The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15VJ167 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:33 2024 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 41 observations of 41 # Arc: 3.08y # First observation: 2014/11/17 # Last observation: 2017/12/16 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: -0.000176 0.025589 -0.000010 0.001047 0.025600 0.000000 # Chi-squared of fit: 5.50 DOF: 76 RMS: 0.06 # Min/Max residuals: -0.19 0.25 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.448579E-05 2.535340E-02 2.613749E-07 1.038404E-03 2.551846E-02 -5.249754E-03 # Covariance matrix: 2.4464E-13 -2.7416E-13 4.3395E-15 -8.0740E-15 -1.1254E-13 -2.5985E-12 -2.7416E-13 4.3616E-13 -8.3706E-15 1.5730E-14 2.0521E-13 5.0444E-12 4.3395E-15 -8.3706E-15 1.4491E-13 -8.0956E-14 -5.1639E-15 -1.1262E-13 -8.0740E-15 1.5730E-14 -8.0956E-14 6.0237E-14 8.3983E-15 2.1056E-13 -1.1254E-13 2.0521E-13 -5.1639E-15 8.3983E-15 2.2647E-13 2.8417E-12 -2.5985E-12 5.0444E-12 -1.1262E-13 2.1056E-13 2.8417E-12 6.7647E-11 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -2.660183 49.328604 -0.089215 -0.045586 -0.984387 2456978.818008 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456970.5000 = 2014/11/09 Mean Anomaly: 295.50114 +/- 0.024 Argument of Peri: 40.29342 +/- 0.015 Long of Asc Node: 97.15526 +/- 0.006 Inclination: 3.50684 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.20844213 +/- 0.0003 Semi-Major Axis: 42.29471314 +/- 0.0068 Time of Perihelion: 2474970.6912 +/- 5.2 Perihelion: 33.47871289 +/- 0.0149 Aphelion: 51.11071339 +/- 0.0162 Period (y) 275.0663 +/- 0.07 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 26.08310671 +/- 0.0005 Ecliptic Y 30.49698578 +/- 0.0006 Ecliptic Z -1.81877958 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00243070 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00134499 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00013753 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 40.17091680 +/- 0.0005 Geocenter to KBO 39.18731225 +/- 0.0007 # Hcoef: 8.14
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VJ167. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VJ167) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 11 17.31723 03 10 30.047 +14 59 53.89 24.2r 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2014 11 17.42609 03 10 29.462 +14 59 51.60 24.4r 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2014 11 17.54029 03 10 28.874 +14 59 49.46 23.7r 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2014 11 19.33914 03 10 19.686 +14 59 14.30 24.3r 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2014 11 23.44182 03 09 58.873 +14 57 55.90 24.2r 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 09 07.62490 03 20 51.590 +15 45 56.62 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 09 12.48855 03 20 43.919 +15 45 12.37 24.7w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 10 07.53269 03 19 31.722 +15 39 33.48 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 10 07.59208 03 19 31.495 +15 39 32.57 24.4w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 10 09.57195 03 19 23.735 +15 38 59.11 24.2w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 11 07.34843 03 17 09.013 +15 29 54.56 24.1r 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 11 07.39058 03 17 08.801 +15 29 53.76 24.0r 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 11 07.43274 03 17 08.576 +15 29 52.93 24.1r 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 11 10.51713 03 16 52.661 +15 28 52.04 24.4w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 11 10.54648 03 16 52.503 +15 28 51.48 24.2w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 11 17.36382 03 16 17.149 +15 26 38.29 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 11 17.41043 03 16 16.914 +15 26 37.37 24.1w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 12 06.37266 03 14 42.041 +15 20 56.92 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 12 13.30706 03 14 10.498 +15 19 10.38 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2015 12 13.36559 03 14 10.245 +15 19 09.57 24.2w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 01 01.36029 03 12 59.160 +15 15 32.05 24.6w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 01 07.30705 03 12 42.630 +15 14 50.15 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 02 04.34036 03 12 10.212 +15 14 47.51 24.7w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 02 11.22942 03 12 14.543 +15 15 37.35 24.6w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 09 07.58521 03 26 38.363 +16 11 25.91 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 09 27.51883 03 25 54.271 +16 07 48.57 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 09 29.49637 03 25 48.024 +16 07 20.76 24.1w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 10 05.49953 03 25 27.164 +16 05 50.95 24.2w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 10 07.50403 03 25 19.623 +16 05 19.18 24.2w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 10 07.59973 03 25 19.235 +16 05 17.65 24.4w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 10 09.50422 03 25 11.804 +16 04 46.63 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 10 09.57681 03 25 11.522 +16 04 45.37 24.4w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 11 02.51417 03 23 21.204 +15 57 30.49 24.2w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 11 04.38927 03 23 11.647 +15 56 54.35 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 12 24.33677 03 19 10.480 +15 43 07.34 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2016 12 28.44224 03 18 55.739 +15 42 25.19 24.4w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2017 01 02.43952 03 18 39.609 +15 41 41.78 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2017 01 26.34976 03 17 53.849 +15 40 27.41 24.2w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2017 09 16.59057 03 32 16.872 +16 35 24.52 24.7w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2017 09 23.53642 03 32 00.790 +16 34 09.03 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi 2017 12 16.37785 03 25 36.695 +16 10 55.79 24.3w 15VJ167 568 C~2lVi
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.08
2 0.0003 -8.78 -0.04 0.07 -0.01
3 0.0006 -17.56 0.07 0.29 0.08
4 0.0055 -155.24 -0.10 2.17 -0.01
5 0.0168 -466.81 -0.19 7.71 0.01
6 0.8058 9405.60 -0.07 304.94 -0.01
7 0.8191 9286.96 0.05 290.60 -0.01
8 0.8877 8190.36 -0.07 231.67 -0.01
9 0.8878 8186.95 0.05 231.64 0.05
10 0.8932 8069.84 -0.04 228.27 0.02
11 0.9720 6046.20 -0.14 208.02 -0.04
12 0.9721 6043.03 -0.02 208.05 -0.04
13 0.9723 6039.67 -0.08 208.10 -0.02
14 0.9807 5801.50 0.12 209.40 -0.01
15 0.9808 5799.15 0.07 209.46 0.03
16 0.9994 5270.61 -0.00 214.64 -0.01
17 0.9996 5267.09 0.14 214.64 -0.07
18 1.0515 3853.13 0.02 246.83 0.03
19 1.0705 3384.74 -0.06 264.56 -0.01
20 1.0706 3381.00 0.06 264.75 -0.01
21 1.1226 2331.39 0.01 327.56 -0.05
22 1.1389 2089.61 -0.06 350.75 -0.05
23 1.2157 1636.65 0.09 473.12 -0.04
24 1.2345 1710.35 -0.07 504.46 -0.02
25 1.8077 14648.60 0.02 517.46 0.03
26 1.8623 13975.94 -0.00 466.02 0.05
27 1.8677 13881.39 0.06 461.68 -0.08
28 1.8841 13566.47 -0.05 450.24 0.02
29 1.8896 13452.80 0.08 446.82 0.02
30 1.8899 13446.98 -0.09 446.74 0.08
31 1.8951 13335.05 -0.09 443.67 0.07
32 1.8953 13330.78 0.08 443.47 -0.04
33 1.9608 11675.91 0.03 424.77 0.06
34 1.9660 11532.97 0.08 424.82 -0.00
35 2.1027 7948.95 -0.02 517.78 -0.00
36 2.1140 7732.13 -0.04 532.16 0.02
37 2.1276 7495.60 -0.01 550.59 -0.04
38 2.1931 6837.33 -0.02 650.44 -0.08
39 2.8317 19759.83 -0.04 710.96 0.02
40 2.8507 19515.00 0.01 693.93 -0.02
41 3.0802 13776.96 0.03 711.36 0.06
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15VJ167 quality flag:3 Type: 5:3EE 5:3EE 5:3EE axisobj 42.543 42.560 42.526 ecceobj 0.205 0.206 0.204 incobj 3.508 3.508 3.508 qmin 32.951 32.917 32.980 qmax 52.195 52.156 52.202 amean 42.327 42.327 42.327 amin 41.869 41.893 41.862 amax 42.836 42.824 42.865 emean 0.206 0.206 0.205 emin 0.191 0.192 0.190 emax 0.220 0.220 0.219 imean 1.975 1.957 2.050 imin 1.593 1.598 1.582 imax 2.690 2.566 2.891 excite_mean 0.209 0.209 0.208 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.030 3.030 3.031 libcent 0 181.0 180.3 180.8 libamp 0 72.5 63.4 80.8 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 185.7 178.5 200.8 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 180.0