Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15RF301

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15RF301   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:34 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting      5 observations of      5
# Arc:  41.18d
# First observation: 2015/09/05
#  Last observation: 2015/10/16
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000000   0.019462   0.000001  -0.003241   0.020281   0.000000
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# Chi-squared of fit:     0.80 DOF:      5 RMS:  0.07
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.15    0.09
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.375439E-05  1.746704E-02 -1.693079E-06 -3.036801E-03  1.997975E-02  1.305257E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  2.4939E-11  2.7888E-08 -2.2083E-12 -3.0501E-09  6.8286E-09  2.4578E-07
  2.7888E-08  3.1638E-05 -2.5183E-09 -3.4689E-06  7.8742E-06  3.5061E-04
 -2.2083E-12 -2.5183E-09  6.8404E-13  2.7111E-10 -6.1686E-10 -2.2370E-08
 -3.0501E-09 -3.4689E-06  2.7111E-10  3.7996E-07 -8.5654E-07 -3.4626E-05
  6.8286E-09  7.8742E-06 -6.1686E-10 -8.5654E-07  1.8649E-06  3.4288E-05
  2.4578E-07  3.5061E-04 -2.2370E-08 -3.4626E-05  3.4288E-05 -2.5687E-02
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -6.369346  -41.212555   -0.399475   -0.102954   -0.923687  2457270.537119
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457270.5000  =  2015/09/05
Mean Anomaly:           52.60105 +/-   114.226
Argument of Peri:      158.26604 +/-   158.266
Long of Asc Node:      107.08503 +/-   107.085
Inclination:            11.63560 +/-    11.636
Eccentricity:         0.01972831 +/-    0.0197
Semi-Major Axis:     51.57886741 +/-   21.5887
Time of Perihelion: 2437500.8933 +/- 9999999.9
Perihelion:          50.56130357 +/-   21.1873
Aphelion:            52.59643124 +/-   22.0381
Period (y)              370.4383 +/-    232.57
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           38.37848413 +/-    2.5575
Ecliptic Y          -33.08448292 +/-    2.2402
Ecliptic Z           -5.55256472 +/-    0.3795
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00155375 +/-    0.0016
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00181288 +/-    0.0018
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00041550 +/-   -0.0004
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   50.97373863 +/-    2.4132
Geocenter to KBO     50.05068155 +/-    3.4210
# Hcoef:  7.31

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RF301. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RF301) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 09  05.03633  21 33 19.530  -21 14 16.71  24.3r 15RF301   807  C~3wqJ      
2015 09  05.11164  21 33 19.238  -21 14 17.74        15RF301   807  C~3wqJ      
2015 09  05.18720  21 33 18.954  -21 14 18.93        15RF301   807  C~3wqJ      
2015 10  16.12572  21 31 26.256  -21 20 34.14        15RF301   304  C~3wqJ      
2015 10  16.21344  21 31 26.116  -21 20 34.07        15RF301   304  C~3wqJ      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.15
     2   0.0002     -4.20    -0.02       0.34     0.07
     3   0.0004     -8.34     0.01       0.48     0.08
     4   0.1125  -1620.77     0.01     148.38    -0.09
     5   0.1127  -1622.60    -0.01     149.07     0.09

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15RF301    quality flag:0

Type:      ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE

axisobj         0.000     0.000     0.000
ecceobj        -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
incobj         -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
qmin            0.000     0.000     0.000
qmax            0.000     0.000     0.000
amean           0.000     0.000     0.000
amin            0.000     0.000     0.000
amax            0.000     0.000     0.000
emean           0.000     0.000     0.000
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.000     0.000     0.000
imean           0.000     0.000     0.000
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            0.000     0.000     0.000
excite_mean     0.000     0.000     0.000
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          0.000     0.000     0.000

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean         0.0       0.0       0.0
kozaiamp          0.0       0.0       0.0