The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15RR277 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:26 2024 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 47 observations of 47 # Arc: 2.50y # First observation: 2015/06/23 # Last observation: 2017/12/23 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: -0.000122 0.017388 0.000016 0.002411 0.021488 0.000000 # Chi-squared of fit: 9.50 DOF: 88 RMS: 0.08 # Min/Max residuals: -0.24 0.24 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.293902E-05 1.705586E-02 1.685439E-06 2.405328E-03 2.122775E-02 2.915429E-03 # Covariance matrix: 2.4645E-13 1.1269E-13 -1.0262E-14 4.3254E-14 3.3111E-13 9.4540E-12 1.1269E-13 3.1016E-13 -1.1367E-14 4.8891E-14 4.1654E-13 1.0711E-11 -1.0262E-14 -1.1367E-14 1.0400E-13 -7.8602E-14 -2.7603E-14 -1.5005E-12 4.3254E-14 4.8891E-14 -7.8602E-14 9.8657E-14 1.1408E-13 5.8613E-12 3.3111E-13 4.1654E-13 -2.7603E-14 1.1408E-13 7.7565E-13 2.4877E-11 9.4540E-12 1.0711E-11 -1.5005E-12 5.8613E-12 2.4877E-11 1.2693E-09 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -0.392905 6.767135 1.012474 0.000701 0.088447 2457197.071038 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457190.5000 = 2015/06/17 Mean Anomaly: 136.14118 +/- 0.356 Argument of Peri: 205.37717 +/- 0.338 Long of Asc Node: 8.32652 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 8.02383 +/- 0.001 Eccentricity: 0.24342986 +/- 0.0007 Semi-Major Axis: 39.26461525 +/- 0.0150 Time of Perihelion: 2423205.4855 +/- 86.6 Perihelion: 29.70643547 +/- 0.0315 Aphelion: 48.82279504 +/- 0.0348 Period (y) 246.0426 +/- 0.14 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 46.80684936 +/- 0.0019 Ecliptic Y 4.53543898 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Z -0.32290371 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00011383 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00222278 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00030771 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 47.02717959 +/- 0.0019 Geocenter to KBO 47.10815029 +/- 0.0020 # Hcoef: 7.66
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RR277. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RR277) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 06 23.57026 00 25 28.508 +02 19 32.35 24.4r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 07 14.58775 00 25 32.482 +02 20 17.71 24.7r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 07 19.56683 00 25 28.509 +02 19 56.84 24.7r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 08 11.46704 00 24 47.589 +02 15 56.40 24.4r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 08 11.51158 00 24 47.459 +02 15 55.87 24.4r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 09 08.37633 00 23 16.826 +02 06 44.27 24.2r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 09 08.48053 00 23 16.414 +02 06 41.77 24.0r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 09 08.52274 00 23 16.244 +02 06 40.83 24.2r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 09 09.49961 00 23 12.498 +02 06 17.85 24.3w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 09 10.44054 00 23 08.857 +02 05 55.62 24.6w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 09 16.42148 00 22 45.204 +02 03 30.94 24.2w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 10 03.33607 00 21 35.695 +01 56 26.68 24.1r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 10 03.34821 00 21 35.639 +01 56 26.31 24.5w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 10 03.40227 00 21 35.404 +01 56 25.07 24.6w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 10 07.28650 00 21 19.427 +01 54 47.82 24.5r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 10 07.31809 00 21 19.298 +01 54 46.88 24.1r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2015 10 07.37159 00 21 19.068 +01 54 45.61 24.7r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 09 05.54890 00 26 50.719 +02 38 51.49 24.3w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 09 07.48826 00 26 43.438 +02 38 07.25 24.5w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 09 07.53459 00 26 43.257 +02 38 06.17 24.6w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 09 26.57548 00 25 27.071 +02 30 22.52 24.2w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 27.36317 00 23 24.812 +02 18 01.86 24.6w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 27.43514 00 23 24.553 +02 18 00.41 24.6w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 27.44458 00 23 24.515 +02 18 00.06 24.9w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 27.45037 00 23 24.509 +02 17 59.83 25.3w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 28.31680 00 23 21.428 +02 17 41.46 24.7w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 28.32258 00 23 21.408 +02 17 41.43 25.1w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 28.34764 00 23 21.318 +02 17 40.95 24.8w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 29.28623 00 23 18.005 +02 17 21.04 24.6w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 29.38909 00 23 17.634 +02 17 18.91 24.7w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 10 30.33565 00 23 14.344 +02 16 59.19 24.5w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 11 02.24820 00 23 04.464 +02 16 00.18 24.4w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 11 03.22971 00 23 01.198 +02 15 40.81 24.6r 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 11 03.28691 00 23 01.026 +02 15 39.78 24.2w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 11 03.33931 00 23 00.850 +02 15 38.69 24.7w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 11 04.25321 00 22 57.885 +02 15 20.93 24.5w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 11 04.31874 00 22 57.661 +02 15 19.83 24.7w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 12 24.23886 00 21 37.778 +02 08 10.08 25.1w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2016 12 24.25172 00 21 37.782 +02 08 10.12 24.7w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2017 01 02.23941 00 21 43.763 +02 09 04.31 23.8w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2017 01 26.22433 00 22 30.783 +02 14 49.02 24.5w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2017 01 27.25017 00 22 33.730 +02 15 09.85 24.4w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2017 01 27.25763 00 22 33.754 +02 15 10.04 24.3w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2017 01 28.24596 00 22 36.670 +02 15 30.40 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2017 01 28.25342 00 22 36.696 +02 15 30.72 24.9w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2017 11 22.37572 00 25 33.133 +02 41 36.26 24.6w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN 2017 12 23.31586 00 24 59.415 +02 38 46.74 25.0w 15RR277 568 C~2lVN
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.02
2 0.0575 72.64 -0.05 18.12 -0.00
3 0.0712 9.70 0.04 22.49 -0.06
4 0.1339 -648.70 0.15 44.13 -0.11
5 0.1340 -650.70 0.02 44.42 0.11
6 0.2103 -2116.67 0.12 75.18 0.02
7 0.2106 -2123.33 0.01 75.32 -0.00
8 0.2107 -2126.04 -0.05 75.47 0.07
9 0.2134 -2186.71 0.02 76.58 0.00
10 0.2159 -2245.64 -0.03 77.76 0.05
11 0.2323 -2628.56 0.05 85.20 -0.04
12 0.2786 -3753.67 0.04 108.05 -0.03
13 0.2787 -3754.58 -0.05 108.05 -0.06
14 0.2788 -3758.31 -0.11 108.30 0.09
15 0.2894 -4016.85 0.05 113.84 0.07
16 0.2895 -4019.00 0.02 113.74 -0.08
17 0.2897 -4022.67 -0.05 113.94 0.02
18 1.2046 1589.85 0.03 577.88 -0.03
19 1.2099 1472.14 0.03 580.34 0.00
20 1.2100 1469.22 -0.00 580.42 0.00
21 1.2622 237.25 -0.15 605.72 0.10
22 1.3465 -1738.61 -0.18 650.13 -0.01
23 1.3467 -1742.75 -0.08 650.34 0.06
24 1.3467 -1743.41 -0.19 650.24 -0.06
25 1.3467 -1743.58 -0.02 650.06 -0.24
26 1.3491 -1793.26 0.01 651.47 -0.10
27 1.3491 -1793.55 0.06 651.56 -0.02
28 1.3492 -1794.98 0.09 651.65 0.02
29 1.3517 -1848.46 -0.04 653.01 -0.02
30 1.3520 -1854.41 -0.07 653.26 0.02
31 1.3546 -1907.51 -0.03 654.66 0.00
32 1.3626 -2066.87 0.11 659.06 -0.02
33 1.3653 -2119.50 -0.21 660.65 0.06
34 1.3654 -2122.27 0.09 660.72 0.03
35 1.3656 -2125.13 0.06 660.77 -0.03
36 1.3681 -2172.97 0.08 662.04 -0.13
37 1.3682 -2176.49 0.04 662.36 0.06
38 1.5049 -3446.42 0.08 741.71 0.05
39 1.5049 -3446.35 0.09 741.72 0.04
40 1.5296 -3342.54 -0.08 755.99 -0.03
41 1.5952 -2558.71 -0.07 793.52 -0.01
42 1.5980 -2509.89 -0.07 795.17 0.06
43 1.5980 -2509.49 -0.02 795.20 0.07
44 1.6008 -2461.28 0.02 796.60 -0.03
45 1.6008 -2460.80 0.14 796.74 0.09
46 2.4170 587.05 -0.13 1188.68 0.02
47 2.5017 55.95 0.24 1232.72 -0.01
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15RR277 quality flag:3 Type: 3:2E 3:2E 3:2E axisobj 39.554 39.597 39.512 ecceobj 0.236 0.238 0.234 incobj 7.978 7.978 7.977 qmin 28.283 28.276 28.330 qmax 51.308 51.257 51.057 amean 39.455 39.455 39.455 amin 39.095 39.101 39.069 amax 39.944 39.921 39.958 emean 0.247 0.239 0.250 emin 0.205 0.193 0.202 emax 0.285 0.284 0.282 imean 7.836 8.479 7.357 imin 5.127 5.338 4.854 imax 10.868 11.156 10.708 excite_mean 0.284 0.283 0.283 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.960 2.960 2.960 libcent 0 180.5 180.1 180.0 libamp 0 31.2 33.8 46.4 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 241.3 219.8 254.1 kozaiamp 95.4 179.9 69.5