The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15RJ277
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:24 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting 46 observations of 46
# Arc: 9.95y
# First observation: 2014/10/21
# Last observation: 2024/10/01
# Chi-squared of fit: 7.60 DOF: 86 RMS: 0.07
# Min/Max residuals: -0.18 0.25
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.734190E-05 2.685864E-02 2.054634E-06 2.488084E-03 2.564133E-02 -4.181047E-03
# Covariance matrix:
2.0861E-13 -1.4158E-13 1.1052E-14 -1.1648E-14 -8.8696E-14 -4.2076E-13
-1.4158E-13 1.2236E-13 -1.0103E-14 1.0440E-14 5.1518E-14 3.7652E-13
1.1052E-14 -1.0103E-14 5.1646E-14 -1.1151E-14 -3.5510E-15 -3.2613E-14
-1.1648E-14 1.0440E-14 -1.1151E-14 6.4080E-15 4.3531E-15 3.3650E-14
-8.8696E-14 5.1518E-14 -3.5510E-15 4.3531E-15 1.1510E-13 1.5900E-13
-4.2076E-13 3.7652E-13 -3.2613E-14 3.3650E-14 1.5900E-13 1.2134E-12
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
1.701964 7.110090 -0.345718 0.027958 -0.935064 2456951.712178
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2456952.5000 = 2014/10/22
Mean Anomaly: 323.04777 +/- 0.008
Argument of Peri: 71.81222 +/- 0.013
Long of Asc Node: 350.17648 +/- 0.001
Inclination: 5.53250 +/- 0.000
Eccentricity: 0.20417839 +/- 0.0000
Semi-Major Axis: 46.63561040 +/- 0.0028
Time of Perihelion: 2468892.7399 +/- 9.8
Perihelion: 37.11362650 +/- 0.0030
Aphelion: 56.15759431 +/- 0.0039
Period (y) 318.4819 +/- 0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X 39.56543309 +/- 0.0005
Ecliptic Y 5.28582222 +/- 0.0001
Ecliptic Z 1.15834173 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00081007 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT 0.00278479 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00025240 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 39.93385553 +/- 0.0005
Geocenter to KBO 38.99967046 +/- 0.0005
# Hcoef: 7.24
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RJ277. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RJ277) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 10 21.211400 00 23 25.00 +04 23 07.1 23.5g 15RJ277 W84 C~39pK 2014 10 28.172188 00 22 55.98 +04 20 02.2 23.2r 15RJ277 W84 C~39pK 2014 10 29.174618 00 22 52.00 +04 19 36.6 23.6g 15RJ277 W84 C~39pK 2014 10 29.180174 00 22 51.96 +04 19 36.3 22.5i 15RJ277 W84 C~39pK 2014 11 13.046019 00 21 59.27 +04 13 52.7 23.4r 15RJ277 W84 C~39pK 2015 06 23.51987 00 34 14.805 +05 35 44.00 23.5r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 07 14.61234 00 34 29.088 +05 38 47.94 23.3r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 08 13.47990 00 33 42.424 +05 35 54.35 23.2r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 08 13.50863 00 33 42.340 +05 35 53.91 23.2r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 08 13.53336 00 33 42.275 +05 35 53.63 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 08 19.54254 00 33 24.385 +05 34 21.82 23.4r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 08 19.58390 00 33 24.249 +05 34 20.89 23.2r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 08 19.61259 00 33 24.144 +05 34 20.36 23.3r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 08 20.41707 00 33 21.586 +05 34 06.79 23.3r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 08 20.46648 00 33 21.421 +05 34 05.89 23.3r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 09 07.56274 00 32 13.369 +05 27 48.76 23.5w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 09 09.39169 00 32 05.612 +05 27 04.14 23.1r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 09 09.43322 00 32 05.445 +05 27 03.15 23.2r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 09 09.47414 00 32 05.262 +05 27 02.09 23.2r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 09 10.49775 00 32 00.859 +05 26 36.73 23.3w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 09 18.45683 00 31 25.435 +05 23 09.54 23.1w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 09 18.49368 00 31 25.275 +05 23 08.58 23.2w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 10 08.34456 00 29 52.439 +05 13 47.39 23.4w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 10 08.39722 00 29 52.190 +05 13 45.92 23.3w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 10 09.31422 00 29 47.907 +05 13 19.44 23.3w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 11 10.43997 00 27 34.041 +04 59 08.13 23.1w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2015 12 08.23879 00 26 29.357 +04 51 43.04 23.5w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 09 05.47427 00 37 50.531 +06 12 50.50 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 09 06.42847 00 37 46.598 +06 12 28.32 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 09 06.46893 00 37 46.421 +06 12 27.37 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 09 26.43536 00 36 16.888 +06 03 46.36 23.3w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 09 26.44752 00 36 16.834 +06 03 45.92 23.4w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 10 26.40787 00 33 58.714 +05 49 34.27 23.3r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 10 26.47363 00 33 58.431 +05 49 32.54 23.3r 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 11 03.39147 00 33 26.251 +05 46 05.90 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 11 03.40304 00 33 26.206 +05 46 05.62 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 11 03.45641 00 33 25.988 +05 46 04.27 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 11 03.46810 00 33 25.950 +05 46 03.97 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 12 25.25214 00 31 46.885 +05 34 21.55 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2016 12 29.24332 00 31 49.307 +05 34 29.54 23.5w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2017 01 02.29442 00 31 53.355 +05 34 47.71 23.6w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2017 01 03.21350 00 31 54.514 +05 34 53.33 23.7w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2017 01 30.22844 00 33 03.076 +05 41 26.01 23.7w 15RJ277 568 C~2jiA 2024 10 01.349940 01 22 28.949 +12 00 41.30 23.2G 15RJ277 G37 C~8HAJ 2024 10 01.393440 01 22 28.735 +12 00 39.90 15RJ277 G37 C~8HAJ 2024 10 01.437060 01 22 28.514 +12 00 39.01 15RJ277 G37 C~8HAJ
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.16
2 0.0191 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.05
3 0.0218 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.15
4 0.0218 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01
5 0.0625 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.05
6 0.6716 0.00 0.14 0.00 -0.02
7 0.7294 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.07
8 0.8111 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.04
9 0.8112 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.00
10 0.8113 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.06
11 0.8277 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.23
12 0.8279 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.01
13 0.8279 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.05
14 0.8301 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.01
15 0.8303 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.05
16 0.8798 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.04
17 0.8848 0.00 -0.18 0.00 -0.03
18 0.8849 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00
19 0.8850 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.05
20 0.8878 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.03
21 0.9096 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.01
22 0.9097 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.05
23 0.9641 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.02
24 0.9642 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.02
25 0.9667 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.02
26 1.0547 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.02
27 1.1308 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.03
28 1.8761 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.02
29 1.8788 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.01
30 1.8789 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01
31 1.9335 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.07
32 1.9336 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.03
33 2.0156 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01
34 2.0158 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.06
35 2.0375 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.04
36 2.0375 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.03
37 2.0376 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.04
38 2.0377 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04
39 2.1794 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.07
40 2.1904 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01
41 2.2015 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.04
42 2.2040 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.01
43 2.2779 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.11
44 9.9470 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.11
45 9.9471 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.17
46 9.9472 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.06
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15RJ277 quality flag:2 Type: SCATNEAR CLASSICAL SCATNEAR axisobj 47.086 47.105 47.067 ecceobj 0.209 0.210 0.207 incobj 5.509 5.509 5.509 qmin 36.268 36.296 36.334 qmax 57.643 57.739 57.516 amean 46.707 46.729 46.690 amin 46.290 46.308 46.262 amax 47.240 47.242 47.218 emean 0.204 0.205 0.203 emin 0.187 0.190 0.187 emax 0.221 0.223 0.220 imean 5.882 5.899 5.892 imin 4.939 4.985 4.976 imax 6.881 6.873 6.879 excite_mean 0.228 0.229 0.227 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.070 3.069 3.070 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 180.7 181.8 181.5 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0