The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15RZ279
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:25 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting 37 observations of 37
# Arc: 2.44y
# First observation: 2015/07/14
# Last observation: 2017/12/23
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
-0.000061 0.019519 0.000004 0.001155 0.021835 0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit: 7.24 DOF: 68 RMS: 0.08
# Min/Max residuals: -0.17 0.24
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.291109E-05 1.928426E-02 8.028414E-07 1.148533E-03 2.166111E-02 9.783525E-04
# Covariance matrix:
1.9852E-13 4.6692E-14 -4.0287E-15 9.3419E-15 1.7765E-13 3.3394E-12
4.6692E-14 2.3016E-13 -7.1726E-15 2.0371E-14 2.2470E-13 7.3485E-12
-4.0287E-15 -7.1726E-15 9.2725E-14 -5.8520E-14 -9.1975E-15 -3.2597E-13
9.3419E-15 2.0371E-14 -5.8520E-14 6.4784E-14 2.4182E-14 9.8773E-13
1.7765E-13 2.2470E-13 -9.1975E-15 2.4182E-14 3.3566E-13 8.6950E-12
3.3394E-12 7.3485E-12 -3.2597E-13 9.8773E-13 8.6950E-12 3.5719E-10
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
0.992739 10.744307 0.998798 0.003471 -0.194541 2457218.046739
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2457210.5000 = 2015/07/07
Mean Anomaly: 156.13875 +/- 0.671
Argument of Peri: 216.75643 +/- 0.671
Long of Asc Node: 353.48812 +/- 0.003
Inclination: 3.57705 +/- 0.001
Eccentricity: 0.07334555 +/- 0.0003
Semi-Major Axis: 43.41986592 +/- 0.0029
Time of Perihelion: 2411885.3400 +/- 194.6
Perihelion: 40.23521202 +/- 0.0136
Aphelion: 46.60451983 +/- 0.0137
Period (y) 286.1152 +/- 0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X 45.72332922 +/- 0.0012
Ecliptic Y 7.66049812 +/- 0.0002
Ecliptic Z 0.79994342 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00033768 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT 0.00241100 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00014735 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 46.36750992 +/- 0.0012
Geocenter to KBO 46.16567991 +/- 0.0012
# Hcoef: 7.57
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RZ279. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RZ279) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 07 14.54595 00 37 56.476 +05 09 57.49 24.2r 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 07 19.51084 00 37 54.178 +05 09 53.12 24.7r 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 08 11.49932 00 37 19.856 +05 07 00.37 24.5r 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 08 11.55875 00 37 19.714 +05 06 59.47 24.0r 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 09 08.40498 00 35 54.339 +04 58 39.82 24.6r 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 09 08.50910 00 35 53.954 +04 58 37.53 24.1r 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 09 08.55273 00 35 53.786 +04 58 36.41 24.3r 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 09 09.52831 00 35 50.158 +04 58 14.54 24.3w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 09 10.46916 00 35 46.622 +04 57 53.16 24.3w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 09 16.45837 00 35 23.485 +04 55 32.66 24.5w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 10 03.38583 00 34 14.488 +04 48 27.13 24.2w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 10 07.35453 00 33 58.074 +04 46 44.67 24.1r 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 10 07.40769 00 33 57.828 +04 46 43.36 24.4r 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 11 07.24974 00 32 00.914 +04 34 20.52 24.5w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 11 07.30253 00 32 00.734 +04 34 19.40 24.8w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 11 10.38589 00 31 51.012 +04 33 16.46 24.9w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2015 12 07.32615 00 30 51.444 +04 26 41.65 24.2w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 01 01.25515 00 30 45.435 +04 25 43.97 24.7w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 09 05.58308 00 40 03.591 +05 29 26.45 24.4w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 09 06.53219 00 40 00.178 +05 29 06.08 24.2w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 09 06.57428 00 40 00.014 +05 29 05.12 24.4w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 09 27.48878 00 38 37.912 +05 20 46.77 24.2w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 11 03.42043 00 36 12.234 +05 05 31.32 24.2w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 11 03.48549 00 36 12.006 +05 05 29.67 24.5w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 11 03.49709 00 36 11.971 +05 05 29.35 23.1w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 11 04.26545 00 36 09.366 +05 05 12.69 24.4w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 11 04.32471 00 36 09.153 +05 05 11.41 24.2w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 12 29.24332 00 34 40.640 +04 55 10.71 24.7w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2016 12 29.26796 00 34 40.651 +04 55 10.62 24.6w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2017 01 03.21350 00 34 44.224 +04 55 28.99 24.7w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2017 01 03.23891 00 34 44.237 +04 55 29.18 24.9w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2017 09 16.50467 00 43 25.384 +05 55 20.47 24.4w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2017 09 17.40380 00 43 21.863 +05 54 59.23 24.4w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2017 09 22.45810 00 43 01.679 +05 52 57.06 24.5w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2017 11 22.36083 00 39 17.450 +05 29 24.56 24.3w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2017 12 23.28786 00 38 36.630 +05 24 39.01 24.3w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo 2017 12 23.30180 00 38 36.619 +05 24 38.95 24.5w 15RZ279 568 C~2nvo
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.01
2 0.0136 -33.29 -0.00 9.45 -0.11
3 0.0765 -572.71 -0.01 51.83 0.13
4 0.0767 -575.01 -0.08 51.84 0.00
5 0.1529 -1944.45 -0.09 93.53 0.13
6 0.1532 -1950.65 0.04 93.69 0.11
7 0.1533 -1953.39 -0.06 93.65 -0.01
8 0.1560 -2011.85 0.04 94.85 0.01
9 0.1586 -2068.84 -0.02 95.97 0.02
10 0.1750 -2442.05 -0.02 102.75 0.02
11 0.2213 -3557.76 0.02 117.34 -0.03
12 0.2322 -3823.72 0.11 119.76 -0.06
13 0.2323 -3827.62 -0.17 120.00 0.13
14 0.3168 -5727.82 0.08 126.13 -0.10
15 0.3169 -5730.73 -0.01 126.16 -0.09
16 0.3254 -5889.27 -0.13 125.67 -0.11
17 0.3991 -6864.47 0.12 114.42 0.11
18 0.4674 -6969.93 0.02 96.89 -0.02
19 1.1473 2204.86 -0.05 331.19 -0.03
20 1.1499 2149.99 0.12 332.41 -0.04
21 1.1500 2147.36 -0.01 332.48 -0.04
22 1.2072 824.02 -0.02 354.46 -0.05
23 1.3083 -1536.81 -0.03 366.82 0.12
24 1.3085 -1540.59 -0.13 366.64 -0.07
25 1.3086 -1541.20 -0.08 366.55 -0.15
26 1.3107 -1583.54 -0.00 366.53 0.01
27 1.3108 -1586.97 -0.10 366.60 0.07
28 1.4612 -3039.46 0.06 334.51 0.06
29 1.4613 -3039.34 0.00 334.36 -0.08
30 1.4748 -2983.01 0.11 330.23 -0.08
31 1.4749 -2982.76 0.01 330.33 0.03
32 2.1765 5585.87 0.04 584.17 -0.00
33 2.1789 5529.18 0.01 585.11 0.01
34 2.1928 5204.00 -0.06 590.18 -0.07
35 2.3595 1570.19 0.03 599.35 0.05
36 2.4442 897.48 0.09 575.60 0.06
37 2.4442 897.31 -0.05 575.61 0.08
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15RZ279 quality flag:3 Type: CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL axisobj 43.826 43.836 43.816 ecceobj 0.064 0.065 0.064 incobj 3.559 3.559 3.559 qmin 39.694 39.679 39.692 qmax 47.826 47.810 47.747 amean 43.624 43.636 43.613 amin 43.281 43.290 43.272 amax 43.991 43.992 43.972 emean 0.066 0.066 0.066 emin 0.048 0.048 0.048 emax 0.087 0.088 0.086 imean 4.170 4.165 4.169 imin 3.333 3.343 3.328 imax 4.942 4.945 4.936 excite_mean 0.099 0.099 0.099 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.085 3.085 3.085 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 178.2 178.7 178.4 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0