The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15RN279 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:27 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 57 observations of 57 # Arc: 6.28y # First observation: 2015/06/23 # Last observation: 2021/10/03 # Chi-squared of fit: 9.01 DOF: 108 RMS: 0.07 # Min/Max residuals: -0.20 0.27 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.579924E-05 2.509628E-02 4.285297E-06 6.982357E-03 2.523906E-02 2.758497E-03 # Covariance matrix: 1.6236E-13 -1.3158E-14 1.1440E-16 -3.2337E-16 8.7889E-14 7.3008E-15 -1.3158E-14 1.3179E-13 -2.9320E-14 3.7089E-14 9.8536E-14 8.7160E-13 1.1440E-16 -2.9320E-14 5.9815E-14 -2.9059E-14 -2.3253E-14 -2.1809E-13 -3.2337E-16 3.7089E-14 -2.9059E-14 2.6004E-14 2.9280E-14 2.7594E-13 8.7889E-14 9.8536E-14 -2.3253E-14 2.9280E-14 1.4452E-13 6.9928E-13 7.3008E-15 8.7160E-13 -2.1809E-13 2.7594E-13 6.9928E-13 6.4790E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -0.098997 7.322265 1.011508 0.000262 0.098903 2457197.032948 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457196.5000 = 2015/06/23 Mean Anomaly: 42.46750 +/- 0.025 Argument of Peri: 307.84777 +/- 0.036 Long of Asc Node: 6.21294 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 15.54233 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.10883676 +/- 0.0001 Semi-Major Axis: 42.69922860 +/- 0.0020 Time of Perihelion: 2445174.3362 +/- 7.1 Perihelion: 38.05198274 +/- 0.0040 Aphelion: 47.34647446 +/- 0.0042 Period (y) 279.0219 +/- 0.02 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 39.32528491 +/- 0.0006 Ecliptic Y 4.03431084 +/- 0.0001 Ecliptic Z -0.06822808 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00005134 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00273223 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00075697 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 39.53168690 +/- 0.0006 Geocenter to KBO 39.62106520 +/- 0.0006 # Hcoef: 7.87
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RN279. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RN279) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 06 23.53217 00 27 03.115 +02 48 54.03 24.2r 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 06 23.55117 00 27 03.143 +02 48 54.27 24.0r 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 07 19.57093 00 27 06.972 +02 51 07.70 23.9r 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 08 11.47583 00 26 21.407 +02 47 51.93 23.7r 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 08 11.52038 00 26 21.279 +02 47 51.27 23.9r 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 09 08.38448 00 24 36.623 +02 38 37.91 23.6r 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 09 08.48868 00 24 36.149 +02 38 35.41 23.7r 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 09 08.53090 00 24 35.951 +02 38 34.40 24.0r 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 09 09.50777 00 24 31.585 +02 38 10.52 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 09 10.44877 00 24 27.355 +02 37 47.29 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 09 16.43207 00 23 59.760 +02 35 15.64 24.2w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 10 03.35878 00 22 38.498 +02 27 45.49 23.9w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 11 07.22350 00 20 06.046 +02 13 52.59 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 11 07.27597 00 20 05.846 +02 13 51.66 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 11 10.35312 00 19 55.153 +02 12 55.68 24.3w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2015 12 07.29979 00 18 52.612 +02 08 05.91 24.0w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 01 01.22912 00 18 53.495 +02 09 54.93 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 09 07.48826 00 29 23.081 +03 36 05.97 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 09 07.53459 00 29 22.872 +03 36 04.88 23.9w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 09 26.56094 00 27 54.147 +03 28 00.69 23.8w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 10 27.36317 00 25 30.752 +03 14 47.26 24.0w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 10 27.43514 00 25 30.451 +03 14 45.70 24.0w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 10 27.44458 00 25 30.416 +03 14 45.44 24.3w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 10 27.45037 00 25 30.392 +03 14 45.27 24.3w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 10 28.31680 00 25 26.766 +03 14 25.37 24.0w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 10 28.32258 00 25 26.747 +03 14 25.18 23.9w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 10 28.34764 00 25 26.637 +03 14 24.68 23.9w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 10 29.38909 00 25 22.329 +03 14 00.99 24.3w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 10 30.33565 00 25 18.466 +03 13 39.83 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 11 02.24820 00 25 06.871 +03 12 36.39 24.2w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 11 03.22373 00 25 03.086 +03 12 16.11 24.0w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 11 03.28691 00 25 02.837 +03 12 14.72 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 11 03.33931 00 25 02.632 +03 12 13.62 23.9w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 11 04.25321 00 24 59.156 +03 11 54.65 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 11 04.31874 00 24 58.893 +03 11 53.32 24.0w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 24.26183 00 23 26.646 +03 04 58.86 24.5w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 25.22290 00 23 27.096 +03 05 04.94 24.3w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 25.24665 00 23 27.098 +03 05 05.15 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 25.27236 00 23 27.116 +03 05 05.50 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 26.23617 00 23 27.662 +03 05 12.08 23.8w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 28.23047 00 23 29.055 +03 05 28.03 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 28.23509 00 23 29.067 +03 05 28.11 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 28.23971 00 23 29.068 +03 05 28.09 23.9w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 28.24434 00 23 29.068 +03 05 28.17 23.9w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 28.25233 00 23 29.074 +03 05 28.17 23.9w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 28.27353 00 23 29.090 +03 05 28.40 23.9w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2016 12 28.27815 00 23 29.087 +03 05 28.67 24.5w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2017 01 02.24972 00 23 34.302 +03 06 18.86 24.0w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2017 01 02.26962 00 23 34.322 +03 06 19.07 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2017 01 29.23023 00 24 42.291 +03 15 09.21 24.0w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2017 09 15.44482 00 33 33.613 +04 30 04.25 24.1w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2017 09 22.50999 00 33 00.418 +04 27 04.84 24.0w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2017 11 22.36828 00 28 44.875 +04 03 37.63 24.4w 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2017 12 23.30656 00 28 05.425 +04 00 52.94 15RN279 568 C~2nvm 2021 10 03.293810 00 51 09.731 +08 07 27.37 23.7G 15RN279 G37 C~55Wp 2021 10 03.330440 00 51 09.570 +08 07 26.39 15RN279 G37 C~55Wp 2021 10 03.367060 00 51 09.379 +08 07 25.37 15RN279 G37 C~55Wp
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.01
2 0.0001 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01
3 0.0713 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.07
4 0.1340 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.02
5 0.1341 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00
6 0.2104 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.02
7 0.2107 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.01
8 0.2108 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.03
9 0.2135 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.03
10 0.2161 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01
11 0.2324 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.01
12 0.2788 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.01
13 0.3742 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.03
14 0.3744 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.02
15 0.3828 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.10
16 0.4566 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.05
17 0.5248 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.08
18 1.2100 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.03
19 1.2101 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.03
20 1.2622 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.07
21 1.3466 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.03
22 1.3468 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.07
23 1.3468 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.03
24 1.3468 0.00 0.17 0.00 -0.00
25 1.3492 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.02
26 1.3492 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.08
27 1.3493 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.00
28 1.3521 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.09
29 1.3547 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.08
30 1.3627 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.20
31 1.3653 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.08
32 1.3655 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.01
33 1.3657 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00
34 1.3682 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.04
35 1.3683 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.03
36 1.5051 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.06
37 1.5077 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.12
38 1.5078 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.07
39 1.5078 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.11
40 1.5105 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.08
41 1.5159 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.03
42 1.5160 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.07
43 1.5160 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01
44 1.5160 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.05
45 1.5160 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.01
46 1.5161 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.03
47 1.5161 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.27
48 1.5297 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.02
49 1.5297 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.00
50 1.6036 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.02
51 2.2311 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.03
52 2.2505 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.07
53 2.4171 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.12
54 2.5018 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.04
55 6.2800 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.04
56 6.2801 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.00
57 6.2802 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.08
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15RN279 quality flag:3 Type: SCATEXTD SCATEXTD SCATEXTD axisobj 43.114 43.114 43.114 ecceobj 0.116 0.116 0.116 incobj 15.472 15.472 15.472 qmin 37.340 37.329 37.335 qmax 48.677 48.731 48.696 amean 42.886 42.905 42.888 amin 42.527 42.562 42.536 amax 43.280 43.286 43.278 emean 0.110 0.110 0.110 emin 0.096 0.096 0.096 emax 0.125 0.127 0.126 imean 15.512 15.518 15.509 imin 14.829 14.847 14.822 imax 16.122 16.120 16.122 excite_mean 0.289 0.289 0.289 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.987 2.987 2.987 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 182.1 182.5 181.8 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 179.9