The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15TK363 # Created Wed Dec 4 02:10:27 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 68 observations of 68 # Arc: 5.21y # First observation: 2013/09/12 # Last observation: 2018/11/29 # Chi-squared of fit: 17.34 DOF: 130 RMS: 0.09 # Min/Max residuals: -0.21 0.36 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.608213E-05 2.580752E-02 -1.465900E-06 -3.209296E-03 2.573920E-02 1.935194E-03 # Covariance matrix: 2.1020E-13 -7.7473E-14 -6.9197E-15 7.0197E-15 7.9159E-14 -4.1759E-13 -7.7473E-14 8.8399E-14 8.3158E-15 -1.1309E-14 2.8864E-14 7.9801E-13 -6.9197E-15 8.3158E-15 1.0211E-13 -3.5326E-14 9.1929E-16 8.8649E-14 7.0197E-15 -1.1309E-14 -3.5326E-14 1.6326E-14 -4.0023E-15 -1.2205E-13 7.9159E-14 2.8864E-14 9.1929E-16 -4.0023E-15 1.2196E-13 3.7192E-13 -4.1759E-13 7.9801E-13 8.8649E-14 -1.2205E-13 3.7192E-13 8.6605E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -13.175267 24.026540 0.571333 -0.188942 -0.807596 2456547.896328 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456548.5000 = 2013/09/13 Mean Anomaly: 57.32855 +/- 0.037 Argument of Peri: 177.00257 +/- 0.048 Long of Asc Node: 143.07108 +/- 0.001 Inclination: 14.79808 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.06566365 +/- 0.0001 Semi-Major Axis: 40.98502386 +/- 0.0024 Time of Perihelion: 2441286.7387 +/- 10.0 Perihelion: 38.29379777 +/- 0.0050 Aphelion: 43.67624996 +/- 0.0052 Period (y) 262.3892 +/- 0.02 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 35.54059548 +/- 0.0005 Ecliptic Y 15.22118008 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Z -8.85547405 +/- 0.0001 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00101189 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00255602 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00037916 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 39.66402468 +/- 0.0004 Geocenter to KBO 38.85123160 +/- 0.0005 # Hcoef: 7.09
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15TK363. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15TK363) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2013 09 12.39555 01 48 15.527 -02 56 52.17 24.0g 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2013 10 03.29830 01 46 51.180 -03 08 49.74 23.9g 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2013 10 04.20030 01 46 47.129 -03 09 19.77 23.9g 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2013 11 03.05919 01 44 26.27 -03 23 29.8 23.4r 15TK363 W84 C~352l 2013 11 03.12180 01 44 25.98 -03 23 31.1 15TK363 W84 C~352l 2013 11 03.20695 01 44 25.58 -03 23 32.9 15TK363 W84 C~352l 2013 12 28.10713 01 41 29.806 -03 28 24.91 23.0r 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2013 12 28.10713 01 41 29.81 -03 28 24.9 23.3r 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2013 12 28.10852 01 41 29.805 -03 28 24.85 22.8i 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2013 12 28.10852 01 41 29.80 -03 28 24.9 22.9i 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2014 10 29.26979 01 50 38.039 -02 59 30.30 22.5i 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2014 10 29.26979 01 50 38.04 -02 59 30.3 22.4i 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2014 11 28.17482 01 48 28.42 -03 07 56.4 23.2r 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2014 11 28.17482 01 48 28.419 -03 07 56.45 23.2r 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2015 01 16.04589 01 47 05.783 -03 01 13.91 23.0z 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2015 01 19.03988 01 47 07.913 -03 00 01.04 22.5z 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2015 10 10.515269 01 57 54.864 -02 28 23.31 23.0r 15TK363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 10.546665 01 57 54.715 -02 28 24.33 23.0r 15TK363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 10.598816 01 57 54.469 -02 28 25.95 23.0r 15TK363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 14.517020 01 57 36.206 -02 30 28.04 23.9g 15TK363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 14.548427 01 57 36.051 -02 30 29.08 23.8g 15TK363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 14.574651 01 57 35.927 -02 30 29.86 23.8g 15TK363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 14.576778 01 57 35.917 -02 30 29.86 23.8g 15TK363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 14.600577 01 57 35.804 -02 30 30.59 23.9g 15TK363 568 C~2TuW 2015 11 01.19867 01 56 11.76 -02 38 34.6 22.3i 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2015 11 01.19867 01 56 11.759 -02 38 34.63 22.4i 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2015 11 16.14571 01 55 03.11 -02 43 34.9 23.1r 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2015 11 16.14571 01 55 03.110 -02 43 34.86 23.1r 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2015 11 16.14708 01 55 03.108 -02 43 34.86 22.9i 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2015 11 16.14708 01 55 03.11 -02 43 34.8 22.8i 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2015 11 16.14845 01 55 03.099 -02 43 34.89 23.7g 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2015 11 16.14845 01 55 03.10 -02 43 34.9 24.0g 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2015 11 20.13197 01 54 46.07 -02 44 33.9 22.7z 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2015 11 20.13197 01 54 46.072 -02 44 33.93 22.3z 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2015 11 30.18450 01 54 06.63 -02 46 18.7 22.3i 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2015 11 30.18450 01 54 06.633 -02 46 18.71 22.1i 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2015 12 01.13892 01 54 03.19 -02 46 25.5 23.1r 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2015 12 01.13892 01 54 03.189 -02 46 25.48 23.1r 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2016 09 09.39196 02 05 38.04 -01 49 28.1 22.7r 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2016 09 09.39196 02 05 38.041 -01 49 28.07 22.9r 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2016 09 09.39335 02 05 38.05 -01 49 28.2 22.8i 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2016 09 09.39335 02 05 38.046 -01 49 28.21 22.8i 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2016 09 09.39473 02 05 38.029 -01 49 28.13 23.7g 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2016 09 27.48477 02 04 33.19 -01 59 38.6 24.0g 15TK363 568 C~2eAI 2016 09 27.60535 02 04 32.68 -01 59 42.7 24.1g 15TK363 568 C~2eAI 2016 09 28.49407 02 04 29.02 -02 00 12.4 23.9g 15TK363 568 C~2eAI 2016 09 28.54215 02 04 28.81 -02 00 14.1 24.0g 15TK363 568 C~2eAI 2016 09 28.62709 02 04 28.46 -02 00 16.9 24.1g 15TK363 568 C~2eAI 2016 09 29.50606 02 04 24.79 -02 00 46.3 24.0g 15TK363 568 C~2eAI 2016 09 29.55335 02 04 24.59 -02 00 47.9 24.1g 15TK363 568 C~2eAI 2016 09 29.62666 02 04 24.28 -02 00 50.3 24.1g 15TK363 568 C~2eAI 2016 11 05.23472 02 01 33.89 -02 18 23.3 23.1r 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2016 11 05.23472 02 01 33.886 -02 18 23.34 23.0r 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2016 11 05.23608 02 01 33.883 -02 18 23.32 24.3g 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2016 11 07.15675 02 01 24.89 -02 19 04.2 22.8z 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2016 11 07.15675 02 01 24.890 -02 19 04.32 22.2z 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2016 11 07.15812 02 01 24.87 -02 19 04.2 22.8i 15TK363 W84 C~3cu2 2016 11 07.15812 02 01 24.869 -02 19 04.23 22.5i 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2016 11 27.113565 01 59 58.55 -02 24 07.3 21.9i 15TK363 W84 C~352l 2016 11 29.17139 01 59 50.708 -02 24 24.61 22.1z 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2016 12 05.176400 01 59 29.34 -02 25 00.0 22.9r 15TK363 W84 C~352l 2017 11 16.148264 02 06 28.01 -01 59 47.0 22.9r 15TK363 W84 C~352l 2017 11 16.14879 02 06 28.013 -01 59 46.96 22.7r 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2017 11 16.149630 02 06 28.00 -01 59 46.9 22.7i 15TK363 W84 C~352l 2017 11 16.15016 02 06 28.001 -01 59 46.94 22.6i 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2017 11 23.113206 02 05 57.91 -02 01 26.4 21.8z 15TK363 W84 C~352l 2018 10 10.32146 02 15 04.721 -01 22 17.30 23.0i 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX 2018 11 29.18329 02 11 15.367 -01 40 31.05 23.1r 15TK363 W84 C~4yYX
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.11
2 0.0572 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.07
3 0.0597 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.02
4 0.1414 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.14
5 0.1416 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.05
6 0.1419 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.04
7 0.2922 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.05
8 0.2922 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.04
9 0.2922 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.06
10 0.2922 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.01
11 1.1277 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.02
12 1.1277 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.02
13 1.2095 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.08
14 1.2095 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.13
15 1.3433 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.06
16 1.3515 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.08
17 2.0756 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
18 2.0757 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.00
19 2.0758 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.04
20 2.0866 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.12
21 2.0867 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.04
22 2.0867 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.06
23 2.0867 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.13
24 2.0868 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.12
25 2.1350 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.04
26 2.1350 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.07
27 2.1759 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.03
28 2.1759 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.07
29 2.1759 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.06
30 2.1759 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.00
31 2.1759 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.01
32 2.1759 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.02
33 2.1868 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.19
34 2.1868 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.16
35 2.2143 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.04
36 2.2143 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.05
37 2.2170 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.11
38 2.2170 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.13
39 2.9925 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.07
40 2.9925 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.04
41 2.9925 0.00 0.18 0.00 -0.03
42 2.9925 0.00 0.24 0.00 -0.02
43 2.9925 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.10
44 3.0420 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.06
45 3.0423 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.01
46 3.0448 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.12
47 3.0449 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.03
48 3.0451 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.07
49 3.0475 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.07
50 3.0477 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.05
51 3.0479 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.09
52 3.1481 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.06
53 3.1481 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.02
54 3.1481 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01
55 3.1534 0.00 0.16 0.00 -0.13
56 3.1534 0.00 0.16 0.00 -0.01
57 3.1534 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.01
58 3.1534 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.02
59 3.2080 0.00 -0.16 0.00 -0.05
60 3.2136 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.18
61 3.2301 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.22
62 4.1773 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.08
63 4.1773 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.04
64 4.1773 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.04
65 4.1773 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.01
66 4.1964 0.00 0.36 0.00 -0.00
67 5.0758 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.21
68 5.2123 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.14
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15TK363 quality flag:3 Type: CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL axisobj 41.207 41.207 41.207 ecceobj 0.071 0.071 0.071 incobj 14.775 14.775 14.775 qmin 37.460 37.450 37.460 qmax 44.644 44.639 44.639 amean 40.930 40.930 40.930 amin 40.618 40.618 40.608 amax 41.259 41.258 41.259 emean 0.064 0.064 0.064 emin 0.047 0.046 0.045 emax 0.082 0.082 0.082 imean 13.798 13.798 13.798 imin 12.843 12.841 12.845 imax 15.051 15.047 15.045 excite_mean 0.247 0.247 0.247 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.996 2.996 2.996 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 180.9 180.9 180.8 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 180.0