The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15RC277
# Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:26 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting 38 observations of 38
# Arc: 5.40y
# First observation: 2015/06/23
# Last observation: 2020/11/14
# Chi-squared of fit: 11.95 DOF: 70 RMS: 0.10
# Min/Max residuals: -0.20 0.40
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.482253E-05 2.312524E-02 -6.817015E-06 -1.045253E-02 2.448882E-02 3.224160E-03
# Covariance matrix:
1.1695E-13 -5.3645E-15 -3.8774E-15 3.4300E-15 7.5575E-14 -5.4462E-14
-5.3645E-15 1.5164E-13 2.7858E-14 -6.6890E-14 1.1370E-13 1.3620E-12
-3.8774E-15 2.7858E-14 6.8114E-14 -4.0096E-14 1.6043E-14 3.3319E-13
3.4300E-15 -6.6890E-14 -4.0096E-14 6.1856E-14 -4.5049E-14 -7.7263E-13
7.5575E-14 1.1370E-13 1.6043E-14 -4.5049E-14 1.6697E-13 9.3435E-13
-5.4462E-14 1.3620E-12 3.3319E-13 -7.7263E-13 9.3435E-13 1.5660E-11
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
2.351147 11.102113 1.002976 -0.006639 0.164064 2457197.102358
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2457196.5000 = 2015/06/23
Mean Anomaly: 34.48184 +/- 0.025
Argument of Peri: 127.69853 +/- 0.041
Long of Asc Node: 194.91415 +/- 0.000
Inclination: 24.34988 +/- 0.000
Eccentricity: 0.15749057 +/- 0.0001
Semi-Major Axis: 46.23093371 +/- 0.0033
Time of Perihelion: 2446199.2190 +/- 8.2
Perihelion: 38.94999770 +/- 0.0068
Aphelion: 53.51186973 +/- 0.0073
Period (y) 314.3455 +/- 0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X 40.06551443 +/- 0.0007
Ecliptic Y 6.84110582 +/- 0.0001
Ecliptic Z 1.67497951 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00009984 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT 0.00260936 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00115276 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 40.67980000 +/- 0.0007
Geocenter to KBO 40.83489786 +/- 0.0007
# Hcoef: 7.96
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RC277. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RC277) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 06 23.60158 00 37 07.154 +06 33 20.57 24.2r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 07 14.55012 00 37 24.585 +06 34 15.97 24.2r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 07 19.52115 00 37 23.005 +06 33 52.29 24.0r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 08 13.54153 00 36 43.618 +06 28 22.71 24.2r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 08 13.56200 00 36 43.546 +06 28 22.15 23.8r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 08 19.55071 00 36 27.008 +06 26 14.83 23.8r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 08 19.59211 00 36 26.853 +06 26 13.64 24.2r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 08 19.62083 00 36 26.769 +06 26 13.24 24.1r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 08 20.42524 00 36 24.379 +06 25 54.47 23.9r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 08 20.47472 00 36 24.231 +06 25 53.33 24.1r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 09 07.57262 00 35 20.183 +06 17 45.20 24.1w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 09 09.40034 00 35 12.833 +06 16 49.22 23.9r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 09 09.44140 00 35 12.665 +06 16 47.97 24.0r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 09 09.48235 00 35 12.497 +06 16 46.65 24.2r 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 09 10.50662 00 35 08.313 +06 16 14.76 24.1w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 10 08.35519 00 33 05.764 +06 00 24.15 24.0w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 10 08.40774 00 33 05.525 +06 00 22.32 24.0w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 10 09.32476 00 33 01.417 +05 59 49.61 23.9w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 11 10.45092 00 30 52.748 +05 41 49.43 24.2w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2015 12 08.24937 00 29 50.533 +05 30 49.70 24.3w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 01 01.31185 00 29 51.005 +05 26 55.57 24.5w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 01 02.26295 00 29 52.151 +05 26 53.51 24.6w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 09 05.50258 00 41 24.040 +06 16 29.45 24.6w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 09 06.45678 00 41 20.345 +06 16 01.04 24.3w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 09 06.49805 00 41 20.179 +06 15 59.74 23.9w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 09 26.43536 00 39 55.728 +06 05 09.22 24.1w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 09 26.45968 00 39 55.624 +06 05 08.41 24.1w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 11 03.42622 00 37 12.815 +05 43 22.70 25.8w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 11 04.27124 00 37 09.716 +05 42 56.22 24.2w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 11 04.33051 00 37 09.496 +05 42 54.37 24.2w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2016 12 29.26796 00 35 39.783 +05 25 30.24 24.5w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2017 01 03.23891 00 35 44.826 +05 25 18.71 23.5w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2017 01 30.22844 00 36 51.393 +05 28 31.75 24.1w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2017 11 22.36083 00 42 08.761 +05 32 44.63 23.9w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2017 12 23.28786 00 41 27.160 +05 24 19.80 24.6w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2017 12 23.30180 00 41 27.139 +05 24 19.78 24.5w 15RC277 568 C~2fCK 2020 11 14.096580 01 00 08.712 +05 29 29.10 24.5G 15RC277 G37 C~4Nzc 2020 11 14.152930 01 00 08.515 +05 29 27.77 15RC277 G37 C~4Nzc
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02
2 0.0574 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.06
3 0.0710 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.04
4 0.1395 0.00 0.40 0.00 -0.02
5 0.1395 0.00 0.13 0.00 -0.17
6 0.1559 0.00 0.23 0.00 0.23
7 0.1560 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.01
8 0.1561 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.24
9 0.1583 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.03
10 0.1584 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.03
11 0.2080 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.01
12 0.2130 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.03
13 0.2131 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.05
14 0.2132 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01
15 0.2160 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.02
16 0.2923 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.01
17 0.2924 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.03
18 0.2949 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
19 0.3829 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.03
20 0.4590 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.03
21 0.5249 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.03
22 0.5275 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.03
23 1.2044 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.06
24 1.2070 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.02
25 1.2071 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.04
26 1.2617 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.04
27 1.2618 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.01
28 1.3657 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.05
29 1.3680 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.00
30 1.3682 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.00
31 1.5186 0.00 0.24 0.00 -0.01
32 1.5322 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.06
33 1.6061 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.05
34 2.4169 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.01
35 2.5015 0.00 0.22 0.00 -0.12
36 2.5016 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.03
37 5.3949 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.05
38 5.3951 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.14
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15RC277 quality flag:3 Type: SCATEXTD SCATEXTD SCATEXTD axisobj 46.707 46.707 46.707 ecceobj 0.165 0.165 0.165 incobj 24.244 24.244 24.244 qmin 38.290 38.294 38.292 qmax 54.977 54.912 54.970 amean 46.458 46.455 46.455 amin 46.072 46.062 46.060 amax 46.895 46.894 46.906 emean 0.158 0.158 0.158 emin 0.145 0.144 0.145 emax 0.173 0.172 0.173 imean 24.489 24.497 24.492 imin 24.103 24.114 24.116 imax 24.794 24.806 24.792 excite_mean 0.444 0.444 0.444 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.880 2.880 2.880 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 188.2 188.3 188.6 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 180.0