The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15TX363 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:30 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 24 observations of 24 # Arc: 7.97y # First observation: 2014/10/29 # Last observation: 2022/10/19 # Chi-squared of fit: 15.43 DOF: 42 RMS: 0.14 # Min/Max residuals: -0.59 0.47 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.512244E-05 2.444026E-02 -1.799488E-06 -3.470401E-03 2.516844E-02 5.023515E-04 # Covariance matrix: 3.3441E-13 -2.2307E-13 -2.8167E-14 2.6801E-14 -3.7980E-14 -9.2663E-13 -2.2307E-13 1.9502E-13 2.6741E-14 -2.5227E-14 2.8484E-14 8.7120E-13 -2.8167E-14 2.6741E-14 1.3531E-13 -3.5604E-14 -7.6746E-15 1.2880E-13 2.6801E-14 -2.5227E-14 -3.5604E-14 1.8671E-14 -3.1415E-15 -1.2212E-13 -3.7980E-14 2.8484E-14 -7.6746E-15 -3.1415E-15 3.5560E-13 1.5884E-13 -9.2663E-13 8.7120E-13 1.2880E-13 -1.2212E-13 1.5884E-13 4.2204E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -15.358936 28.212475 -0.124607 -0.261241 -0.951795 2456959.764918 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456960.5000 = 2014/10/30 Mean Anomaly: 114.39364 +/- 0.229 Argument of Peri: 125.59330 +/- 0.221 Long of Asc Node: 147.15539 +/- 0.001 Inclination: 16.98602 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.02252975 +/- 0.0001 Semi-Major Axis: 40.29185614 +/- 0.0039 Time of Perihelion: 2427276.4114 +/- 59.7 Perihelion: 39.38409058 +/- 0.0047 Aphelion: 41.19962169 +/- 0.0048 Period (y) 255.7609 +/- 0.04 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 34.56964721 +/- 0.0008 Ecliptic Y 18.69041948 +/- 0.0004 Ecliptic Z -10.52382537 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00130294 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00231560 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00037840 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 40.68343857 +/- 0.0007 Geocenter to KBO 39.73232864 +/- 0.0009 # Hcoef: 7.52
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15TX363. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15TX363) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 10 29.26414 02 06 33.891 -03 32 10.23 23.4r 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2014 12 24.13208 02 03 04.327 -03 40 22.86 24.3r 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2015 10 10.523797 02 13 33.651 -03 04 43.76 23.8r 15TX363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 10.541921 02 13 33.568 -03 04 44.34 23.8r 15TX363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 10.581358 02 13 33.390 -03 04 45.59 23.7r 15TX363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 10.605157 02 13 33.280 -03 04 46.32 23.8r 15TX363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 14.525580 02 13 15.614 -03 06 49.35 24.5g 15TX363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 14.543733 02 13 15.530 -03 06 49.90 24.5g 15TX363 568 C~2TuW 2015 10 14.606931 02 13 15.238 -03 06 51.83 24.5g 15TX363 568 C~2TuW 2015 12 04.06528 02 09 30.394 -03 23 06.55 23.7i 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2015 12 04.06665 02 09 30.391 -03 23 06.58 23.7r 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2015 12 05.17199 02 09 26.424 -03 23 11.39 23.6r 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2016 09 11.31942 02 20 49.520 -02 30 21.14 22.9r 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2016 09 27.42649 02 19 55.29 -02 39 32.4 24.7g 15TX363 568 C~2eAH 2016 09 27.54623 02 19 54.81 -02 39 36.4 24.7g 15TX363 568 C~2eAH 2016 09 29.44699 02 19 47.38 -02 40 40.7 24.6g 15TX363 568 C~2eAH 2016 11 27.11136 02 15 23.155 -03 04 09.89 24.3g 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2016 11 29.12447 02 15 15.133 -03 04 27.12 23.4r 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2017 10 29.27175 02 23 04.641 -02 37 09.38 24.0r 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2017 10 29.27312 02 23 04.626 -02 37 09.23 23.3i 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2018 11 29.19983 02 26 13.554 -02 27 38.26 24.2g 15TX363 W84 C~55X7 2022 10 19.454633 02 51 16.727 -00 59 06.49 21.9w 15TX363 F51 C~5tVM 2022 10 19.465642 02 51 16.722 -00 59 06.40 22.1w 15TX363 F51 C~5tVM 2022 10 19.476662 02 51 16.697 -00 59 06.45 22.3w 15TX363 F51 C~5tVM
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.06
2 0.1530 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.03
3 0.9480 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.01
4 0.9481 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.01
5 0.9482 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.00
6 0.9482 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.03
7 0.9590 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.00
8 0.9590 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.01
9 0.9592 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.02
10 1.0973 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.04
11 1.0973 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.02
12 1.1004 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.01
13 1.8701 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.07
14 1.9142 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.04
15 1.9145 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03
16 1.9197 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.06
17 2.0803 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.07
18 2.0859 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.09
19 3.0007 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.04
20 3.0007 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.14
21 4.0847 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01
22 7.9731 0.00 -0.59 0.00 -0.38
23 7.9732 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.03
24 7.9732 0.00 0.47 0.00 0.30
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15TX363 quality flag:3 Type: SCATEXTD SCATEXTD SCATEXTD axisobj 40.611 40.611 40.611 ecceobj 0.024 0.024 0.024 incobj 16.950 16.950 16.950 qmin 38.840 38.840 38.840 qmax 41.936 41.937 41.935 amean 40.352 40.352 40.352 amin 40.057 40.057 40.058 amax 40.655 40.651 40.655 emean 0.016 0.017 0.016 emin 0.001 0.001 0.001 emax 0.032 0.032 0.032 imean 16.223 16.223 16.223 imin 15.350 15.350 15.350 imax 17.214 17.216 17.214 excite_mean 0.280 0.280 0.280 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.969 2.969 2.969 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 184.0 184.1 184.0 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 180.0