The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15RR280
# Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:28 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting 41 observations of 41
# Arc: 6.28y
# First observation: 2015/06/23
# Last observation: 2021/10/03
# Chi-squared of fit: 6.51 DOF: 76 RMS: 0.07
# Min/Max residuals: -0.15 0.19
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.294949E-05 2.147611E-02 -8.696007E-06 -1.413159E-02 2.521642E-02 2.010780E-03
# Covariance matrix:
1.2611E-13 -1.0103E-14 -3.3839E-15 1.2138E-15 7.9290E-14 -1.4878E-15
-1.0103E-14 9.2302E-14 2.8091E-14 -5.5250E-14 6.6677E-14 6.9408E-13
-3.3839E-15 2.8091E-14 6.7160E-14 -4.1179E-14 1.8038E-14 2.7079E-13
1.2138E-15 -5.5250E-14 -4.1179E-14 5.9804E-14 -4.1062E-14 -5.2557E-13
7.9290E-14 6.6677E-14 1.8038E-14 -4.1062E-14 1.3242E-13 5.2996E-13
-1.4878E-15 6.9408E-13 2.7079E-13 -5.2557E-13 5.2996E-13 6.5847E-12
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
2.831730 8.348562 1.009627 -0.005664 0.116403 2457197.060258
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2457196.5000 = 2015/06/23
Mean Anomaly: 48.56416 +/- 0.039
Argument of Peri: 119.83083 +/- 0.049
Long of Asc Node: 191.20017 +/- 0.000
Inclination: 33.38887 +/- 0.000
Eccentricity: 0.07072806 +/- 0.0001
Semi-Major Axis: 41.36091727 +/- 0.0021
Time of Perihelion: 2444089.6898 +/- 10.5
Perihelion: 38.43554002 +/- 0.0042
Aphelion: 44.28629452 +/- 0.0044
Period (y) 266.0072 +/- 0.02
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X 39.21636777 +/- 0.0006
Ecliptic Y 4.73542621 +/- 0.0001
Ecliptic Z 1.95886993 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00005028 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT 0.00234347 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00152160 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 39.54974246 +/- 0.0006
Geocenter to KBO 39.65666385 +/- 0.0006
# Hcoef: 8.03
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RR280. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RR280) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 06 23.55948 00 26 11.113 +05 54 45.29 24.3r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 07 14.60417 00 26 22.531 +05 54 34.13 24.1r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 07 19.58328 00 26 19.362 +05 53 52.94 24.1r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 08 13.47579 00 25 32.126 +05 46 50.44 24.2r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 08 13.52928 00 25 31.963 +05 46 49.16 23.7r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 08 19.57979 00 25 13.357 +05 44 15.94 24.2r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 08 19.60849 00 25 13.260 +05 44 15.12 24.7r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 08 20.41299 00 25 10.602 +05 43 53.46 24.0r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 08 20.46234 00 25 10.439 +05 43 52.24 24.1r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 09 07.55863 00 24 01.250 +05 34 30.62 24.0w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 09 09.38473 00 23 53.458 +05 33 27.24 24.0r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 09 09.42909 00 23 53.262 +05 33 25.74 24.1r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 09 09.47005 00 23 53.082 +05 33 24.24 24.0r 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 09 10.49367 00 23 48.652 +05 32 48.26 24.2w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 09 18.45161 00 23 13.166 +05 27 58.80 24.1w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 10 08.32880 00 21 41.113 +05 15 10.64 24.1w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 10 08.38143 00 21 40.858 +05 15 08.60 23.9w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 10 09.29849 00 21 36.662 +05 14 32.66 24.2w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 11 10.41159 00 19 27.714 +04 54 52.13 24.4w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 11 15.27884 00 19 13.114 +04 52 19.30 24.1w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2015 12 08.22307 00 18 29.814 +04 42 52.04 24.4w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 01 01.29102 00 18 36.610 +04 38 25.60 24.3w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 09 05.49854 00 30 04.528 +05 19 24.57 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 09 06.45273 00 30 00.578 +05 18 51.97 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 09 06.49401 00 30 00.400 +05 18 50.62 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 09 26.45157 00 28 31.378 +05 06 37.61 24.1w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 09 26.45563 00 28 31.356 +05 06 37.43 24.0w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 10 30.35270 00 26 01.134 +04 45 06.71 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 11 03.31006 00 25 46.170 +04 42 48.75 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 11 03.36248 00 25 45.973 +04 42 46.97 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 12 24.26796 00 24 18.703 +04 23 52.47 24.1w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2016 12 24.27431 00 24 18.713 +04 23 52.44 24.3w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2017 01 02.25760 00 24 27.890 +04 23 08.70 24.3w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2017 01 02.26396 00 24 27.889 +04 23 08.66 24.5w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2017 01 26.24327 00 25 29.357 +04 25 16.72 24.0w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2017 09 15.44482 00 35 19.615 +04 57 42.25 24.0w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2017 09 22.50999 00 34 47.815 +04 53 19.24 23.8w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2017 11 22.36828 00 30 42.403 +04 17 34.74 24.1w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2017 12 23.30656 00 30 07.271 +04 08 36.90 24.1w 15RR280 568 C~2nvr 2021 10 03.307000 00 57 35.594 +03 41 42.49 23.8G 15RR280 G37 C~55Wp 2021 10 03.343580 00 57 35.410 +03 41 40.96 15RR280 G37 C~55Wp
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.01
2 0.0576 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.01
3 0.0712 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.17
4 0.1394 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.07
5 0.1395 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.08
6 0.1561 0.00 0.16 0.00 -0.03
7 0.1562 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.08
8 0.1584 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.00
9 0.1585 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.12
10 0.2081 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.04
11 0.2131 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.02
12 0.2132 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.07
13 0.2133 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.00
14 0.2161 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.01
15 0.2379 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.03
16 0.2923 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.00
17 0.2925 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.02
18 0.2950 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.07
19 0.3829 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.05
20 0.3962 0.00 0.19 0.00 -0.08
21 0.4590 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.02
22 0.5249 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.04
23 1.2045 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02
24 1.2071 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.08
25 1.2072 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02
26 1.2619 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.00
27 1.2619 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.03
28 1.3547 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.06
29 1.3655 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.01
30 1.3656 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.03
31 1.5050 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.03
32 1.5050 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.01
33 1.5296 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.06
34 1.5296 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.03
35 1.5953 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.03
36 2.2310 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.02
37 2.2504 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.03
38 2.4170 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.03
39 2.5017 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.07
40 6.2799 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.09
41 6.2800 0.00 -0.09 0.00 -0.05
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15RR280 quality flag:3 Type: SCATEXTD SCATEXTD SCATEXTD axisobj 41.690 41.690 41.690 ecceobj 0.076 0.076 0.076 incobj 33.243 33.243 33.243 qmin 38.002 38.015 37.996 qmax 45.274 45.263 45.276 amean 41.525 41.525 41.525 amin 41.214 41.210 41.218 amax 41.864 41.865 41.861 emean 0.070 0.070 0.070 emin 0.058 0.058 0.058 emax 0.082 0.082 0.082 imean 33.358 33.358 33.358 imin 33.078 33.078 33.078 imax 33.636 33.638 33.634 excite_mean 0.554 0.554 0.554 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.682 2.682 2.682 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 181.6 181.6 181.8 kozaiamp 179.9 180.0 180.0