r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 09  09.53240  00 37 40.992  +04 33 08.83  23.9w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 09  16.46364  00 37 12.289  +04 30 03.58  23.9w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 10  07.35864  00 35 39.976  +04 20 03.99  23.5r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 10  07.41176  00 35 39.740  +04 20 02.44  23.4r 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 11  07.25497  00 33 33.097  +04 06 07.43  24.4w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 11  07.30781  00 33 32.909  +04 06 06.24  24.1w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 11  10.39374  00 33 22.392  +04 04 55.84  24.0w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2015 12  07.33142  00 32 18.681  +03 57 37.49  24.0w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2016 01  01.26036  00 32 14.034  +03 56 36.92        15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2016 09  05.53675  00 43 04.722  +05 04 07.19  24.1w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2016 09  07.47613  00 42 57.213  +05 03 19.07  23.9w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2016 09  07.52244  00 42 57.026  +05 03 17.89  23.8w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2016 09  09.28605  00 42 50.053  +05 02 33.39  23.1i 15RB280   W84  C~4yYL      
2016 09  09.28743  00 42 50.040  +05 02 33.14  23.1r 15RB280   W84  C~4yYL      
2016 11  08.14735  00 38 37.537  +04 35 10.68  23.0i 15RB280   W84  C~4yYL      
2016 11  18.09656  00 38 05.950  +04 31 39.69  23.6r 15RB280   W84  C~4yYL      
2016 12  29.26158  00 37 16.422  +04 25 37.54  23.8w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2017 01  03.23211  00 37 20.641  +04 25 58.77  24.0w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2017 01  27.24379  00 38 12.008  +04 30 59.63  23.9w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2017 01  28.23958  00 38 15.187  +04 31 18.83  24.6w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2017 09  22.45810  00 47 06.850  +05 26 11.35  24.1w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2017 11  22.36455  00 43 03.482  +04 59 47.65  23.9w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2017 12  23.29716  00 42 19.219  +04 54 34.65  24.0w 15RB280   568  C~2nvp      
2020 09  21.237710 01 02 43.100  +06 53 32.63  23.8G 15RB280   G37  C~4ADG      
2020 09  21.298870 01 02 42.811  +06 53 30.35        15RB280   G37  C~4ADG      
2020 09  21.375150 01 02 42.488  +06 53 28.68        15RB280   G37  C~4ADG      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.08       0.00    -0.02
     2   0.0028      0.00    -0.15       0.00     0.21
     3   0.7371      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.06
     4   0.9121      0.00     0.17       0.00    -0.05
     5   1.5839      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.00
     6   1.6413      0.00     0.18       0.00    -0.03
     7   1.6550      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.09
     8   1.7178      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.03
     9   1.7179      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.03
    10   1.7942      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.10
    11   1.7945      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.01
    12   1.7946      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.07
    13   1.7973      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.02
    14   1.8163      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.05
    15   1.8735      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.06
    16   1.8736      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.06
    17   1.9581      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.04
    18   1.9582      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.00
    19   1.9666      0.00    -0.21       0.00    -0.13
    20   2.0404      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.02
    21   2.1086      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.10
    22   2.7884      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.01
    23   2.7937      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.05
    24   2.7938      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.04
    25   2.7987      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.08
    26   2.7987      0.00    -0.13       0.00    -0.13
    27   2.9625      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.03
    28   2.9898      0.00     0.28       0.00     0.25
    29   3.1025      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.09
    30   3.1161      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.02
    31   3.1818      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.00
    32   3.1846      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.03
    33   3.8340      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.02
    34   4.0008      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.08
    35   4.0855      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.02
    36   6.8314      0.00     0.23       0.00     0.33
    37   6.8315      0.00    -0.17       0.00    -0.33
    38   6.8318      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.02

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15RB280    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        44.089    44.089    44.089
ecceobj         0.077     0.077     0.077
incobj          2.162     2.162     2.162
qmin           39.843    39.833    39.852
qmax           48.081    48.077    48.082
amean          43.846    43.846    43.846
amin           43.493    43.492    43.496
amax           44.210    44.211    44.209
emean           0.071     0.071     0.071
emin            0.054     0.054     0.054
emax            0.088     0.088     0.088
imean           3.554     3.554     3.554
imin            2.768     2.768     2.768
imax            4.308     4.310     4.310
excite_mean     0.094     0.094     0.094
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.089     3.089     3.089

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       181.7     181.7     181.8
kozaiamp        180.0     179.9     180.0