The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15TS350 # Created Sun Dec 22 02:10:30 2024 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 32 observations of 36 # Arc: 1.77y # First observation: 2015/10/15 # Last observation: 2017/07/24 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: -0.008974 0.204121 0.010400 0.298206 0.105398 0.000000 # Chi-squared of fit: 38.93 DOF: 58 RMS: 0.19 # Min/Max residuals: -0.51 0.40 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 2.380581E-05 2.662520E-01 4.014757E-05 4.243163E-01 1.695878E-01 2.708209E-01 # Covariance matrix: 1.3133E-13 -1.6457E-13 -2.6075E-15 -1.3212E-14 2.2085E-13 -5.2574E-14 -1.6457E-13 1.2496E-12 -7.2869E-14 1.3171E-12 -1.0605E-13 2.9226E-12 -2.6075E-15 -7.2869E-14 7.9637E-14 -1.7997E-13 -3.4179E-14 -2.5232E-13 -1.3212E-14 1.3171E-12 -1.7997E-13 2.1692E-12 3.5851E-13 4.2752E-12 2.2085E-13 -1.0605E-13 -3.4179E-14 3.5851E-13 9.1551E-13 6.9559E-13 -5.2574E-14 2.9226E-12 -2.5232E-13 4.2752E-12 6.9559E-13 9.3763E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -20.611929 27.780555 0.109021 -0.350134 -0.931417 2457310.958319 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457310.5000 = 2015/10/15 Mean Anomaly: 0.39322 +/- 0.000 Argument of Peri: 277.00608 +/- 0.001 Long of Asc Node: 38.28715 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 58.07211 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.96279037 +/- 0.0000 Semi-Major Axis: 135.83804153 +/- 0.0925 Time of Perihelion: 2456678.8652 +/- 0.0 Perihelion: 5.05448356 +/- 0.0048 Aphelion: 266.62159950 +/- 0.1816 Period (y) 1583.2165 +/- 1.62 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 5.81058363 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic Y 2.93902740 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic Z -2.07562967 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00374915 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00682775 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00487260 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 6.83439849 +/- 0.0000 Geocenter to KBO 5.89665173 +/- 0.0000 # Hcoef: 13.27
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15TS350. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15TS350) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 10 15.45753 02 12 29.243 -08 35 43.60 21.6w 15TS350 F51 C~1bSH 2015 10 15.47163 02 12 28.752 -08 35 43.31 21.5w 15TS350 F51 C~1bSH 2015 10 15.48576 02 12 28.253 -08 35 42.34 21.7w 15TS350 F51 C~1bSH 2015 10 16.28698 02 12 01.24 -08 35 05.6 21.3R 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 10 16.29694 02 12 00.93 -08 35 04.7 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 10 20.346270 02 09 43.447 -08 31 23.61 21.0R 15TS350 568 C~1bSH 2015 10 20.347384 02 09 43.413 -08 31 23.59 21.1R 15TS350 568 C~1bSH 2015 10 20.348486 02 09 43.371 -08 31 23.47 21.2R 15TS350 568 C~1bSH 2015 10 22.10807 02 08 43.39 -08 29 28.9 21.3V 15TS350 807 C~1bSH 2015 10 22.11714 02 08 43.09 -08 29 27.6 21.3V 15TS350 807 C~1bSH 2015 10 22.12620 02 08 42.77 -08 29 27.6 21.3V 15TS350 807 C~1bSH 2015 10 23.34507 02 08 01.07 -08 28 04.4 22.4R 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 10 23.35495 02 08 00.70 -08 28 03.8 22.0R 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 10 23.36484 02 08 00.41 -08 28 03.2 22.2R 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 10 31.32726 02 03 30.49 -08 16 35.2 20.9R 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 10 31.33739 02 03 30.13 -08 16 34.5 20.8R 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 10 31.34752 02 03 29.80 -08 16 33.3 20.4R 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 11 02.30703 02 02 24.41 -08 13 07.8 21.7R 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 11 02.38155 02 02 21.87 -08 12 59.7 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 11 02.42722 02 02 20.39 -08 12 54.2 21.5R 15TS350 291 C~1bSH 2015 11 08.25133 01 59 10.55 -08 01 13.3 21.4R 15TS350 291 C~1cL2 2015 11 08.26388 01 59 10.14 -08 01 10.4 21.3R 15TS350 291 C~1cL2 2015 12 01.30356 01 48 30.477 -06 53 34.81 22.2w 15TS350 F51 C~1eP3 2015 12 01.31551 01 48 30.194 -06 53 32.19 22.1w 15TS350 F51 C~1eP3 2015 12 01.32748 01 48 29.930 -06 53 29.77 22.1w 15TS350 F51 C~1eP3 2015 12 01.33942 01 48 29.662 -06 53 27.06 22.2w 15TS350 F51 C~1eP3 2016 09 28.607509 02 36 43.264 +12 57 06.47 22.3G 15TS350 568 C~1yuA 2016 09 28.609473 02 36 43.222 +12 57 06.54 22.3G 15TS350 568 C~1yuA 2016 10 02.584019 02 35 12.136 +12 59 15.35 22.3G 15TS350 568 C~1yuA 2016 10 02.586909 02 35 12.063 +12 59 15.51 22.4G 15TS350 568 C~1yuA 2016 10 02.590024 02 35 11.988 +12 59 15.65 22.2G 15TS350 568 C~1yuA 2016 10 27.385993 02 24 26.615 +13 07 18.67 22.4G 15TS350 568 C~20rM 2016 10 27.388903 02 24 26.535 +13 07 18.73 22.4G 15TS350 568 C~20rM 2017 07 24.616014 02 54 47.899 +23 50 34.77 23.5G 15TS350 568 C~2IDD 2017 07 24.619313 02 54 47.924 +23 50 35.29 23.6G 15TS350 568 C~2IDD 2017 07 24.622612 02 54 47.946 +23 50 35.91 23.5G 15TS350 568 C~2IDD
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.21 0.00 -0.12
2 0.0000 -6.70 -0.02 2.86 -0.41
3 0.0001 -13.27 -0.10 6.40 -0.02
4 0.0023 -374.64 -0.47 183.28 -0.23
5 0.0023 -378.61 0.13 185.76 0.01
6 0.0134 -2206.77 0.05 1116.34 0.15
7 0.0134 -2207.23 0.10 1116.54 0.09
8 0.0134 -2207.77 0.06 1116.88 0.16
9 0.0182 -2999.59 ( 0.60) 1539.06 ( 0.07)
10 0.0182 -3003.30 ( 1.04) 1541.85 ( 0.64)
11 0.0183 -3007.74 ( 0.73) 1543.53 ( 0.11)
12 0.0216 -3557.25 -0.04 1840.11 0.26
13 0.0216 -3562.17 -0.46 1842.61 0.30
14 0.0216 -3565.99 0.23 1844.69 -0.08
15 0.0434 -7076.53 0.28 3899.96 0.20
16 0.0435 -7081.29 -0.05 3902.50 -0.03
17 0.0435 -7085.47 0.22 3905.34 0.06
18 0.0489 -7924.20 -0.09 4438.67 0.03
19 0.0491 -7956.76 -0.51 4459.49 0.14
20 0.0492 -7975.45 0.40 4472.36 0.32
21 0.0651 -10379.22 0.39 6117.05 -0.17
22 0.0652 -10383.94 ( 0.78) 6121.91 ( 1.01)
23 0.1283 -17968.80 -0.20 13259.22 -0.04
24 0.1283 -17971.90 -0.28 13263.16 0.00
25 0.1283 -17974.80 -0.15 13266.82 -0.25
26 0.1284 -17977.66 0.01 13270.77 -0.20
27 0.9559 50533.33 0.07 68220.28 -0.06
28 0.9559 50532.73 0.11 68220.57 -0.07
29 0.9668 49222.67 0.06 68841.59 -0.16
30 0.9668 49221.64 0.04 68842.15 -0.06
31 0.9668 49220.58 0.05 68842.69 -0.00
32 1.0347 39818.41 0.17 72823.35 -0.11
33 1.0347 39817.25 0.20 72823.84 -0.09
34 1.7746 86378.67 -0.17 109364.36 0.12
35 1.7746 86379.36 -0.15 109364.94 0.08
36 1.7746 86380.06 -0.12 109365.66 0.18
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15TS350 quality flag:3 Type: CENTAURR CENTAURR CENTAURR axisobj 141.580 141.567 141.592 ecceobj 0.964 0.964 0.964 incobj 58.193 58.193 58.193 qmin 4.680 4.699 4.453 qmax 284.757 319.178 291.900 amean 121.908 140.168 99.152 amin 93.923 122.239 58.401 amax 144.790 162.111 148.341 emean 0.958 0.964 0.949 emin 0.944 0.957 0.919 emax 0.967 0.969 0.968 imean 57.526 57.408 56.831 imin 57.120 56.878 56.014 imax 57.914 57.905 57.913 excite_mean 1.276 1.280 1.266 fracstop 0.002 0.003 0.024 cjmean 0.856 0.824 0.922 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 276.8 277.0 271.0 kozaiamp 1.3 1.3 8.1